For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

Some snippets summarized from today's news....

(1) One of the largest and newest ammo dumps in russia was blown up. 30,000 tons of ammo and missiles - this has resulted in YEARS of ammo production being "removed" from russian service. Literally, years of production. This will have a HUGE impact on Russia's ability to fight.

(2) Russian units here and there are folding - a platoon from the 47th tank div surrendered to just a few ukr troops from the azov brigade without a fight
(3) Russians are saying that in Kursk the 51st paratroopers are taking heavy losses and are stalled.

(4) The ZSU's 21st and 95th brigades are pushing into the rear of the Russian 155th marines.. they (russians) are being engaged with Leopard 2A6s and other western gear. not going well for russia.

(5) Russians on social media are saying that units near Bakhmut have no more troops and are using everything they have (mechanics, cooks, artillery men, etc) just to hold the line.

(6) Europe just "found" another 500,000 x 155mm rounds....

(7) Ukraine is expected to hit 3 million drones this year

(8) Russians with the 1442 Rgt are refusing to fight as infantry

(9) Russian state media is saying school children will be used to harvest food and fix railways due to the lack of people.

(10 Russian state media is reporting that now Defendants accused of crimes will be sent to the SMO till the court case comes up. So now being accused of something will get you sent you to the SMO, not convicted... Guess that's going to reduce the number of criminal trials.....

(11) Many Conscript soldiers are just straight out surrendering to ZSU forces in kursk in the last 48 hrs

(12) Reports from Russian troops on SM state that troops going to the front in the central region of ukraine are only given 3 days of supplies.. its stated that is all they will need.
 
The European Union has transferred €400 million from frozen Russian assets to bolster Ukraine's defense industry. EU Ambassador to Ukraine, Katarina Mathernova, has announced that some of these funds were used to procure 18 'Bohdana' self-propelled howitzers. Mathernova emphasized the significant change in European policy, highlighting that the entire sum was allocated directly to the Ukrainian defense sector. From the next tranche, an even larger amount will go directly to the Ukrainian defense industry.

Ukrainian Bohdana production has increased exponentially, to the point where they can now manufacture 20 of these guns a month. The limiting factor is the funding availability. Additional financial support is in the pipeline to further enhance Ukraine's indigenous arms production. Denmark sparked this off a while ago by directly funding the Ukrainian defence industry, allowing Ukraine to boost their own weapons manufacturing capability and making them less reliant on the US and Europe. Now where oh where are those Bradley's, Joe?

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https://uawire.org/eu-transfers-400...s-to-ukraine-funding-18-new-bohdana-howitzers
 
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Political will or death: White House hesitation costs Ukraine billions in military aid​

The shortfall in military aid to Ukraine has come about due to the indecision and inconsistency of President Biden's administration. Drawdowns since April have averaged just $200 million each, whereas during Fiscal Year 2023 the figure was around $600 million and a staggering 76% of the authority approved by Congress stands to expire in a few weeks time. Ukraine’s needs today are certainly not three times less than they were a year ago — if anything, they have grown. With $7.8 billion approved at the end of April, Ukraine could have been provided with $1 billion worth of equipment per month, and that still wouldn’t have exhausted all the available authority. The White House has needlessly rationed the Drawdown Authority aid packages to Ukraine.

With the war in its third year, a greater emphasis on long term planning is essential, and yet the ineffectual Biden Administration has continued to make things up as they go along. A couple of $200 million Drawdown packages per month is not enough to even sustain the Ukrainian military’s defensive operations, let alone to enable Kyiv to undertake large-scale offensive operations. Ukraine will likely continue to receive less aid than it needs if it is to maintain a credible defense. Kyiv’s list of unfulfilled requirements continues to far exceed the resources available to meet them, unfortunately. The Biden Administration has compounded this problem by making extremely poor use of the aid approved by Congress.

Biden's slow walking of aid has continually handicapped Ukraine, and and while the article doesn't say this, it's blatantly designed to ensure Ukraine does not get the resources to allow the ZSU to easily achieve outright military victory. The end result is, Ukraine will win in the end, but at a far higher cost in deaths than was necessary, they will know the USA is not a real ally (that's more than obvious now, but appearances must be maintained if they want to continue to receive what the (well, whoever is running things in the White House) Administration doles out sparingly, and the USA will look like pathetic dicks to everyone, and especially to China. Biden Fucks up yet again.

A staggering 76% of the $7.8 billion approved by Congress has NOT been used. We could have easily refurbished and transferred 500 Bradleys out of the 1000's lined up to be scrapped, without any impact on our military, and still the cost would have been a drop in the bucket of that $7.8 billion. We are governed by retarded rabbits.

https://theins.ru/en/opinion/colby-badhwar/274715

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You need money to fight a war....

Non-payment of taxes in Russia soared in April, when the amount of overdue debt increased at once from 43.8 to 152.9 billion rubles. In May, it increased by another 13.4 billion, to 166.3 billion, and in June it added an additional 10 billion rubles. Tax problems of business are growing as profits, from which it is necessary to pay off the budget, are rapidly decreasing, and banks massively block foreign payments. Businesses are 176.2 billion rubles behind after just 6 months and the economic situation is getting significantly worse. It's not a collapse, and percentage wise it's about 2% or something, but it is indicative of an accelerating decline facing the Russian economy that will only get worse.

https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2024/09/...hetom-dostigli-istoricheskogo-rekorda-a142712
 

Ukraine May Have A New Strategy In Russia’s Kursk Oblast—Move Fast And Surround Thousands Of Russian Troops​

A possible encirclement of Russian forces is developing in Kursk. It shocked many observers—apparently including many Russians—when, on Thursday, Ukrainian sappers riding in an ex-Soviet IMR-2 engineering vehicle breached Russian defenses along the Russia-Ukraine border just south of the Russian village of Novyi Put.
The village is 20 miles west of the main Ukrainian salient in Russia’s Kursk Oblast. Six weeks ago, a powerful Ukrainian force—around a dozen battalions from eight or so experienced brigades—invaded Kursk and quickly gained control of 400 square miles of Russian soil.

If it was unclear last week why the Ukrainians would also invade around Novyi Put, it’s a bit clearer now. Backed by tanks and covered by Ukrainian air force warplanes lobbing building-demolishing glide bombs, a Ukrainian tactical group apparently anchored by the 95th Air Assault Brigade is slicing right as it advances past Novyi Put and through the southern blocks of the nearest Russian town, Vesoloe. That is to say, the Ukrainian troops are turning toward the main Kursk salient. If the Ukrainians attacking northeast from Novyi Put can connect with the Ukrainians in the main salient, they’ll cut off potentially thousands of Russians between them and the border.

The move seems designed to completely surround an area roughly 260km² including the entire town of Glushkovo. The Seym River would prevent or slow a Russian retreat north while the Ukrainians control the west, south, and east of the cauldron, which contains approximately 10,000 Russian soldiers, many of them conscripts with little military training.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davida...ast-and-surround-thousands-of-russian-troops/

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What exactly is the belief that the Biden administration is better for Ukraine than a potential Trump administration based on? That it’s protecting Russia from defeat? And the expectation with Trump is that… he’ll protect Russia from defeat too? Exactly what has the Biden Admin done that's been a game changer for Ukraine? They have slow walked everything.

I'm willing to give Trump a chance on Ukraine if he wins in Nov. I don't think he will hand Ukraine over to Putin on a silver plate. Come on, man. Biden did his best to do that at the start of this war when Russian invaded and he's slow walked aid ever since. 76% of the $7.8 billion for assistance for Ukraine remains unspent with weeks to go before it runs out. Trump cannot be worse than Biden has been.

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What exactly is the belief that the Biden administration is better for Ukraine than a potential Trump administration based on? That it’s protecting Russia from defeat? And the expectation with Trump is that… he’ll protect Russia from defeat too? Exactly what has the Biden Admin done that's been a game changer for Ukraine? They have slow walked everything.

I'm willing to give Trump a chance on Ukraine if he wins in Nov. I don't think he will hand Ukraine over to Putin on a silver plate. Come on, man. Biden did his best to do that at the start of this war when Russian invaded and he's slow walked aid ever since. 76% of the $7.8 billion for assistance for Ukraine remains unspent with weeks to go before it runs out. Trump cannot be worse than Biden has been.

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The basics are - Russia gets all the land they currently occupy.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/9/17/whats-donald-trumps-plan-to-end-russias-war-on-ukraine
 

I don't think that's what'll end up happening at all and I suspect this is also why ZSU has seized a chunk of Kursk - because freezing things would mean Russia has lost a chunk of Kursk oblast and THAT will not be acceptable. That, and pressure from Congress, because a majority overall support continued aid for Ukraine and that won't change. Trump will continue to support Ukraine but rather more intelligently than Biden - he's already said he's in favor of lend lease.....realpolitik will win
 
I don't think that's what'll end up happening at all and I suspect this is also why ZSU has seized a chunk of Kursk - because freezing things would mean Russia has lost a chunk of Kursk oblast and THAT will not be acceptable. That, and pressure from Congress, because a majority overall support continued aid for Ukraine and that won't change. Trump will continue to support Ukraine but rather more intelligently than Biden - he's already said he's in favor of lend lease.....realpolitik will win
He already said he'd end the war within a month. And his current plan is to make Ukraine capitulate. What you think might happen and what he has said aren't the same thing.
 
He already said he'd end the war within a month. And his current plan is to make Ukraine capitulate. What you think might happen and what he has said aren't the same thing.

We'll have to wait and see, but Biden still carries all the responsibility for the shit show that US aid has been up until now.....
 
We'll have to wait and see, but Biden still carries all the responsibility for the shit show that US aid has been up until now.....
Lol ...so your original question just devolves into "but Biden"
 
This is a Tomahawk Land Attack Missile.

Like many other Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles it spends all day dreaming of flying through the sky to strike a ruSSian airbase.

However, this Tomahawk and thousands like it remain in captivity. Caged. Like prisoners.

FREE THE TOMAHAWKS!!

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So in reality you just trust him and don't care about any valid concerns that exist. 👍
Oh, there are valid concerns, I'll give you that, but I trust Trump to do the right thing, and Harris will be even more of a disaster for America than Biden was, so it's Trump + America and Ukraine will have to take it's chances. I support Ukraine, but there is no way I would put Ukraine ahead of America, and I trust Trump to do what's right.
 
This is a Twitter account I follow and Tatarigami has some very good points to make.

Tatarigami_UA@Tatarigami_UA

As Russian forces continue their advance in the Pokrovsk front, long-standing systemic issues within the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to aid Russians with that. Based on numerous conversations with sergeants, as well as junior, and senior officers in command positions in the Donbas region, I am writing this post the goal of highlighting the most common and consistent problems mentioned by people on the ground, per their request. Unfortunately, the higher command remains largely unresponsive to these concerns when raised internally.

1. Disconnect in Command and Combat Readiness

There is an apparent disconnect between higher command assessment and the actual combat readiness of units. In many cases, units with limited operational capacity are tasked with responsibilities far beyond their capabilities. For example, newly formed brigades with little battlefield experience are assigned to defend critical and high-risk areas of the frontline, where Russian forces have massed sufficient strength for a potential breakthrough. At the same time, more experienced and better-equipped brigades are stationed in less dangerous sectors.

This imbalance has allowed Russian forces to pinpoint weak spots along the frontline and exploit them, especially during unit rotations - something that they can track easily due to their ISR capabilities. The Ukrainian command, in turn, often scrambles to reallocate battalions from other areas to stabilize vulnerable areas that appeared from miscalculations.
While such actions can help to stabilize the line and even prevent a breakthrough, it leaves other parts of the frontline exposed, perpetuating a cycle of vulnerability.

For context, what may appear to higher-ups as “a company with 60% of its personnel ready for deployment” may, in reality, be a fatigued unit with multiple soldiers in their 40s and 50s or people with previous injuries and chronic health problems, as well as newly arrived recruits with minimal training. The true combat readiness may be closer to 30-40%, but on paper, commanders see a combat-ready unit

2. The Lack of Truth and Realistic Reporting

The previously discussed disconnect raises the question: Why don’t officers report their unit’s inability to perform certain missions? The answer is simple: Brigade commanders and senior officers are ultimately responsible for the combat and mobilization readiness of their units per regulations. Admitting that a unit cannot perform a task is often seen as a failure of brigade leadership. As a result, the command’s solution is simple: if a commander cannot ensure the unit’s readiness, someone else will be appointed to do so. But the situation with resources or combat readiness of unit doesn't improve - you just put a person who is going to push under-resourced and under-prepared units to complete a task they are not equipped to handle, leading to failed operations, abandoned positions, failed defenses, and unnecessary casualties - something that people can witness themselves by looking at the Deep State map.

3. Systematic Problems with Recruitment and Training

The quality and quantity of new recruits continue to fall short of expectations. Although some training centers have made improvements, overall readiness remains alarmingly insufficient. Many newly arrived soldiers are not prepared for the realities of frontline combat, forcing brigades to develop and implement their own internal training programs. The situation demands systemic reforms, including the creation of a structure that leverages the expertise of veterans or those recovering from injuries to train and mentor incoming recruits.

4. Little to no Accountability

Three years into the war, Ukraine has yet to fully implement an After Action Review (AAR) process, which hasn't been implemented except in cases where individual officers took the initiative. The tactical level is the highest level where it's used.

The blame for operational failures often falls on mid-level officers, and in some cases, even soldiers on the ground. Even in rare cases, after public scandals, when generals are removed from their posts following catastrophic failures, they are typically reassigned to other command positions rather than being held accountable, leaving little room for new, younger, and more innovative officers to rise through the ranks.

This inability to change with essentially a petrified soviet hierarchy within Ukraine’s military leadership continues to generate previously mentioned problems.

Epilogue

Ultimately, these problems are rooted in systemic failures at the top. Poor decision-making, inefficient resource allocation, inadequate recruitment and training programs, and a fundamental lack of understanding of the conditions on the ground continue to plague the AFU. These are not the failures of soldiers or officers who are risking their lives daily on the ground, and who are frequently blamed by command for failures. These are the consequences of people incapable of either admitting the problem or building a plan to address these problems.

The toll of these problems is paid by those on the frontlines, who sacrifice their lives and health to protect their families and their country.
 
Oh, there are valid concerns, I'll give you that, but I trust Trump to do the right thing, and Harris will be even more of a disaster for America than Biden was, so it's Trump + America and Ukraine will have to take it's chances. I support Ukraine, but there is no way I would put Ukraine ahead of America, and I trust Trump to do what's right.
So you don't really support Ukraine because you believe giving 1/3 of their territory to Russia is what is right.

Got it 👍
 
They're going to hit 650 k by the end of September. The daily average is climbing. If they keep this up it'll soon be 50k Russians a month eliminated and THAT is well above the Russian's ability to mobilize replacements. Right now they have been managing 30-35k a month but this takes them into deficit territory and that means that been Kursk and the meat assaults, their manpower will dry up.

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So you don't really support Ukraine because you believe giving 1/3 of their territory to Russia is what is right.

Got it 👍
I strongly doubt that will be how it will pan out, but in any case, President Jill better move her ass and get more military equipment and ammo to Ukraine. But somehow that seems to be drying up. The "As long as it takes" brigade has a short attention span and it's obvious they don't really want Ukraine to win. Ukraine and Europe really are going to have to go this one alone - Biden has capably demonstrated that the USA is in no way a reliable ally to anyone except Israel. The biggest threat to our security that Americans and our allies now face is our own leaders hypocrisy with regard to support for Ukraine and Israel. This stands as a potent warning to Taiwan, Japan, Vietnam, or any other country worried about Chinese intentions: you will be sacrificed.

I'll segue off here and say that our (American) leaders in particular have demonstrated effectively that they do not have the intestinal fortitude to fight China over Taiwan and this is probably one of the key effects of the Biden Administration's weaseling and pussy-footing on Ukraine. All their talk otherwise is just that: a bluff. Only Israel will ever receive the level of support the USA pretends it is obliged to offer its allies. Just as in Ukraine, if faced with a threat of nuclear escalation American leaders can be counted on to find any excuse to stop short of fighting. China thus has an open door to isolate Taiwan from its allies by exploiting America’s manifest fear of a real right. China’s path to taking Taiwan without firing a shot involves exploiting American hypocrisy to divide it from its allies in a slow, deliberate escalation that forces the USA to choose to take the first shot. America will be presented as provoking a needless conflict it isn’t prepared to win, using allies as convenient shields.

The stark contrast between American support for Ukraine and Israel is all that any enemy needs to assess how we will react and a very public demonstration of where US priorities really lie. No one has any reason to believe that the US will adequately honor any commitment except one made to Israel. Even holy NATO Article Five is suspect, the potential for invoking it perversely used in Ukraine to justify NOT shooting down Russian drones that approach or even enter NATO airspace. When push comes to shove, if there’s any way to cop out, the Biden Administration has demonstrated that Washington will apparently find a way to do it. Who can truly believe that the USA would risk a nuclear war over Taiwan when even the least credible threat of it from Moscow deters support for Ukraine?

That seed of doubt is lethal, and the Biden Administration, with their lack of support for Ukraine, has planted and watered that seed. Is it deliberate? Or is it stupidity? I'd go so far as to say that it's so obvious that it has to be deliberate, and that the people making these decisions are leftist traitors who's ultimate aim is, as with mass illegal entry of aliens into the US, to destroy the USA as a world power and as as example to the rest of the world. Sadly, it's an internal fight where we have to prioritize and America First victory over the traitors within who seek to destroy the USA, and THAT means the first priority is electing Trump and a conservative majority in both the House and the Senate. And THAT means we also have to get rid of the RINO's and the GOP Quislings and fellow travelers like Romney and his ilk so that we can effectively and ruthlessly clean house. We need Musk, Vivek and Vance all getting down and cutting the bureaucracy to the bone and cutting off the govt teat.

As for Ukraine, that's a war that Biden instigated with his weakness, and he's prolonged it and backstabbed and sabotaged Ukraine at every turn. 76% of the $7.8 billion Congress allocated for aid is unused. THAT is sabotage and THAT is deliberate and THAT is Biden through and through. A fucking loser and a fucking traitor from start to finish, and anybody that still supports Biden/Harris is pretty much a traitor to the USA along with them.

If Trump chooses to cut our losses and force a settlement, well, so be it. Blame Biden for fucking around. And for being a traitor taking his kickbacks from whoever. To my mind it's a tossup on the bribes, but that the Biden Administration has done it's best to discredit the USA is not in doubt. What could he have possibly done that would show us in a worse light? Not much.
 
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