ChloeTzang
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For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine
- Thread starter Rightguide
- Start date
ChloeTzang
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We shall agree to....agree!!!!! Not nearly good enough!
ChloeTzang
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ChloeTzang
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Earnings reports for Russia's largest steel producers for 3rd quarter coming in absolutely appocalyptic. Down on average -75% YoY.
Imagine going bankrupt as a steel producer in the middle of a war. Tells you everything you need to know about the Russian economy. They're fucked.....
Taking bets now on when whether Putin eats a lead pill, drinks a cup of polonium tea, commits suicide by shooting himself in the back of the head 5 times, drowns while riding bears in Siberia or does the Ceaucescu Dance
Imagine going bankrupt as a steel producer in the middle of a war. Tells you everything you need to know about the Russian economy. They're fucked.....
Taking bets now on when whether Putin eats a lead pill, drinks a cup of polonium tea, commits suicide by shooting himself in the back of the head 5 times, drowns while riding bears in Siberia or does the Ceaucescu Dance
ChloeTzang
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PUTIN and GERASIMOV’S VICTORIES EXPOSED: THEY EXIST ONLY ON RUSSIAN TV
In a press conference in front of Putin, Gerasimov claimed massive wins in Ukraine – but even Russian milbloggers say it's all fake. Russian milbloggers started quoting reports from the ISW (Institue from the Study of War) to mock Gerasimov.
During the last 1000 days russia managed to capture less than 1% of the Ukrainian territory, but triggered the collapse of the Russian Federation itself.
ChloeTzang
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Great Night for Ukraine
- Major pretrochecmical plant attacked
- Two oil deports in occupied Crimea hit
- small oil refinery in Ukyanovsk region taken offlibe
- Mariysjy oil refinery in the Mari El reoublic hit - reportedly ablaze
- substation in Bryansk region hit
- Pantsir SAM syste and 2 radar stations in Crimea hit
- 93 out of 126 Russian drones shot down
- Russia shelled a children's hospital in Kherson
- Major pretrochecmical plant attacked
- Two oil deports in occupied Crimea hit
- small oil refinery in Ukyanovsk region taken offlibe
- Mariysjy oil refinery in the Mari El reoublic hit - reportedly ablaze
- substation in Bryansk region hit
- Pantsir SAM syste and 2 radar stations in Crimea hit
- 93 out of 126 Russian drones shot down
- Russia shelled a children's hospital in Kherson
ChloeTzang
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Ukrainian situation in Pokrovsk....
That ^ is why the U.S. needs to provide DIRECT military aid (an all of the above approach that offsets Russian advantages - I.E. proportional response).
The continued successful Ukrainian drone (etc) sanctions on Russia’s war infrastructure suggests that a little more pressure (cruise missiles / long range HIMARS strikes) on some key points inside Russia and in the occupied territories of Ukraine could cause things to tip dramatically in Ukraine’s favo - but we all know DonOld the traitor (Putin’s puppet) will NOT provide Ukraine with longer range strike capabilities. Note: President Biden WOULD HAVE ALREADY PROVIDED LONGER RANGE STRIKE CAPABILITIES. See: President Biden consistently increasing the level of lethal aid to Ukraine as warranted, based on Russian escalation.
Slava Ukraini!!!
We. Told. Them. So.
ChloeTzang
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Putin assured Trump he could take Pokrovsk and then the Donetsk, which is why Trump kept shifting out his "TACO" dates - Trump has been doing his best to save Putin's bacon but Putin needs a lot more than Trump can give him.
Anyhow, Ukraine has some of their best units around Pokrovsk and they ikely have their own strategy here - let us not forget the enormous casualties the Russians are taking here and the pushbacks Ukraine is capable of when the situation demands.
ChloeTzang
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Battle for Pokrovsk
(I've lifted parts of Andrew Tanner's latest newsletter but removed all the superfluous waffle)
....a pitched battle is required, despite the risks. Pokrovsk has both operational and strategic importance now, and if I’m right, the defense is proceeding largely according to plan, strange as that may sound when media outlets are heralding Pokrovsk’s imminent fall as orc infiltrators seep through the gaps in Ukrainian positions. The orcs are in the Deep, so to speak, and the Ukrainians can absolutely lose this fight. They can also win it, in so doing smashing Putin’s last best hope of taking urban Donbas. He’s staking a lot on Pokrovsk, so to defeat his forces there would be a massive blow.
It has taken the orcs close to two years to march from Avdiivka to Pokrovsk, a distance of roughly fifty kilometers - less than an hour’s drive in peacetime. The human and material costs imposed on Moscow are on par with the bloodiest battles of either world war - hundreds of thousands dead and wounded. In objective scientific terms, this is a disaster - the kind of military debacle that often precedes the fall of a regime, especially one sitting in Moscow. However: it Putin’s troops ultimately succeed in securing Pokrovsk, it will become a powerful base for further advances, all but guaranteeing a desperate struggle for Ukraine’s larger urban Donbas fortress. Putin will be able to semi-credibly argue the case that his army actually is making meaningful progress despite the atrocious cost.
If my read of Ukrainian operational strategy is correct, though, the way Ukraine has structured the defense of Pokrovsk suggests that the orcs breaking through sooner or later was expected. Once they did, they’d be trapped in the ruins and systematically destroyed, paving the way for a bigger counteroffensive to stabilize the broader area and render Putin’s gains moot. Despite the extremely difficult situation right now, the fight for Pokrovsk is far from lost. The lure of a significant battlefield victory has provoked Putin to order the place taken at any cost. This removes the initiative from him and hands it to Ukraine - provided sufficient support is ready to go in and make Putin pay for his mistake. That’s the crux of Syrskyi’s entire plan, if it is anything like what I expect.
Latest word is that Ukrainian special forces are deploying to clear out the two hundred or so infiltrators moving through the town. No doubt bigger groups are moving up behind, so it’ll be a bloody fight. Some of Ukraine’s best brigades are now working for 1st and 7th Corps, which have entirely taken over the front from 9th Corps so far as I can tell. Moscow reportedly has more than ten thousand fresh orcs ready to play meat wave under 2nd Combined Arms Army, with the first disposables aiming to infiltrate as far as they can through Ukrainian positions to attack logistics and drone teams. Most should be dead or wounded by late December. How many Ukrainian lives this costs will determine how far Ukraine can push the enemy back over winter and spring.
(In this war) there are no rules except what works. Both sides have every incentive to take whatever actions will materially improve their position relative to their enemy without triggering an internal collapse. The need to survive at any cost tends to burn away illusions. Often, it’s the side that makes the necessary adjustment first that prevails. The Muscovites have tried, and are still trying, but the nature of Putin’s system leaves it inflexible. While things aren’t perfect in Ukraine, they’re still better on average. That gap tends to magnify with time.
Most coverage of the Ukraine War is contaminated by a collective failure to adapt on the part of US - and many allied - defense professionals. After a trickle of semi-modern NATO weapons failed to overwhelm the effects of Moscow’s mobilization in late 2022, Ukraine’s allies, especially the USA, visibly lost faith in Ukraine winning the conflict - to the degree they ever really had it. The myth of invincibility around US gear and methods makes certain US companies a lot of cash while ensuring that the US military need never embark on the massive structural reforms now required to keep it competitive. It’s also deeply uncomfortable for them when a small country is able to smash a bigger one.
The Ukrainians aren’t stupid, and by 2024 understood that their survival depended on rapidly developing indigenous solutions, both technological and operational. To sustain the argument that Ukraine could and would eventually win, the Kursk Campaign in 2024 was necessary. It proved to allies that Ukraine was in this thing to win it all and that Moscow is so committed to trying to take Donbas that it won’t even properly defend its own frontiers. North Koreans are needed for that. But everywhere else, 2024 and most of 2025 was about conducting a fighting withdrawal in the sectors where Moscow was most determined to advance. This bought time - and a halving of fatality rates - at the cost of creating what might best be described as a moral debt. Instead of simply abandoning the territory, many Ukrainians were forced to give their lives making the orcs pay in blood for every square meter. To make good their sacrifice, once the orcs are finally weak enough the land must be taken back.
Ukrainian blood has achieved the final destruction of most of Moscow’s Soviet-era material reserves, dramatically reducing the effective combat power of Putin’s entire army. The old Soviet inventory is gone, prompting a resort to Korean War style human wave attacks. Only, instead of trying to overwhelm defenders across a broad area in one mass pulse, Moscow sends them in a constant flow. It can work at the tactical level and sometimes even operational, because fighting positions run out of ammo fast and drones make resupply operations much, much harder.
Muscovite tactics strongly resemble how the Japanese Army fought during the Pacific War. The Japanese would push large numbers of infantry as close to enemy positions as possible, infiltrating through their lines if possible. Once they began launching coordinated attacks, the chaos produced would open the door to mass charges that stood to overwhelm the defense. Using these techniques Japanese badly shocked British forces in southeast Asia and wound up seizing the supposedly impregnable fortress of Singapore - as big a blow to London as the Fall of France, heralding the end of the British Empire. MacArthur’s defeat in the Philippines was less catastrophic, but no less consequential for the war effort that followed. In circumstances where everything went to plan, the result of Japanese infiltration tactics could be a swift and decisive enemy defeat. Against both the Soviets and USA later in the war, powers that emphasized firepower above all else, infiltrate-then-charge usually led to catastrophic losses and battlefield defeat. This has always been the trouble with these types of operations, whether using parachutes, gliders, boats, helicopters or some other vehicle to get past the enemy’s forward positions. The surprise effect lasts a very brief time, and if the enemy’s main line isn’t breached by heavy follow-on forces, the infiltrators are screwed.
At the strategic level, what’s happening to the orcs in Ukraine is so obvious that most US experts missing it says a great deal about the degradation of military science in this sorry country. To replicate the conditions that allowed rapid advances in 2022, Moscow had to be induced to once again commit to a campaign beyond orc means. Syrskyi, maybe because he trained as a Soviet, has been working since 2024 to maneuver the orcs into just this sort of trap, the way forces under his command did in Kharkiv in 2022.
Whether the grand plan can hold up to current realities stands to be decided in Pokrovsk by the end of the year. What happens there will send an important signal about the odds of Moscow succeeding in taking its other priority targets, ***** and to a lesser extent Kupiansk. If they don’t fall by early 2026, they likely never will, and Moscow is never seizing all of Donbas.
It comes as no surprise that the vast majority of published analysis continues to miss the bigger picture when it comes to Ukraine. Ukraine is winning the war in objective terms. It only doesn’t look that way because foreign and even some domestic coverage is systematically flawed. When a country with far less native military potential and wishy-washy allies is able to withstand an all-out assault by an empire some used to call a superpower, that’s a victory which begs serious questions about the true state of knowledge in military and international affairs. Frankly, it’s an insult to everyone who shed blood for Ukraine that their fight is presented the way it is.
When the war is long over, they will remember. And an appropriate price will be exacted in the due course of time. The Ukrainians are scary patient, and don’t seem inclined to forget anything that enabled this nightmare.
(I've lifted parts of Andrew Tanner's latest newsletter but removed all the superfluous waffle)
....a pitched battle is required, despite the risks. Pokrovsk has both operational and strategic importance now, and if I’m right, the defense is proceeding largely according to plan, strange as that may sound when media outlets are heralding Pokrovsk’s imminent fall as orc infiltrators seep through the gaps in Ukrainian positions. The orcs are in the Deep, so to speak, and the Ukrainians can absolutely lose this fight. They can also win it, in so doing smashing Putin’s last best hope of taking urban Donbas. He’s staking a lot on Pokrovsk, so to defeat his forces there would be a massive blow.
It has taken the orcs close to two years to march from Avdiivka to Pokrovsk, a distance of roughly fifty kilometers - less than an hour’s drive in peacetime. The human and material costs imposed on Moscow are on par with the bloodiest battles of either world war - hundreds of thousands dead and wounded. In objective scientific terms, this is a disaster - the kind of military debacle that often precedes the fall of a regime, especially one sitting in Moscow. However: it Putin’s troops ultimately succeed in securing Pokrovsk, it will become a powerful base for further advances, all but guaranteeing a desperate struggle for Ukraine’s larger urban Donbas fortress. Putin will be able to semi-credibly argue the case that his army actually is making meaningful progress despite the atrocious cost.
If my read of Ukrainian operational strategy is correct, though, the way Ukraine has structured the defense of Pokrovsk suggests that the orcs breaking through sooner or later was expected. Once they did, they’d be trapped in the ruins and systematically destroyed, paving the way for a bigger counteroffensive to stabilize the broader area and render Putin’s gains moot. Despite the extremely difficult situation right now, the fight for Pokrovsk is far from lost. The lure of a significant battlefield victory has provoked Putin to order the place taken at any cost. This removes the initiative from him and hands it to Ukraine - provided sufficient support is ready to go in and make Putin pay for his mistake. That’s the crux of Syrskyi’s entire plan, if it is anything like what I expect.
Latest word is that Ukrainian special forces are deploying to clear out the two hundred or so infiltrators moving through the town. No doubt bigger groups are moving up behind, so it’ll be a bloody fight. Some of Ukraine’s best brigades are now working for 1st and 7th Corps, which have entirely taken over the front from 9th Corps so far as I can tell. Moscow reportedly has more than ten thousand fresh orcs ready to play meat wave under 2nd Combined Arms Army, with the first disposables aiming to infiltrate as far as they can through Ukrainian positions to attack logistics and drone teams. Most should be dead or wounded by late December. How many Ukrainian lives this costs will determine how far Ukraine can push the enemy back over winter and spring.
(In this war) there are no rules except what works. Both sides have every incentive to take whatever actions will materially improve their position relative to their enemy without triggering an internal collapse. The need to survive at any cost tends to burn away illusions. Often, it’s the side that makes the necessary adjustment first that prevails. The Muscovites have tried, and are still trying, but the nature of Putin’s system leaves it inflexible. While things aren’t perfect in Ukraine, they’re still better on average. That gap tends to magnify with time.
Most coverage of the Ukraine War is contaminated by a collective failure to adapt on the part of US - and many allied - defense professionals. After a trickle of semi-modern NATO weapons failed to overwhelm the effects of Moscow’s mobilization in late 2022, Ukraine’s allies, especially the USA, visibly lost faith in Ukraine winning the conflict - to the degree they ever really had it. The myth of invincibility around US gear and methods makes certain US companies a lot of cash while ensuring that the US military need never embark on the massive structural reforms now required to keep it competitive. It’s also deeply uncomfortable for them when a small country is able to smash a bigger one.
The Ukrainians aren’t stupid, and by 2024 understood that their survival depended on rapidly developing indigenous solutions, both technological and operational. To sustain the argument that Ukraine could and would eventually win, the Kursk Campaign in 2024 was necessary. It proved to allies that Ukraine was in this thing to win it all and that Moscow is so committed to trying to take Donbas that it won’t even properly defend its own frontiers. North Koreans are needed for that. But everywhere else, 2024 and most of 2025 was about conducting a fighting withdrawal in the sectors where Moscow was most determined to advance. This bought time - and a halving of fatality rates - at the cost of creating what might best be described as a moral debt. Instead of simply abandoning the territory, many Ukrainians were forced to give their lives making the orcs pay in blood for every square meter. To make good their sacrifice, once the orcs are finally weak enough the land must be taken back.
Ukrainian blood has achieved the final destruction of most of Moscow’s Soviet-era material reserves, dramatically reducing the effective combat power of Putin’s entire army. The old Soviet inventory is gone, prompting a resort to Korean War style human wave attacks. Only, instead of trying to overwhelm defenders across a broad area in one mass pulse, Moscow sends them in a constant flow. It can work at the tactical level and sometimes even operational, because fighting positions run out of ammo fast and drones make resupply operations much, much harder.
Muscovite tactics strongly resemble how the Japanese Army fought during the Pacific War. The Japanese would push large numbers of infantry as close to enemy positions as possible, infiltrating through their lines if possible. Once they began launching coordinated attacks, the chaos produced would open the door to mass charges that stood to overwhelm the defense. Using these techniques Japanese badly shocked British forces in southeast Asia and wound up seizing the supposedly impregnable fortress of Singapore - as big a blow to London as the Fall of France, heralding the end of the British Empire. MacArthur’s defeat in the Philippines was less catastrophic, but no less consequential for the war effort that followed. In circumstances where everything went to plan, the result of Japanese infiltration tactics could be a swift and decisive enemy defeat. Against both the Soviets and USA later in the war, powers that emphasized firepower above all else, infiltrate-then-charge usually led to catastrophic losses and battlefield defeat. This has always been the trouble with these types of operations, whether using parachutes, gliders, boats, helicopters or some other vehicle to get past the enemy’s forward positions. The surprise effect lasts a very brief time, and if the enemy’s main line isn’t breached by heavy follow-on forces, the infiltrators are screwed.
At the strategic level, what’s happening to the orcs in Ukraine is so obvious that most US experts missing it says a great deal about the degradation of military science in this sorry country. To replicate the conditions that allowed rapid advances in 2022, Moscow had to be induced to once again commit to a campaign beyond orc means. Syrskyi, maybe because he trained as a Soviet, has been working since 2024 to maneuver the orcs into just this sort of trap, the way forces under his command did in Kharkiv in 2022.
Whether the grand plan can hold up to current realities stands to be decided in Pokrovsk by the end of the year. What happens there will send an important signal about the odds of Moscow succeeding in taking its other priority targets, ***** and to a lesser extent Kupiansk. If they don’t fall by early 2026, they likely never will, and Moscow is never seizing all of Donbas.
It comes as no surprise that the vast majority of published analysis continues to miss the bigger picture when it comes to Ukraine. Ukraine is winning the war in objective terms. It only doesn’t look that way because foreign and even some domestic coverage is systematically flawed. When a country with far less native military potential and wishy-washy allies is able to withstand an all-out assault by an empire some used to call a superpower, that’s a victory which begs serious questions about the true state of knowledge in military and international affairs. Frankly, it’s an insult to everyone who shed blood for Ukraine that their fight is presented the way it is.
When the war is long over, they will remember. And an appropriate price will be exacted in the due course of time. The Ukrainians are scary patient, and don’t seem inclined to forget anything that enabled this nightmare.
ChloeTzang
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Pokrovsk (2)
These past few months have witnessed a noted reduction in the scope of Moscow’s assault on Ukraine. Some fronts have gone almost quiet in order to maintain the pace of efforts in more important areas. The orcs are no longer attacking as hard as they can everywhere in hopes of keeping the Ukrainians tied down all over the place. Sumy, Borova, Kostyantynivka, and Novopavlivka, all priority fronts earlier in the year, have seen reduced orc activity. Belatedly focusing efforts more than in the past is a sign of Moscow’s steady weakening on the ground. And the process hasn’t gone nearly far enough, with costly limited advances on ancillary fronts still happening to keep the Ukrainians distracted.
Now that uncertainty about where the orcs may commit their reserves has been removed, the Ukrainians hold the initiative when it comes to deciding where and when to make their own reply. With Muscovite troops struggling to supply positions in the face of Ukrainian drone attacks as much as the reverse is sometimes true, the Ukrainians can plan how to best cut their formations apart, exploiting the fact that the farther orcs get from a supply base, the weaker they are at the point of contact. Put simply, the orcs entering places like Pokrovsk and Kupiansk are vulnerable to isolation and systematic destruction until they are able to deeply entrench and amass supplies. The Ukrainians can use those moments where they are able to seize drone superiority to resupply and reinforce those positions they choose to hold inside the towns, much as appears to have been the case during the ruinous orc grinds through Toretsk and Chasiv Yar.
There would normally be much to like about a strategy of simply letting the orcs in then cutting off their logistics with flanking attacks the way they’ve been trying to do to the Ukrainians. Moving around the flanks of occupied Pokrovsk to trap as many orcs as possible is highly attractive - in theory. But there’s a marked difference in scale between border villages where this is working out quite well and an urban area that used to have a population of around a hundred thousand. So the Ukrainians will need to hold select positions in Pokrovsk to make the orcs fight block by block and turn first one, then the other, orc flank.
This makes containing and destroying the teams currently infiltrating through a priority. Constantly hitting drone operators trying to work from the southern fringes with air and HIMARS strikes is essential. Aviation-wise, I think it’s safe to say that the Ukrainians can run around two dozen sorties in eastern Ukraine every day, half by F-16s packing up to eight small diameter bombs, the other half Su-27s, MiG-29s, and Su-25s toting a couple heavier Hammer-type weapons. If all are allocated to Pokrovsk for a week or two, that should allow for a couple drone positions to be obliterated every hour or so during daylight without damaging Ukraine’s ability to protect the skies behind the front at night. There will be some losses, I’m afraid, but some good Patriot SAMbushes stand to get a few Sukhois, too. Ukraine now has the kit to win a stand-up fight.
The orc plan for Pokrovsk has now definitely shifted from a broad encirclement to something much more narrow, Muscovite troops pushing around the edge of Pokrovsk to sever logistics corridors while Ukrainians are occupied with the infiltrators downtown. Eliminating these flanking attacks is the first priority, and the visible defeat of Moscow’s ill-fated push in the Dobropillya area should free Ukrainian fighters up to go after the orcs closer to town.
Ukraine’s biggest problem fighting anywhere is still Moscow’s glide bombs making it too risky for soldiers to gather in groups sufficient to properly cover their assigned section of front or mass prior to an assault. It isn’t really trench warfare any more in Ukraine. The fighting now takes the shape of a vast ongoing skirmish in the space between both sides’ drone teams. Ukrainians and orcs trying to move forward both work to occupy a chain of positions connected by reasonably secure logistics. Ukrainian fighters on the ground have to cope with a situation where, after infiltrators reach a certain density, a devoted clearing operation must be initiated by specialized forces. This is not an easy fight for either side and Ukraine may actually be fighting not to defend or ever reclaim Donbas, but simply to make the orcs pay the highest possible price in blood to take it.
These past few months have witnessed a noted reduction in the scope of Moscow’s assault on Ukraine. Some fronts have gone almost quiet in order to maintain the pace of efforts in more important areas. The orcs are no longer attacking as hard as they can everywhere in hopes of keeping the Ukrainians tied down all over the place. Sumy, Borova, Kostyantynivka, and Novopavlivka, all priority fronts earlier in the year, have seen reduced orc activity. Belatedly focusing efforts more than in the past is a sign of Moscow’s steady weakening on the ground. And the process hasn’t gone nearly far enough, with costly limited advances on ancillary fronts still happening to keep the Ukrainians distracted.
Now that uncertainty about where the orcs may commit their reserves has been removed, the Ukrainians hold the initiative when it comes to deciding where and when to make their own reply. With Muscovite troops struggling to supply positions in the face of Ukrainian drone attacks as much as the reverse is sometimes true, the Ukrainians can plan how to best cut their formations apart, exploiting the fact that the farther orcs get from a supply base, the weaker they are at the point of contact. Put simply, the orcs entering places like Pokrovsk and Kupiansk are vulnerable to isolation and systematic destruction until they are able to deeply entrench and amass supplies. The Ukrainians can use those moments where they are able to seize drone superiority to resupply and reinforce those positions they choose to hold inside the towns, much as appears to have been the case during the ruinous orc grinds through Toretsk and Chasiv Yar.
There would normally be much to like about a strategy of simply letting the orcs in then cutting off their logistics with flanking attacks the way they’ve been trying to do to the Ukrainians. Moving around the flanks of occupied Pokrovsk to trap as many orcs as possible is highly attractive - in theory. But there’s a marked difference in scale between border villages where this is working out quite well and an urban area that used to have a population of around a hundred thousand. So the Ukrainians will need to hold select positions in Pokrovsk to make the orcs fight block by block and turn first one, then the other, orc flank.
This makes containing and destroying the teams currently infiltrating through a priority. Constantly hitting drone operators trying to work from the southern fringes with air and HIMARS strikes is essential. Aviation-wise, I think it’s safe to say that the Ukrainians can run around two dozen sorties in eastern Ukraine every day, half by F-16s packing up to eight small diameter bombs, the other half Su-27s, MiG-29s, and Su-25s toting a couple heavier Hammer-type weapons. If all are allocated to Pokrovsk for a week or two, that should allow for a couple drone positions to be obliterated every hour or so during daylight without damaging Ukraine’s ability to protect the skies behind the front at night. There will be some losses, I’m afraid, but some good Patriot SAMbushes stand to get a few Sukhois, too. Ukraine now has the kit to win a stand-up fight.
The orc plan for Pokrovsk has now definitely shifted from a broad encirclement to something much more narrow, Muscovite troops pushing around the edge of Pokrovsk to sever logistics corridors while Ukrainians are occupied with the infiltrators downtown. Eliminating these flanking attacks is the first priority, and the visible defeat of Moscow’s ill-fated push in the Dobropillya area should free Ukrainian fighters up to go after the orcs closer to town.
Ukraine’s biggest problem fighting anywhere is still Moscow’s glide bombs making it too risky for soldiers to gather in groups sufficient to properly cover their assigned section of front or mass prior to an assault. It isn’t really trench warfare any more in Ukraine. The fighting now takes the shape of a vast ongoing skirmish in the space between both sides’ drone teams. Ukrainians and orcs trying to move forward both work to occupy a chain of positions connected by reasonably secure logistics. Ukrainian fighters on the ground have to cope with a situation where, after infiltrators reach a certain density, a devoted clearing operation must be initiated by specialized forces. This is not an easy fight for either side and Ukraine may actually be fighting not to defend or ever reclaim Donbas, but simply to make the orcs pay the highest possible price in blood to take it.
ChloeTzang
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“EVERYTHING IS SINKING!” - Russian Soldiers Panic, Water Rushes in, Compulsory Swimming Lessons
00:00 Intro
00:13 Belgorod Dam
03:20 Satellite flooding
05:02 Which units
06:29 Buy Me a Coffee Members + Comment
08:26 Russia started seizing oil and gas companies from Oligarchs
11:04 Perfect illustration of how the fuel crisis affects the russian units
12:48 Targets tonight
15:30 Russian train logistics is pathetic near Tokmak
17:19 Russian Terminator IFV barrel warp is out of this world
19:32 Russian floating heavy lift crane capsized in Sevastopol
20:53 German 45-th Tank Brigade has a message to us all (goosebumps here)
24:10 What's their role
25:42 Ukrainians saved a camel from a zoo
ChloeTzang
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Ukraine’s WATER TRAP... Russian Soldiers SWEPT AWAY by Dam Strike
Ukraine has just pulled off a tactical masterclass. In a daring drone strike, Ukrainian forces hit the Belgorod Reservoir Dam, flooding Russian positions and trapping entire units in a sudden surge of water. Vehicles, supplies, and soldiers were swept away as chaos unfolded across the front. Discover how this single strike turned the tide near Vovchansk, exposed Russian vulnerabilities, and showed the world Ukraine’s strategic brilliance in modern warfare.
Um, Russia is adapting and bringing their advantages to bear (numbers, willingness to sacrifice countless "soldiers", their own drones, glide bombs / jet powered glide bombs, cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, etc, etc…
Ukraine’s resources and capabilities are NOT limitless. A retreat from Pokrovsk seems imminent with Russian drones cutting off re-supply and Ukrainian units effectively encircled.
A flood of longer range HIMARS, some cruise missiles, and a more robust show of U.S. support could do wonders at this critical moment.
It also would have been nice if the U.S. had assisted Ukraine in building a clandestine underground supply tunnel to Western Pokrovsk.
I have read reports of the Ukrainians mining the basements of the structures they have abandoned in southeast Pokrovsk, so they could be using Pokrovsk as a huge attrition trap, but that seems a best case scenario at this point.
MORE DIRECT U.S. AID TO UKRAINE NOW!!! (DonOld aka Putin’s Puppet won’t do the right thing.)
Slava Ukraini!!!
We. Told. Them. So.
ChloeTzang
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Situation in Pokrovsk
ChloeTzang
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Russia's Oil Burns: 13 Airports Shut Down
Ukraine’s $500 FPV drones are dismantling Russian operations across Donetsk Oblast, delivering a shocking blow to Moscow's logistical and armored capabilities. Jason Jay Smart’s exclusive frontline report details how cheap precision warfare is fundamentally changing the conflict, revealing the stark imbalance between drone cost and the destruction of multi-million dollar Russian assets.
This report captures the direct impact of 110 FPV drones delivered to Ukraine's elite 501st Marine Battalion. These operators now establish continuous interdiction belts near Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Kurakhove, and along the Bakhmut axis. The video shows frontline teams systematically disabling Russian armor and transport on roads previously considered safe, illustrating why Russian daylight convoys are rapidly shrinking across Donbas.
The footage reveals Ukraine’s ingenious repair pipelines and rigorous training cycles that ensure constant drone aerial presence. It demonstrates precise target prioritization and critical artillery coordination, detailing how damaged Russian assets are finished with lethal efficiency. This coverage also examines the role of electronic countermeasures, forcing Russia to drastically slow its operational tempo and exposing severe vulnerabilities in Russian military logistics.
The current situation on the Donetsk front is defined by this sustained drone pressure. Russian forces face layered threats, with recovery crews operating under continuous interdiction. This new era of cheap precision has reshaped battlefield tempo, defining the cost imbalance that now governs modern warfare and impacting every aspect of ground operations from supply routes to troop movements.
CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Intro
01:05 - Journalist Frontline: Return from The Intense Donbass Fight
01:53 - Russia's Suicide Tactics: Counting The Meat Assault Casualties
03:08 - Grand Strategy: Destroying Russia’s Capacity to Wage War
05:09 - Next-Gen Drones: The German-Ukrainian Edge Dominating The War
07:39 - The Drone Revolution: Why Russia's Attrition War Failed
10:52 - The Axis of War: Countries Secretly Aiding Russia
15:33 - Outro
ChloeTzang
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Russia's Propaganda Facade Crumbles As The Economy Implodes
The Kremlin’s lies are collapsing — both abroad and at home.
Putin’s second “superweapon” in just ten days turns out to be another fake, as Russia’s propaganda machine loses its grip on reality — and on its own people.
Inside Russia, the economy is crumbling: the steel and trucking industries report catastrophic losses
Ukraine continues to strike deep into Russian territory — hitting oil refineries and even parts of Moscow’s power grid.
We’ll also look at how new AI tools are using Russian disinformation as sources and "facts" — and what that means for the future of Putin’s war.
ChloeTzang
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Interesting. The Rosgvardiya are Putin's internal army, used to guarantee his control inside Russia. If they're mobilizing them for the front they are hard up indeed - and Putin's internal control wil weaken. These guys won't appreciate being uses as meat.
ChloeTzang
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Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces are recruiting - 15,000 vacancies and expanding fast
ChloeTzang
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ChloeTzang
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The average lifespand of a Russian soldier, from the moment of signing his contract and being inducted into the Russian Army, to his death, as approximately 12 days.
Their only training is a few days where they fire a few shots from their rifle. It's getting worse and worse for the Russians.
Their only training is a few days where they fire a few shots from their rifle. It's getting worse and worse for the Russians.
ChloeTzang
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ChloeTzang
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Russia wants Pokrovsk by end of year
Today we're looking at the developing situation around Pokrovsk where Russia continues to press forward with small groups while attacking the edges with armored assaults.
Meanwhile, Ukraine is using drones to hunt down Russian elements in the city and prevent them from attaining a strong foothold. We also have Putin suggesting a short term ceasefire in Pokrovsk so foreign journalists can come to document the situation and another large drone and missile attack carried out overnight. This likely won't happen.
Today we're looking at the developing situation around Pokrovsk where Russia continues to press forward with small groups while attacking the edges with armored assaults.
Meanwhile, Ukraine is using drones to hunt down Russian elements in the city and prevent them from attaining a strong foothold. We also have Putin suggesting a short term ceasefire in Pokrovsk so foreign journalists can come to document the situation and another large drone and missile attack carried out overnight. This likely won't happen.
ChloeTzang
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Putin's Crimea Main Railway Is Gone—Trains STOPPED as Ukraine Shut Down Main Link
This clip is a bit hyperbolic but seems like Ukrainian partisans took out a train near Berdiansk and blocked the railway link thru to the front in the south at the same time. This osrt of blockage can take at least a couple of weeks to clear.
This is not a HIMARS strike. This is the story of Russia's greatest fear realized—a war they cannot win against an enemy they cannot see.
On October 26, deep inside Russian-occupied territory, a critical ammo train supplying Putin's "Land Bridge" to Crimea was annihilated. But the weapon wasn't a missile; it was a sophisticated sabotage operation executed by Ukraine's "invisible army." This is the nightmare of the FSB: local electricians, farmers, and railway workers, trained by GUR and SBU, who are now dismantling the Russian war machine from the inside out.
This single act of sabotage has plunged Russia's southern front, already suffering from "shell hunger," into a logistical death spiral.
In this deep-dive analysis, you will discover:
► The Anatomy of the Sabotage: How partisans destroyed a 70-meter train, paralyzing a vital artery of the land bridge.
► The 'Total Resistance' Doctrine: How Ukraine's "soft intelligence" from civilians and "hard power" from special forces are creating an unstoppable synergy.
► FSB's Unwinnable War: Why Russia's Stalinist tactics of mass arrests and collective punishment are only fueling the resistance and creating more partisans.
► The Strategic Impact: How this single "clot in the jugular" will lead to the starvation and collapse of Russian forces in Tokmak, Melitopol, and ultimately Crimea.
This is not just a train explosion. This is proof that Putin's occupation is rotting from within.
This clip is a bit hyperbolic but seems like Ukrainian partisans took out a train near Berdiansk and blocked the railway link thru to the front in the south at the same time. This osrt of blockage can take at least a couple of weeks to clear.
This is not a HIMARS strike. This is the story of Russia's greatest fear realized—a war they cannot win against an enemy they cannot see.
On October 26, deep inside Russian-occupied territory, a critical ammo train supplying Putin's "Land Bridge" to Crimea was annihilated. But the weapon wasn't a missile; it was a sophisticated sabotage operation executed by Ukraine's "invisible army." This is the nightmare of the FSB: local electricians, farmers, and railway workers, trained by GUR and SBU, who are now dismantling the Russian war machine from the inside out.
This single act of sabotage has plunged Russia's southern front, already suffering from "shell hunger," into a logistical death spiral.
In this deep-dive analysis, you will discover:
► The Anatomy of the Sabotage: How partisans destroyed a 70-meter train, paralyzing a vital artery of the land bridge.
► The 'Total Resistance' Doctrine: How Ukraine's "soft intelligence" from civilians and "hard power" from special forces are creating an unstoppable synergy.
► FSB's Unwinnable War: Why Russia's Stalinist tactics of mass arrests and collective punishment are only fueling the resistance and creating more partisans.
► The Strategic Impact: How this single "clot in the jugular" will lead to the starvation and collapse of Russian forces in Tokmak, Melitopol, and ultimately Crimea.
This is not just a train explosion. This is proof that Putin's occupation is rotting from within.
ChloeTzang
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Ukrainian special ops exterminate Russian soldiers street by street
The Russians have hurried to announce an alleged encirclement of Ukrainian forces in Myrnohrad, but this proclamation of victory came a little too soon. Ukrainian special forces have just conducted one of the most extensive clearing operations around the town, eliminating Russian infiltrators, and keeping the supply routes secured.
The Russian Ministry of Defense triumphantly announced that its forces had successfully encircled the Ukrainian defenders in Myrnohrad. According to Russian state media, troops advancing from Rodynske had captured the settlement, and with Russian infiltration groups penetrating deep in Pokrovsk, they had allegedly cut off all supply routes and placed Ukrainian logistics under fire control. Russian Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov even reported to President Putin that the encirclement of Myrnohrad and partial encirclement of Pokrovsk had been achieved. Russian military analysts celebrated this as the first major non-traditional assault successfully carried out under conditions of Ukrainian drone dominance. They praised their infiltration tactics, calling them a systematic and precise operation that forced Ukrainian drone operators to retreat far enough to stop being effective.
But even in their triumphalist rhetoric, contradictions abounded. Russian analysts claimed that while Ukraine’s elite brigades had supposedly escaped from the encirclement, the remaining troops would still be difficult to eliminate, as Ukrainian drones continue to supply them. At the same time, they alleged that Ukrainian drone operators were pushed away, a claim immediately disproven by their own soldiers. A video filmed by Russian troops in Pokrovsk showed the sky swarming with Ukrainian drones, more than a dozen visible at once, hovering and hunting for targets.
Within hours of the Russian claim, Ukrainian drone operators released geolocated footage of how Ukrainian units are actively clearing Russian infiltrators from Rodynske, obviously spoiling an encirclement that never materialized. Although small Russian assault groups had indeed reached the outskirts and briefly entrenched in several abandoned houses, they never managed to dig in. A Ukrainian BTR-4E armored vehicle from the 14th Chervona Kalyna Brigade entered the settlement under the cover of reconnaissance drones, identified enemy positions, and opened fire with its 30 millimeter cannon. It pursued the infiltrators through several streets until all were eliminated, sparing Ukrainian infantry in the settlement the trouble of clearing the Russians out themselves, before safely withdrawing to rear positions before Russian drone units could respond and target the vehicle.
The brigade later confirmed that Rodynske remained under Ukrainian control and that cleanup operations were continuing. This exposed the Russian announcement for what it was, another premature declaration meant to please political leadership rather than reflect battlefield truth.
Meanwhile, the fight inside Pokrovsk itself took a dramatic turn. Addressing the increased activity of Russian infiltration groups into parts of the southern and central districts, the Ukrainian command deployed its most capable hunters, the special operations units of the Main Directorate of Intelligence. Acting on the direct orders of General Kyrylo Budanov, special forces arrived to coordinate with regular Ukrainian brigades and begin counter-sabotage sweeps across the embattled town. Within the first hours, they captured several Russian operatives, including members of Russia’s own Main Directorate of the Armed Forces, highlighting just how valuable this axis is to the enemy command.
Drone footage soon surfaced showing a Ukrainian operator camouflaged among trees and ambushing a lone Russian soldier advancing down a local road. The encounter ended swiftly with the elimination of the Russian, showcasing the close-quarters nature of combat in the area, and how Russian soldiers are told the same lies of the town’s capture, resulting in zero tactical awareness of Ukrainian soldiers still controlling Pokrovsk. Ukrainian intelligence units continue to work alongside airborne and mechanized troops, clearing basements, warehouses, and the outskirts, eradicating small Russian groups before they can regroup.
Overall, despite the continuing heavy fighting, the Russian narrative of an encirclement has already collapsed. The Ukrainian General Staff confirms that while the situation remains difficult, decisive actions have been taken to prevent any isolation of Ukrainian forces. Once again, Russia’s generals appear to have oversold their progress to the Kremlin, but Ukrainian elite units are dismantling those illusions. With the tightening of the defensive perimeter...
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