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polymarket... oh man :D

What is Polymarket?​

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction platform where participants can bet on the outcome of future events, including political races. It's become a barometer of public sentiment, attracting traders, analysts, and political enthusiasts.
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Key Points from Bernstein's Analysis:
  1. Trump-Centric Sentiment: Bernstein's report highlights that Polymarket consistently sees stronger-than-expected support for Donald Trump, raising concerns about potential bias in how political outcomes are forecasted.
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Skewed Data Interpretations: Data from Polymarket may not reflect actual electoral odds, as traders' personal opinions can distort market predictions, leading to an over-representation of certain viewpoints.
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  1. Broader Implications: If Polymarket is perceived as biased, it could undermine the platform's credibility in predicting political outcomes accurately.
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https://site.financialmodelingprep....lymarket-trumpbiased-bernsteins-key-takeaways
 
Trump’s Polymarket Odds Top 60%: How Election Betting Markets Differ From Polls

poly's offering 60% chances based on the influx of big money from around 3 seemingly linked accounts pouring money into betting on trump.

Statistician Nate Silver’s model gives Trump a 50.2% chance of winning next month compared to 49.5% for Harris, while FiveThirtyEight assigns Harris a 53% to 46% edge. National polls lean in Harris’ favor, with Real Clear Polling’s latest weighted data giving Harris a 49.2% to 47.7% advantage. There’s also the issue of what is driving the dramatic shift in betting odds despite mixed survey data, and Silver, who advises Polymarket, wrote last week it’s possible a Trump-leaning demographic on the sites may skew the data to reflect stronger Trump odds than justified by the data.
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HumpDayHoratio said:
Go look for yourself dipshit! You don’t know how to pull up YouTube? F’n idiot.

Typical Radicalized democrat…wants everyone to do the work for them.
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That's why I pretty much stopped chatting with these idiots. They lack self awareness. Example; a comedian made a joke about Puerto Rico being an Island of garbage which it is but a tasteless joke at a political rally. It pales in comparison to MSNBC running concurrent videos of 1939 Nazis rallies at MSG comparing what happened then to a Trump rally implying that Americans showing support for Trump are Nazis. There are democrats out there that have such disdain for Trump they poison any possibility for political by-partisanship.
 
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/mar...bets-another-2m/ar-AA1t3K9V?ocid=BingNewsSerp

Former United States President Donald Trump’s lead on the leading blockchain-based betting market is nearing 67% as a mysterious whale continues to bet on his victory in the upcoming presidential election on Nov. 5.
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https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/french-trader-bet-over-28-million-on-trump-election-win-using-4-polymarket-accounts/ar-AA1sRtYb?ocid=BingNewsVerp
  • Four accounts that have recently built a massive pro-Trump position on the political betting market Polymarket are all controlled by one person, Polymarket confirmed.
  • The trader is a French national with "extensive trading experience and a financial services background," the company said.
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icanhelp1 said:
That's why I pretty much stopped chatting with these idiots. They lack self awareness.
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Another example: they scream at you all day long about how you need to identify them by what they self identify as, but will hurl every insult, name and slur at you, without first asking if you identify that way. 🤭😄
 
TastySuckToy said:
Another example: they scream at you all day long about how you need to identify them by what they self identify as, but will hurl every insult, name and slur at you, without first asking if you identify that way. 🤭😄
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It's all right -- we all know you identify as a stupid heartless asshole and would not dream of calling that into question.
 
TastySuckToy said:
Another example: they scream at you all day long about how you need to identify them by what they self identify as, but will hurl every insult, name and slur at you, without first asking if you identify that way. 🤭😄
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Who is yelling at you? Be specific.

Random people on the internet?
 
Politruk said:
It's all right -- we all know you identify as a stupid heartless asshole and would not dream of calling that into question.
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No, I don't identify that way at all. You gonna apologize for wrongly identifying me?
 
HumpDayHoratio said:
Not sure exactly what he can do other than push it to another platform.

Good article on how scared they’re running. Then again, Obama, Kerry, St Rodham, and yes our dim bulb running for the donkey ticket all are on the record advocating against free speech and curtailing the first amendment.

When Radicalized dems tell you what they want to do. You better listen.
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are you listening when trump tells you he'll shut down tv stations, news outlets, education, jail (or worse) his political opponents? you'd better listen.
 
butters said:
are you listening when trump tells you he'll shut down tv stations, news outlets, education, jail (or worse) his political opponents? you'd better listen.
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Lefties/democrats tried fear mongering that bullshit last time Trump got elected. Didn't work and happen last time, not going to work or happen this time either.
 
ll74 said:
“We’re a dumping ground. We’re like a garbage can for the world. That’s what’s happened,”
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That's not calling Americans garbage, it's criticism of Biden's open border policy where countries are dumping their miscreants into our country treating our country like a garbage can. Nice try.
 
icanhelp1 said:
That's not calling Americans garbage, it's criticism of Biden's open border policy where countries are dumping their miscreants into our country treating our country like a garbage can. Nice try.
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Of course it is

I realize calling racists garbage is not acceptable to you . 👍
 
RoryN said:
My vision is to bump all of these Joe Rogan threads after Trump loses, so that we can laugh at what a waste of time and effort they were. 🙂
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OMG. 😳. I just watched my first ever Joe Rogan experience podcast with JD Vance. Are they all this boringly long! F! It was on for 3 hours. Kudos to Vance for the level of energy to stay that energetic and engaged for that long! But it was just background after a while.

Lot of dumb conspiracy stuff and strange stories about vaccines, Russia, big pharma, green energy, and JD says shit 💩 a lot.

Are they all this long? Wow.

The average brain can pay attention for only about 15-20 minutes. It was semi-entertaining but too conspiratorial and way too long. Totally disagree with him. I like his tone one on one better than at a rally as he’s a decent public speaker, even if pretty oily and smarmy. He turns too weird in a crowd (raining crazy cat ladies and dog-eating Haitians)
 
Politruk said:
So? Trumpers are garbage.
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Not to mention Biden did not actually call them that; he misspoke and he has acknowledged as much. And I say that as someone who wouldn't have objected if he really had called Trumpers garbage.
 
TallMan69 said:
OMG. 😳. I just watched my first ever Joe Rogan experience podcast with JD Vance. Are they all this boringly long! F! It was on for 3 hours. Kudos to Vance for the level of energy to stay that energetic and engaged for that long! But it was just background after a while.

Lot of dumb conspiracy stuff and strange stories about vaccines, Russia, big pharma, green energy, and JD says shit 💩 a lot.

Are they all this long? Wow.

The average brain can pay attention for only about 15-20 minutes. It was semi-entertaining but too conspiratorial and way too long. Totally disagree with him. I like his tone one on one better than at a rally as he’s a decent public speaker, even if pretty oily and smarmy. He turns too weird in a crowd (raining crazy cat ladies and dog-eating Haitians)
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But... 'they' are eating the dogs, the CATS, and wht about the goose, those geese?

Knowing that it was false, is it okay to say, I'm just going to make up shit to get your attention because it suits my false narrative? (n)o_O:poop:
 
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