For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

Russia’s 15:1 Losses: Pokrovsk Front Collapse

The Russian winter offensive of 2026 has hit a catastrophic wall near Pokrovsk, with confirmed infantry casualty ratios reaching 15:1 against entrenched Ukrainian defenders. This tactical failure is compounded by a massive geopolitical shock: the successful capture of Nicolas Maduro by US special operations forces in Venezuela. The removal of a key Kremlin ally in the Western Hemisphere, combined with the teetering stability of the Iranian regime, threatens to permanently severance Vladimir Putin’s supply of Shahed drones and ballistic missiles and upset Hezbollah's reach globally. These simultaneous crises signal a potential strategic collapse for Moscow's war machine as logistics lines freeze and allies fall.

In this urgent tactical debrief for the Kyiv Post, Special Correspondents Jason Smart and Chuck Pfarrer, a former SEAL Team 6 Squadron Leader, analyze the rapid deterioration of Russia's global standing. Breaking down the precision raid in Venezuela and the reality of the "meat wave" tactics failing in Ukraine. It is clear that the situation is becoming worse for Russia daily. Jason Jay Smart and Pfarrer explore how the loss of Tehran and Caracas could force the Kremlin into an impossible position before the spring thaw.

 
The Kremlin Knows It's Defeated

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are now setting the pace and have the initiative.

The Russian war effort in January 2026 has fundamentally shifted from a state of managed attrition to one of uncontrolled structural failure, where the convergence of logistical, economic, and military stresses is now dictating the timeline of the conflict. This systemic breakdown is most evident in the collapsing integrity of rear area security, where the necessity of air defense triage has evolved from a temporary battlefield calculation into a permanent vulnerability that leaves critical infrastructure exposed to destruction.

The degradation of the physical war machine is inextricably linked to the fracture of the national logistics network, where the rationing of rail capacity has ceased to be a mere supply chain issue and has transformed into a political weapon used by the regime to manage internal instability across the federation.

These physical failures are accelerating a profound societal split within Russia, creating competing economic zones defined by either extreme scarcity or privileged rent-seeking that the central government can no longer reconcile. The state has responded to these undeniable wage distortions and resource shortages by deploying aggressive information throttling, utilizing technical censorship to effectively sever the population from the reality of the front lines.

Simultaneously, the external pressure from tightening global markets is forcing third-party nations to abandon their support for Moscow, further isolating a war economy that has already lost its ability to convert oil revenues into usable military capital. The comprehensive exhaustion of Soviet-era stockpiles, combined with these colliding structural failures, confirms that the trajectory of the war is now locked into a path of strategic defeat regardless of future rhetoric from the Kremlin.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Intro: Why January 2026 Is the Hinge of the War
01:05 - Ukraine’s Counter-Tactics: Hitting Russian Air Defenses
01:57 - Caspian Sea Strikes: Targeting Russia’s Revenue Depth
02:33 - Russia’s Logistics Collapse: The Rail Choke Point
03:23 - Crimea Under Siege: Belbek Airfield and the Bridge
04:54 - Russia’s Recruitment Failure: Bonuses Drop by 75%
07:24 - Putin’s Economic Trap: Oil Sales and Bank Liquidity
09:51 - Conclusion: Why Putin’s Regime Cannot Survive

 
Russia’s Winter Blackouts: Power Cuts Spread Across Regions

Russia is going dark this winter — and it’s not just “one bad night.” In this Friday Crazy News episode, I break down the wave of power cuts and utility failures reported across multiple Russian regions, what’s driving them, and why the grid looks increasingly fragile as temperatures drop. This isn’t abstract “infrastructure talk.” When electricity fails in winter, everything follows: heating systems, water supply, communications, elevators, hospitals, logistics — everyday life.

We’ll also cover 13 major non-economic stories from Russia this week: drone incidents across regions, security crackdowns, courtroom decisions, and the domestic shocks that rarely make it into one clear picture:
-where outages and emergency shutdowns are being reported (and how widespread the pattern is)
-what officials say vs. what residents report on the ground
-aging networks, delayed maintenance, and the “patch-and-pray” model of repairs
-why winter peak loads expose weak points fast

The bigger trend: Russia’s utilities entering a stress spiral

If you follow Russia closely, this is one of those weeks you can’t ignore.

 
Russia to Lose Iran as a Military Ally

Ukraine successfully struck Russian drilling platforms in the Caspian Sea, an oil depot in Volgograd, and the power plant in Oryol. Putin is desperate and again launched an Oreshnik IRBM this time on the city of Lviv. Iran has fallen into revolution as the government has begun mass executing their own people to hold on to power.

 
Ukraine had a GOOD Day

Over the past day, Ukrainian forces successfully hit a series of carefully chosen targets — the kind that quietly weaken Russia’s ability to fight rather than just generate noise. These weren’t symbolic strikes. They were practical, calculated, and aimed at limiting logistics, pressure points, and future options.

The bigger story isn’t just what was hit — it’s what these strikes signal about the trajectory of the war. Ukraine is planning beyond tomorrow. Its strategy increasingly reflects endurance, adaptation, and confidence that time is no longer working in Moscow’s favor.

This was a good day — not because the war is over, but because the future looks more workable than it did yesterday for Ukraine.

 
China Set To Seize 35% of Russian Territory As Putin Loses Grip

Putin’s troubles continue to grow as China begins putting out propaganda to prepare its population for the seizure of vast swathes of Russian territory. meanwhile, Russian propagandists are in open panic as Moscow’s entire network of colonies, protectorates, and client states continues to unravel.

What began a year ago with the collapse of Russia’s position in Syria has since spread to Venezuela and Iran, with Cuba now increasingly exposed as the next domino. As Russia weakens, the United States and its allies are steadily picking up the pieces of a collapsing imperial structure that Moscow no longer has the power to defend.

Inside Iran, protests continue to challenge the regime, further straining one of Russia’s last remaining strategic partnerships. Across the globe, Russia’s influence is shrinking, its leverage evaporating, and its allies quietly recalculating their futures without Moscow.

This marks the 1,418th day of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine — a grim milestone that now exceeds the duration of the Soviet Union’s 1941–1945 so-called “Great Patriotic War.”

The war meant to restore Russia’s empire has instead accelerated its disintegration.

 
China Set To Seize 35% of Russian Territory As Putin Loses Grip

Putin’s troubles continue to grow as China begins putting out propaganda to prepare its population for the seizure of vast swathes of Russian territory. meanwhile, Russian propagandists are in open panic as Moscow’s entire network of colonies, protectorates, and client states continues to unravel.

What began a year ago with the collapse of Russia’s position in Syria has since spread to Venezuela and Iran, with Cuba now increasingly exposed as the next domino. As Russia weakens, the United States and its allies are steadily picking up the pieces of a collapsing imperial structure that Moscow no longer has the power to defend.

Inside Iran, protests continue to challenge the regime, further straining one of Russia’s last remaining strategic partnerships. Across the globe, Russia’s influence is shrinking, its leverage evaporating, and its allies quietly recalculating their futures without Moscow.

This marks the 1,418th day of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine — a grim milestone that now exceeds the duration of the Soviet Union’s 1941–1945 so-called “Great Patriotic War.”

The war meant to restore Russia’s empire has instead accelerated its disintegration.


By “seize”, you mean “exert influence over”, like the last time you promoted this???

🤔

And now it’s up to “35% of Russian territory”???

🤔
 
By “seize”, you mean “exert influence over”, like the last time you promoted this???

🤔

And now it’s up to “35% of Russian territory”???

🤔
That's from Chinese sources. Probably way over-estimated but it's the viewpoint that's interesting.

It seems a lot of Chinese are anticipating Russia going down and they want historically Chinese territory that Russia colonized back in the old Ttsarist days before 1900 returned.
 
That's from Chinese sources. Probably way over-estimated but it's the viewpoint that's interesting.

It seems a lot of Chinese are anticipating Russia going down and they want historically Chinese territory that Russia colonized back in the old Ttsarist days before 1900 returned.

It’s insanity.

China would do well to put a check on their ambitions in the territories that are currently part of the Russian federation.

(Russia would do better to put a check on their ambitions in Ukraine.)

👍

Slava Ukraini!!!

🇺🇦
 
It’s insanity.

China would do well to put a check on their ambitions in the territories that are currently part of the Russian federation.

(Russia would do better to put a check on their ambitions in Ukraine.)

👍

Slava Ukraini!!!

🇺🇦

The Chinese are witing for the Russian Federation to collapse and dissolve into chaos and then independent Republics....which China will then "influence"
 
Ukraine Strikes Four More Russian Ships in Black Sea

Russia is claiming Ukraine has attacked four more Russian shadow fleet tankers in the Black Sea. Ukraine is continuing to successfully strike thermal power plants across Russia and the occupied territories. Iran has fallen into another violent revolution and the people are asking for help to overthrow their government.

 
A New Wave of Shipping Attacks in the Black Sea


Drones hit Greek-managed oil tankers near Russia’s Black Sea CPC terminal – that is Caspian Pipeline Consortium — today, “kinetic sanctions” and the Russian grey-fleet’s endgame. Early Tuesday January 13, 2026, multiple reports said four Greek-managed oil tankers had been hit by drones near Russia’s key Black Sea loading point for Kazakh crude — the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal at Yuzhnaya Ozereyevka, near Novorossiysk. (The Straits Times)

But as the day went on, the picture sharpened, and the confirmed story became both narrower and more serious: two tankers were struck — Delta Harmony and Matilda — with industry and government confirmations, and with two other “hit” claims later disputed.

 
RUSSIA ARMY TRAPPED IN MOLDOVA, ATLANT AERO HUGE STRIKE IN TAGANROG

1,500 Russian soldiers without fuel, weapons and resources as Transnistria is completely cut off from military supplies – Ukraine and Moldova have closed all routes.
Ukrainian forces reportedly hit a Russian drone factory in the city of Taganrog tonight, setting it ablaze.

 
Ukraine Rips Out Russia’s BLACK Heart... Now Putin’s Empire Is Bleeding Out

As adaptable as it has been since Russia’s invasion began, Ukraine has shown it sticks ruthlessly to what works. Right now, that means hitting Russian oil—again. In a surprise move, Ukrainian drones struck three offshore platforms deep in the Caspian Sea, targets Moscow thought were untouchable. The question now isn’t whether Russia felt it, but what this campaign is really building toward.

 
Russia’s 318 Drones—Ukraine Hit Back Where It Hurts

Russia tried to overwhelm Ukraine’s defenses and punish the grid. But Ukraine’s response wasn’t just “survive and repair”—it was retaliation, aimed at the pressure points that actually matter. In this video, I’ll break down what the 318-wave tells us about Russia’s strategy, what Ukraine likely targeted in return, and why this exchange signals a sharper phase in the drone war.

 
By “seize”, you mean “exert influence over”, like the last time you promoted this???

🤔

And now it’s up to “35% of Russian territory”???

🤔
Well, I've read before that the Chinese covet Siberia.

For its mineral wealth. Siberia is like our desert and mountain West -- there's not much there, but there is mining.
 
Well, I've read before that the Chinese covet Siberia.

For its mineral wealth. Siberia is like our desert and mountain West -- there's not much there, but there is mining.
This is shaping up to be a very strange time, about which future historians will debate whether the Chinese-Siberian War should be considered a sideshow to the U.S.-Denmark Conflict or vice-versa.
 
Ukraine Strikes Four More Russian Ships in Black Sea

Russia is claiming Ukraine has attacked four more Russian shadow fleet tankers in the Black Sea. Ukraine is continuing to successfully strike thermal power plants across Russia and the occupied territories. Iran has fallen into another violent revolution and the people are asking for help to overthrow their government.


Great video: Every bit of it.

👍

Slava Ukraini!!!

🇺🇦

We. Told. Them. So.


🌷
 
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