Roxanne Appleby
Masterpiece
- Joined
- Aug 21, 2005
- Posts
- 11,231
This argument that Roe v Wade was the focus which enabled the rise of the religious right is interesting and possibly true in part however the assumption that if Roe v Wade was reversed the religious right's domination of the GOP would wither away is surely flawed.
All that would happen is that the focus would be changed from the Supreme court to the states. The campaign would go on with a newly confident group of pro lifers. You can't turn the clock back Rox no matter how much you might like to.
Sure, the burden would fall on the states, and those weasly state legislators would stop getting a free ride. So in that suburban district I described with socially liberal and economically conservative GOP voters, abortion would go from being a no-salience issue to most people - because they know the legislators can't ban it anyway - to a high salience one. Anti-abort candidates who have gotten a free-ride from this constituency would find themselves on the hot seat. Their pro-life stance would go from being no-cost to high-cost, because those voters would realize that lawmakers are now "shooting with real bullets" on this issue. The entire dynamic of GOP elections would change, and the influence of the religious right would take a huge hit in that party.
BTW, the reason those voters are GOP is because the unions dominate the Dem party in those states just as much as Right to Life dominates the GOP (increasingly it's government employee unions, which is even worse). These voters will never vote Dem, because they (rightfully) fear that party will wreck the economy. So the action is in the primary elections, and the GOP is not going away. If you want to diminish the political power of the religious right, you'll support reversal of Roe v. Wade. Strange but true.
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