Any Predictions On The Election based On This Story

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Landslide Coming? New Highly Weighted Michigan Poll Shows 21% of Democrats Now Support Trump – And Trump Leads with Independents by 56 Points!​

by Jim Hoft Aug. 29, 2024 8:30 am

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We all know how pollsters ALWAYS oversample Democrats. Well, this latest Michigan poll by Activote takes the cake.

The poll weighted its results 25 points for Democrats! And despite the outlandish weighting advantage for Kamala Harris she only leads by 0.2% points.

And despite the outlandish weighting advantage for Kamala Harris, Trump leads Kamala with independent voters by 56 points!

Political Polls tweeted this out.


Is the basement strategy not working?
 
Facebook's data mining could be more reliable than polling. What Zuck does and what alliances he seeks could indicate what he sees in the data.
 
Facebook's data mining could be more reliable than polling. What Zuck does and what alliances he seeks could indicate what he sees in the data.
That’s an interesting point. Big data has predicted flu/cold spreads based on drug store otc purchases. Wonder what big data will predict after the debates and interviews and social media posts just ahead of the election.
 

Landslide Coming? New Highly Weighted Michigan Poll Shows 21% of Democrats Now Support Trump – And Trump Leads with Independents by 56 Points!​

by Jim Hoft Aug. 29, 2024 8:30 am
All anyone needs to read to know the story is fabricated is the name Jim Holt.

Maybe you're Jim Holt?

That would go a long way towards explaining your posting history.
 
In a close race both parties will take any opportunity to put thumbs on the scales. If it's a blowout then they pull back from pointless risk. If the blowout is obvious before the election, then many politicians will publicly distance themselves from the loser in their own party.
 
Lol ...Reichy referred to a single poll, as you have referred to a single forecast.

The histrionics is palpable.

Neither of you understand polling.
What you understand can be explained on a pinhead with a crayon.
 
Elections are becoming dirtier as the ruling class becomes desperate to hold power. Some crooks will be caught with their hands in cookie jars, throw the jars, and demand more cookies.
 
I hope the next poll is to your liking 👍

Which polls are you inclined to regard as generally more accurate? Always seemed to me that Nate Silver, Rasmussen and Real Clear Politics seemed to be fairly accurate but I make no claim to know anything much about polls and polling.
 
Which polls are you inclined to regard as generally more accurate? Always seemed to me that Nate Silver, Rasmussen and Real Clear Politics seemed to be fairly accurate but I make no claim to know anything much about polls and polling.
I don't favor any single poll.

I look at trends and outliers.

They all tell a story.
No single poll means anything.

Forecasts are better.
 
Always seemed to me that Nate Silver, Rasmussen and Real Clear Politics seemed to be fairly accurate but I make no claim to know anything much about polls and polling.
The first half of your comment demonstrates the second half quite vividly.
 
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