Just the Polls

[jaF0]

Wake me in February.

 

[butters]

According to The Economist's national forecast model published on Friday, Harris and Trump have about a 1 in 2 chance of winning the Electoral College

 

[ll74]

ABC/WaPo/Ipsos poll - VP favorabililty - Aug 16
https://abc7news.com/election-polli...-tim-walz-vp-pick-compared-jd-vance/15194402/

Thirty-nine percent in the poll have a favorable impression of Walz as a person, while 30% see him unfavorably. That compares with an underwater favorable-unfavorable rating for Vance, 32%-42%.

 

[Bn2f]

Harris leads Trump in new Nebraska 2nd District poll​

Harris leads former President Donald Trump in the district 50%-42%, with a 3.8% margin of error.

https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/08/20/harris-leads-trump-in-new-nebraska-2nd-district-poll/

Split Electoral Votes in Maine and Nebraska​

https://www.270towin.com/content/split-electoral-votes-maine-and-nebraska/

Why are Republicans trying to change Nebraska's Electoral College vote?​

https://theweek.com/politics/republicans-change-nebraska-electoral-college-vote

 

[RobDownSouth]

rump's Losing Baby Boomers, Silent Generation to Kamala Harris​

Republicans have carried voters over 65 in every presidential election since 2000, but a new poll shows Harris with the advantage.

only 8 million left in the Silent Generation, out of 333 million Americans. Their time as a political force in America is over.

Boomers are also dwindling, 81 million in 2008, 55 million voters living in 2024. They are in eclipse.

 

[lessOHmo]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1826276914648203469

 

[jaF0]

I hate polls since there is no way to evaluate reliability.

Kamala Harris Not Leading a Single Battleground State in New Poll​

Five battleground states are neck and neck between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump, according to a new Navigator Research poll.

 

[RobDownSouth]

I hate polls since there is no way to evaluate reliability.

Kamala Harris Not Leading a Single Battleground State in New Poll​

Five battleground states are neck and neck between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump, according to a new Navigator Research poll.

This article linked doesn't pass the smell test.

Since Kamala Harris entered the race, independent women are split exactly 39-39 percent between Trump and Harris. Biden polled 41% of independent women when he dropped out and you're telling me fewer independent women now want Harris?

 

[ll74]

I hate polls since there is no way to evaluate reliability.

Kamala Harris Not Leading a Single Battleground State in New Poll​

Five battleground states are neck and neck between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump, according to a new Navigator Research poll.

It takes a lot of time to fully see why numbers are different, which can be frustrating. I agree.

 

[jaF0]

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell's Chances of Beating Rick Scott in Florida: Polls​

Democrats hope to flip the Florida Senate seat blue, with a recent poll showing the GOP incumbent's favorability underwater.

 

[KnotMore]

https://therightscoop.com/real-clea...tes-electoral-map-and-trump-is-gonna-love-it/

 

[KnotMore]

Trump takes lead in betting markets DURING the Dunce Convention

 

[KnotMore]

https://therightscoop.com/real-clea...tes-electoral-map-and-trump-is-gonna-love-it/

Real Clear Politics just released their ‘No Toss-Up States’ electoral map and Trump is gonna love it​

 

[ll74]

Real Clear Politics just released their ‘No Toss-Up States’ electoral map and Trump is gonna love it​

Provide the poll please.

 

[butters]

https://www.fdu.edu/news/fdu-poll-finds-race-and-gender-push-harris-above-trump-nationally/

The issues included Tax Policy, Immigration Policy, Climate Change, Abortion and Foreign Policy. But not all respondents got the same list. In addition to randomizing the order of the issues, one-third of respondents were given “The Race or Ethnicity of the Candidate” as the last issue before the vote choice question, and one-third were given “Whether the Candidate is a Man or a Woman” as their last issue. The remaining one-third got all five of the issues, in no particular order.

 

[jaF0]

US consumer confidence rises in August as Americans’ optimism about future improves​

American consumers felt more confident in August as their outlook for the future improved. The Conference Board, a business research group, said Tuesday that its consumer confidence index rose to 103.3 in August from 101.9 in July.

 

[KnotMore]

 

[KnotMore]

Perspective: Clinton Was Up 6% In 2016, Biden 7% In 2020, Harris Just 1.5% Today

Carville Says Trump’s Poll Numbers Are Lulling Dems Into False Sense Of Security

Trump Draws More High-Profile Dems Than Harris Does Republican Defectors

 

[ll74]

Perspective: Clinton Was Up 6% In 2016, Biden 7% In 2020, Harris Just 1.5% Today
Carville Says Trump’s Poll Numbers Are Lulling Dems Into False Sense Of Security
Trump Draws More High-Profile Dems Than Harris Does Republican Defectors

These aren't polls. They are analysis.

 

[Bn2f]

New Yahoo News/YouGov poll: A huge surge in Democratic optimism — but no big bounce for Harris — after the DNC

https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yaho...unce-for-harris--after-the-dnc-194934515.html

 

[dkovic77]

Found some fun STFU Jesse from the Propoganda network itself… polling (3:00) from on air…and bonus Corey stuff lying.

Hope that “counts” oh fearful Dull74 one…as if your opinion matters. (You will lash out, you always do…you can’t help yourself)

The lying stuff from the Criminal’s campaign is for the other bags of wind here.

 

[Noitall]

https://pjmedia.com/matt-margolis/2...t-nate-silvers-latest-election-model-n4932093

 

[butters]

Democrats are leading by double digits in Senate races in Nevada and Arizona, two battleground states that could be key to control of the upper chamber, according to new polls from Fox News.

Rep. Ruben Gallego, the Democratic Senate nominee in Arizona, is leading Republican candidate Kari Lake by 15 points, according to the poll. In Nevada, Sen. Jacky Rosen, the incumbent Democrat, is leading Republican Sam Brown by 14 points.

The Fox News polls also found Harris leading former President Trump in Nevada by 2 points and Arizona by 1 point. Fox News found close races across key Sun Belt states, with leads in either direction falling within the margin of error.

Harris now has a slight edge on Trump according to most election forecasters, and has opened a 4.4 percent lead in an average of national polls from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ. Polls are yet to reflect what is often a bounce after the party’s convention.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...p&cvid=17332ab6b1f04eb88ba59b0784800287&ei=70

 

[ll74]

Thought a bit about where to put this - this is a podcast (left leaning.and.not shy about it) where they play clips from multiple focus groups and discuss. (So could be cross posted to.the pod thread)

The Focus Group with Sarah Longwell - https://pca.st/podcast/d160c5e0-fc47-0139-d51b-0acc26574db2

 

[ChloeTzang]

The cheat in swing states is about 5%. The Dems can get away with that. Any more, and the cheat will be too blatant. So, Trump needs a 5%+ lead in Pennsylvania. Plus, a ton of lawyers and poll watchers in Philadelphia. And, a State Legislature with some balls ( unlike 2020 ).