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Here's How Donald Trump Could Become President

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However,

To many Democrats, the biggest surprise is that Donald Trump has mounted a comeback. Despite being battered all summer by his own missteps as well as a barrage of attack ads from Clinton, the Republican nominee has been surging in the battleground states.

Public polls over the past week show Trump leading Clinton in Ohio, Florida and Iowa; moving into a virtual tie with her in Nevada and North Carolina; and cutting into what had been comfortable Clinton leads in New Hampshire as well as in Colorado, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Virginia.
 
Beco said:
To many Democrats, the biggest surprise is that Donald Trump has mounted a comeback. Despite being battered all summer by his own missteps as well as a barrage of attack ads from Clinton, the Republican nominee has been surging in the battleground states.

Public polls over the past week show Trump leading Clinton in Ohio, Florida and Iowa; moving into a virtual tie with her in Nevada and North Carolina; and cutting into what had been comfortable Clinton leads in New Hampshire as well as in Colorado, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Virginia.
Click to expand...

Yes, Trump's new alt-right management team has a winning motto for Amerika: "Vote for Trump, because up is down, black is white, and our candidate is acting a little less crazy lately."
 
"Trump Surge Continues As Latest LA Times Poll Reveals Millennials Aren't Hillary's Only Problem"

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-...olls-reveals-millennials-arent-hillarys-only-

"Yesterday, we highlighted Hillary's growing "Millennial Problem" pointing out that her support among young voters seemingly collapsed at the same time she took her 9/11 "stumble" off the sidewalk (see: "Hillary's Growing "Millennial Problem" Forces A Reset"). In fact, the collapse is reflected in the Real Clear Politics average of national polls, which shows Clinton's lead has now been reduced to the smallest margin since the DNC.

And, as we mentioned yesterday, the LA Times poll confirms a Trump surge with Millennial voters.

But perhaps evening more shocking is the Trump surge among black voters. After polling at basically 0% for the past several months, the latest data suggests that Trump has surged to over 20% as Hillary has tanked."
 
toubab said:
"Trump Surge Continues As Latest LA Times Poll Reveals Millennials Aren't Hillary's Only Problem"

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-...olls-reveals-millennials-arent-hillarys-only-

"Yesterday, we highlighted Hillary's growing "Millennial Problem" pointing out that her support among young voters seemingly collapsed at the same time she took her 9/11 "stumble" off the sidewalk (see: "Hillary's Growing "Millennial Problem" Forces A Reset"). In fact, the collapse is reflected in the Real Clear Politics average of national polls, which shows Clinton's lead has now been reduced to the smallest margin since the DNC.

And, as we mentioned yesterday, the LA Times poll confirms a Trump surge with Millennial voters.

But perhaps evening more shocking is the Trump surge among black voters. After polling at basically 0% for the past several months, the latest data suggests that Trump has surged to over 20% as Hillary has tanked."
Click to expand...

He's made an appeal that rings true. For decades now the Democrats have taken the black vote for granted, they've paid lip service come election time but otherwise done nothing. On the other hand the Republicans basically wrote the black vote off. They took the attitude of "Why bother, they all vote Democrat anyway." So there was no real incentive for the Republicans to make any special effort re. the black vote.

Trump has spoken to them in plain English, "The Democrats have done nothing for you, what have you got to lose?" And apparently that message is gaining traction.

Ishmael
 
Adre said:
Three debates. That's all that matters now.
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Don't sweat it, Andre...

If your preferred turd blows the debates like she's blowing so far, maybe you can get Chelsea to pimp her parents out as co-Grand Marshals for your community's Gay Pride Parade next year.
 
SgtSpiderMan said:
How incredibly embarrassing for the other candidates. Trump is in a dead heat with someone whom no one likes.
Click to expand...

A month agio, all we were hearing from the LWCJ was that the election was already over and Hillary had one.

Debates? Debates? You didn't need no stinkin' debates?

She was going to clean his clock.

xoxoxo
Les Deplorables
 
The rejection of The Intellectual Yet Idiot by Les Deplorables...

https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.3q5ntwj0u

The 1% are convinced that victory is theirs, total and never-ending because everyone they know thinks just like them, they just don't know that many people. It's a long trek up Olympus and most of us have better things to do with our lives and efforts. But has Hoffer has posited (The Ordeal of Change) it is the frustrations of the lesser (and hence unrecognized and "under-appreciated") intellectual that strives to control the lives of others in order to advance themselves in the pantheon of the gods...
 
Another differing take on the election and the polls:

...

But Trump actually can win, despite his gaffe-prone ways and his poor standing in the polls as the general-election campaign gets under way. I say this based upon my thesis, explored in my latest book (Where They Stand: The American Presidents in the Eyes of Voters and Historians), that presidential elections are largely referendums on the incumbent or incumbent party. If the incumbent’s record is adjudged by the electorate to be exemplary, it doesn’t matter who the challenger is or what he or she says or does. The incumbent wins. If that record is perceived as unacceptable, then again it doesn’t much matter who the challenger is or what he or she says or does. The incumbent or incumbent party loses.

We can never know what the electorate will do until it goes to the polls and unlocks the secret of its collective sentiment. But some political scientists have sought to parse the referendum concept through analytical frameworks that lay bare the essence of voters’ presidential decisionmaking. Of these, the most compelling was put forth by Allan J. Lichtman and Ken DeCell in their 1990 book, The 13 Keys to the Presidency. Lichtman and DeCell reject the notion that the electorate renders its presidential decisions based upon such things as negative ads, clever slogans, fund-raising disparities, campaign gaffes, or big-name endorsements. They believe, rather, that the voters, exercising their collective franchise, bring sound judgment to the task of choosing their leaders, that their decisions are based on big-picture considerations and not trivia, and that the country’s referendum guidance system has remained consistent through the country’s presidential history.

In this view, we have been looking in the wrong places as we assess the campaign. Instead of focusing on Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, we should be looking at the presidential performance of Barack Obama—and not his overall tenure but specifically his second-term record. Therein lie, in the Lichtman-DeCell framework, the levers of electoral outcomes.

The authors identify 13 “keys,’’ or fundamental analytical statements, that illuminate the political standing of the party in power. Assessing each presidential election since Lincoln’s 1860 victory, they note that when five or fewer of these statements prove false, the voters side with the incumbent. When six or more are false, the incumbent party gets tossed out. This analytical matrix seeks to apply to politics a set of “pattern recognition’’ algorithms designed to illuminate the politics of today by discerning patterns of circumstance that have guided the country’s political path through history.

...
Click to expand...
Robert W. Merry

To see which are true or false: http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/unlocking-the-election/
 
Mrs. Clinton must have been pretty damned tired on that plane...

First she tells reporters that she has been briefed on the bombings, and then, lol, she jumps on Trump for caling them bombings too early whereas she is taking the wait-and-see high road.

:cool:

Of course, her press edits out the preamble to go for the "winning" sound byte.
 
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