Hurricane Florida Man 4.0

Guidance today and tonight has shifted east for the most part, FLA panhandle or even western FLA peninsula.

Some bring in a pretty strong hurricane day 5-6 seeing 950-960 mb,now is the time to prepare.
 
I'd say there's a very good chance they'll be a storm in the gulf in 7-9 days.

Could be TX,could be FLA,could be in between somewhere.

Stay tuned. ;)
Right on time,big one too a Cat 4.

Ground zero around Tallahassee and still a hurricane all the way to Atlanta. :oops:
 
Tallahassee Waffle Houses staying open. For now. This one might be bad. FSU kids moved from dorms even for some reason. Those big brick buildings are pretty safe.
 
Lot of helicopters coming over, hear one every hour or two.It's pretty bad just west of here.
 
Still 250 K out of power here in western NC,helicopters still coming over sometimes I see 3 or 4 at a time.

Asheville is basically a war zone and uninhabitable.
 
Went from looking like next week might just be wet to major hurricane in what past 2-3 hours. Fucking place. Need to get out of this hell hole.
 
Mother nature a little ticked off.
Conditions are just favorable for hurricanes right now.

Ongoing La Nina with a favorable MJO phases coming around (8,1,2)which leads to good vertical motion(rising air)and above average sea surface temperatures.

If i were in the Tampa area,I would seriously think about getting out and evacuating,especially if the eye goes a bit north of there that puts you in the stronger side of it.
 
The NHC track is bringing it in south of Tampa,but what has me concerned right now is the hourly HRRR model runs bringing the eye right into Tampa.

May have to adjust.
 
The NHC track is bringing it in south of Tampa,but what has me concerned right now is the hourly HRRR model runs bringing the eye right into Tampa.

May have to adjust.
Hard to say but you are getting down to 15-20 miles of coastline. This often happens but could be big difference going south with lesser storm surge for Bay but more destruction inland. It probably is not going to be real good.
 
There's so much at stake
How far will it go?
Only a fool would place such a bet
On which way the winds are blowing
'Cause there's no way of knowing
What the damage will be
We can't just live on hope
We'll never get out alone
Storm coming
No way it's gonna miss us now
Storm coming
Don't be frightened by the sound of it
Don't be frightened by the sound

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