Picking your Santa number

Salvor-Hardon said:
I think I have the math figured out....

First person was a 1 in 30 chance or 0.0333333...
and then the next is a 1 in 29 and so on down to last two people are a 1 in 2 chance.

I think

I did in Excel and it came out to be wildly huge but I think I am wrong somehow.
It is not though, because of the first person picks the second person's name, the chances of the second person picking themselves are zero. This needs to be accounted for, so it comes out much more complicated than that.
 
fieryjen said:
It is not though, because of the first person picks the second person's name, the chances of the second person picking themselves are zero. This needs to be accounted for, so it comes out much more complicated than that.

Dang I forgot about that..... hmmmmmmmm

I know I have a book around here somewhere.
 
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