The Economy

[Lazaran]

Do people understand what is going to happen when the AI bubble bursts??? (Note: AI is pretty much responsible for ALL gains in the markets in the last year or so.)

Today’s stock market activity was a small taste of the pain that is coming, imho.

And the crazy thing is companies are enacting and justifying mass layoffs on the basis of the PROMISE of AI, rather than the fundamentals.

I’ve got a bad “EDUCATED feeling” about this…



We. Told. Them. So.

 

[Buffalogurl]

Welp apparently Colwell banker-Richard Ellis is having a bad day.....sucks to be them...fucking hope's it's painful
16% drop in value ...

 

[Buffalogurl]

Welp Japan announced that they would begin, at 9am Japan time to facilitate a foreign bond sell off...last time the Japanese did this was twenty years ago, they dumped 700 billion dollars worth of bonds...
Why are they doing this you asked? I'll tell you... the Japanese yen is in trouble....big trouble, oh and this ain't the Don's fault either..... first China has a sell-off, then 3 days later the Japanese follows suit... always keep in mind that the bond market, in particular the US bond market is the foundation for all of the financial systems of the globe...

 

[Holy_Seduction]

‘ . . . always keep in mind that the bond market, in particular the US bond market is the foundation for all of the financial systems of the globe’

Always keep in mind that when the Bretton-Woods system of dollar to gold conversion was put in place, the ancient storehouse of value could was exchangeable by the ounce for $35.

Today, gold sells at roughly $5,000/oz. That is more than a 140 fold depreciation of the dollar against a measure of value that has stood since antiquity.

Yet the Yen is in ‘big trouble.’

Does it occur to no one that de-dollarization gives indication that the greenback simply isn’t a safe or stable store of value today?

Suppose Uncle Sam decides it’s time to sell a bunch of bonds because ‘we can’t keep servicing our $40T debt without cold, hard cash — only to discover that our government bonds are unwanted?

Governments and central banks are buying gold precisely because confidence is gone!

And when the greenback ceases to function as the global reserve currency? How will we fund our gargantuan military? And without that vast military, how will US ruling class diktats be imposed on the world?

More, what happens when the US rises up and demands bread?

 

[Buffalogurl]

Always keep in mind that when the Bretton-Woods system of dollar to gold conversion was put in place, the ancient storehouse of value could was exchangeable by the ounce for $35.

Today, gold sells at roughly $5,000/oz. That is more than a 140 fold depreciation of the dollar against a measure of value that has stood since antiquity.

Yet the Yen is in ‘big trouble.’

Does it occur to no one that de-dollarization gives indication that the greenback simply isn’t a safe or stable store of value today?

Suppose Uncle Sam decides it’s time to sell a bunch of bonds because ‘we can’t keep servicing our $40T debt without cold, hard cash — only to discover that our government bonds are unwanted?

Governments and central banks are buying gold precisely because confidence is gone!

And when the greenback ceases to function as the global reserve currency? How will we fund our gargantuan military? And without that vast military, how will US ruling class diktats be imposed on the world?

More, what happens when the US rises up and demands bread?

I couldn't agree more.... good write up.....
Those holding physical gold and silver are gonna be set well.... keep your powder dry.....when this shitstorm begins to unwind in Ernest....it'll happen faster than anyone can react...

 

[Wilson23]

More, what happens when the US rises up and demands bread?

We'll get circuses and we'll like it, just like always.

 

[drobert44]

Do people understand what is going to happen when the AI bubble bursts??? (Note: AI is pretty much responsible for ALL gains in the markets in the last year or so.)

Today’s stock market activity was a small taste of the pain that is coming, imho.

And the crazy thing is companies are enacting and justifying mass layoffs on the basis of the PROMISE of AI, rather than the fundamentals.

I’ve got a bad “EDUCATED feeling” about this…



We. Told. Them. So.

It’s gonna burst. I got out of stocks.

 

[heathrowinneo]

Do people understand what is going to happen when the AI bubble bursts??? (Note: AI is pretty much responsible for ALL gains in the markets in the last year or so.)

Today’s stock market activity was a small taste of the pain that is coming, imho.

And the crazy thing is companies are enacting and justifying mass layoffs on the basis of the PROMISE of AI, rather than the fundamentals.

I’ve got a bad “EDUCATED feeling” about this…



We. Told. Them. So.

The concentration of wealth in a fewer companies in the market will make the downturn even more pronounced. Its going to hurt.

The confidence in US treasuries by foreign corporations and governments have been seriously shaken this past year. The job growth are in too few industries. Interest rates will go up to attract buyers fir US debt. The issue of income inequality will get worse given the layoffs and anemic growth in many sectors.

We are seeing the 1930's part 2.

 

[MajorRewrite]

Inflation eased in January. ️

Core CPI, which excludes energy and food items, increased 0.3% over the past month. It rose 2.5% over the last 12 months — the lowest increase since 2021, easing some worries about the impact of the Trump administration’s tariffs.

 

[Rightguide]

Inflation surprise sends stocks into rally mode as January prices cool more than expected​

Expert suggests Fed may cut rates sooner than anticipated after Friday report​

By Arabella Bennett FOXBusiness

A better-than-expected January inflation report sparked a market rebound Friday, reinforcing optimism that easing price pressures could give the Federal Reserve more flexibility on interest rates in the months ahead.

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% month over month in January, below expectations for a 0.3% increase. On an annual basis, headline inflation came in at 2.4%, also under forecasts. The data immediately lifted equity markets as investors re-calibrated expectations for the path of inflation and monetary policy.

Former TD Ameritrade Chairman and CEO Joe Moglia told "Mornings with Maria" that the CPI report confirmed growing evidence that inflation is cooling at a pace supportive of economic growth. Moglia noted that a year-over-year reading near 2.4% and a softer monthly figure would be "good for us... Especially with the jobs numbers that we saw on Wednesday."

https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/i...y-mode-january-prices-cool-more-than-expected

MajorRewrite's end of the world postponed once again.

 

[Wilson23]

Inflation surprise sends stocks into rally mode as January prices cool more than expected​

Expert suggests Fed may cut rates sooner than anticipated after Friday report​

By Arabella Bennett FOXBusiness

A better-than-expected January inflation report sparked a market rebound Friday, reinforcing optimism that easing price pressures could give the Federal Reserve more flexibility on interest rates in the months ahead.

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% month over month in January, below expectations for a 0.3% increase. On an annual basis, headline inflation came in at 2.4%, also under forecasts. The data immediately lifted equity markets as investors re-calibrated expectations for the path of inflation and monetary policy.

Former TD Ameritrade Chairman and CEO Joe Moglia told "Mornings with Maria" that the CPI report confirmed growing evidence that inflation is cooling at a pace supportive of economic growth. Moglia noted that a year-over-year reading near 2.4% and a softer monthly figure would be "good for us... Especially with the jobs numbers that we saw on Wednesday."

https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/i...y-mode-january-prices-cool-more-than-expected

MajorRewrite's end of the world postponed once again.

What's that got to do with the price of eggs?

 

[Rightguide]

What's that got to do with the price of eggs?

Only that they are much less costly than they were under President Autopen.

 

[Wilson23]

President Autopen.

You are an idiot.

 

[Lazaran]

Inflation surprise sends stocks into rally mode as January prices cool more than expected​

Expert suggests Fed may cut rates sooner than anticipated after Friday report​

By Arabella Bennett FOXBusiness

A better-than-expected January inflation report sparked a market rebound Friday, reinforcing optimism that easing price pressures could give the Federal Reserve more flexibility on interest rates in the months ahead.

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% month over month in January, below expectations for a 0.3% increase. On an annual basis, headline inflation came in at 2.4%, also under forecasts. The data immediately lifted equity markets as investors re-calibrated expectations for the path of inflation and monetary policy.

Former TD Ameritrade Chairman and CEO Joe Moglia told "Mornings with Maria" that the CPI report confirmed growing evidence that inflation is cooling at a pace supportive of economic growth. Moglia noted that a year-over-year reading near 2.4% and a softer monthly figure would be "good for us... Especially with the jobs numbers that we saw on Wednesday."

https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/i...y-mode-january-prices-cool-more-than-expected

MajorRewrite's end of the world postponed once again.

WTAF is Rightard talking about??!



The Dow and the S&P 500 barely moved and THE NASDAQ DROPPED.

(and consumer confidence and spending are CRASHING, so…)



Rightard



We. Told. Them. So.

 

[MajorRewrite]

MajorRewrite's end of the world postponed once again.

I’d already posted the inflation news.

The MAGA sheep thinks I predict the “end of the world” because I post actual data.

 

[Meekly_Anna]

WTAF is Rightard talking about?

He rambles on about the low inflation rate, which has surprised some people. Actually, it's a bad sign, because it's based on a drop in production costs, meaning that staff have been replaced by computers and cheaper oil, which means industry has to spend less on propaganda. Added to this are lower costs for purchasing cars. The lower costs are due to fewer new vehicles being purchased as the car industry in the US collapses and imports become more expensive due to tariffs. In short, fewer people can afford a new car.

Then, when it became clear what the universal genius was up to, retailers filled their warehouses, which is why the tariffs have not yet had their full impact.

The final factor to consider is that January is always settled with January. Inflation in January last year was particularly high.

In summary, the shit has hit the fan, and American citizens will have to deal with the consequences.

 

[Lazaran]

I’d already posted the inflation news.

The MAGA sheep thinks I predict the “end of the world” because I post actual data.

That ^ and DonOld claimed the 2.4 inflation number indicated prices were falling…

I wonder if Rightard believes DonOld’s claims about prices falling???



We. Told. Them. So.

 

[Lazaran]

He rambles on about the low inflation rate, which has surprised some people. Actually, it's a bad sign, because it's based on a drop in production costs, meaning that staff have been replaced by computers and cheaper oil, which means industry has to spend less on propaganda. Added to this are lower costs for purchasing cars. The lower costs are due to fewer new vehicles being purchased as the car industry in the US collapses and imports become more expensive due to tariffs. In short, fewer people can afford a new car.

Then, when it became clear what the universal genius was up to, retailers filled their warehouses, which is why the tariffs have not yet had their full impact.

The final factor to consider is that January is always settled with January. Inflation in January last year was particularly high.

In summary, the shit has hit the fan, and American citizens will have to deal with the consequences.

I will co-sign every word of that ^.



We. Told. Them. So.

 

[ChinoMoreno]

 

[Bray123]

When the country is led by someone who comes out with, "Groceries. It's a beautiful word, who uses that word nowadays? It means everything that goes into a bag of grocery", don't be amazed when the economy is swirling.

 

[Rightguide]

From Eggs to Fuel Oil: Federal Data Reveals Widespread Price Drops as Inflation Cools​

By Cassie B • Feb. 17, 2026

https://thelibertydaily.com/eggs-fuel-oil-federal-data-reveals-widespread-price/

 

[ll74]

From Eggs to Fuel Oil: Federal Data Reveals Widespread Price Drops as Inflation Cools​

By Cassie B • Feb. 17, 2026

https://thelibertydaily.com/eggs-fuel-oil-federal-data-reveals-widespread-price/

Orange Juice and Ground beef up 28% and 15%.

https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphi...ds-eggs-bread-trump-administration-rcna257424

 

[MajorRewrite]

Food and energy prices are volatile and their movements aren’t indicative of overall inflation. That’s why “core” inflation rate data excludes them.

The next PCE report is due out on the 20th.

From Eggs to Fuel Oil: Federal Data Reveals Widespread Price Drops as Inflation Cools​

By Cassie B • Feb. 17, 2026

https://thelibertydaily.com/eggs-fuel-oil-federal-data-reveals-widespread-price/

Orange Juice and Ground beef up 28% and 15%.

https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphi...ds-eggs-bread-trump-administration-rcna257424

 

[MajorRewrite]

The trade deficit increased 32% in December. The goods deficit increased and the services surplus decreased.

Annual trade balance
2024 trade deficit: $903.5 billion
2025 trade deficit: $901.5 billion (0.22% decrease)

Despite higher tariffs, imports of goods increased $143 billion in 2025 from 2024. Exports of goods increased $118 billion in 2025 from 2024.

 

[Rightguide]

Trump Announces Tariffs Have Slashed U.S. Trade Deficit by 78%.​