2026 U.S. midterm elections: Place your bets!

[Wilson23]

Even if the analogy were accepted [and I most assuredly do NOT accept it], the NDP isn’t a revolutionary tendency. In fact it expunged reference to class struggle from its documents years ago!

That's why I said "but much further left politically."

THIS, at any rate, is NOT any sign of a coming revolution -- everything will play out in exactly the same way as if it did not exist:

 

[Holy_Seduction]

So again — what WOULD you accept as evidence of serious, revolutionary potential?

 

[Wilson23]

So again — what WOULD you accept as evidence of serious, revolutionary potential?

Something the size and importance of the NDP, but with a clearly revolutionary agenda.

A revolution never happens just because it's time. Some organization is needed to give it shape and direction.

 

[Holy_Seduction]

Something the size and importance of the NDP, but with a clearly revolutionary agenda.

A revolution never happens just because it's time. Some organization is needed to give it shape and direction.

Your post gets several important lessons very correct.

You see the imperative of a revolutionary programme, and the essential role of the revolutionary party to put forth the political demands of the working class.

As you say, revolution is never spontaneous, happening ‘just because “it’s time.”’ Now let’s reshape that to say that they do happen because a united working class decides that it will happen. The reason for that matters.

A revolutionary phase is entered because the working class can no longer live as it always has, because the ruling class can no longer govern as it always has.

Now the NDP. In addition to my remarks on my antecedent point on orientation, the NDP has both far too much and far too little.

In terms of numbers, what is needed is a cadre of highly trained personnel who walk among the masses and can train them for in revolutionary task. No where near the NDP ‘numbers are needed for that.

But in addition to far too much, Canada’s NDP is far too little. In the states, the task facing the revolutionary socialist is to win and unite 312.5M citizen hostages for socialism.

The proletariat will be won over, because Capital is in continual, mutually-reinforcing crises that have nothing to do with party or regime personalities. There is . . .

• Our Debt
• Our Dollar
• Our Declining, global position.
• Our Domestic outrage

Neither party can put forward even a solitary solution to any of these crises. For these reasons, the regime — acting to conduct ruling class affairs, has no choice but to adapt authoritarian forms of rule, because people cannot live as they always have.

Tightening the screws on the population will provide powerful, revolutionary impetus.

Those invested in the status quo always push defeatism and strive to chorale the working class into ineffective forms of resistance.’

In fact Americans are increasingly ready to fight. When tanks and helicopter gunships are turned on working class communities — which will be — the world will see a very different ‘America.’

The US citizenry will not be dragged back to a pre 1860 world—let alone to the dark ages.

Whether or not one believes this is ultimately irrelevant. Revolutions are in the end born of material necessity. And in that, the regime itself is only too willing to create those conditions.

 

[Wilson23]

In terms of numbers, what is needed is a cadre of highly trained personnel who walk among the masses and can train them for in revolutionary task.

No -- that's the Leninist way, and anything at all in that tradition has to be a mistake.

 

[73Seahawks]

Gut feelings about the 2026 Midterm elections:
*Democrats will win back control of the US House of Representatives: How many House seats the Democrats will pick up? Not sure.

*Republicans keep control of the United States Senate, but Democrats flip North Carolina (OPEN) with former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper extending his long winning streak of winning elections in both primary and general elections in the Tar Heel State to (28-0).

*Governorships: Republicans flip Kansas (OPEN), Michigan (OPEN), Wisconsin (OPEN); Democrats flip Georgia (OPEN) and maybe Vermont (IF five-term Vermont Governor Phil Scott doesn't seek reelection to sixth two-year term this year).

 

[Holy_Seduction]

No -- that's the Leninist way, and anything at all in that tradition has to be a mistake.

If you’re going to preclude this on a presuppositional level, suggest a revolutionary efficacious alternative.

Or else, at least tell us your ideal scenario.

Based on past conversations, I’ve come away with the sense that you’re allergic to genuinely revolutionary action.

The tasks Lenin confronted—fighting opportunism, building an international, disciplined revolutionary party, and linking local struggles to global class forces—are the defining requirements of proletarian strategy today. Current revolutionary action is based on continuity with that method: applying the dialectical materialist method to current capitalist crises, insisting on class independence, and building organizations capable of transforming spontaneity into conscious socialist struggle.

Lenin’s central lesson is methodological and organisational: only through a scientifically grounded party, rooted in the working class and committed to international revolution, can objective crises be converted into proletarian emancipation.

If you reject Lenin without offering a materialist alternative, you undermine the very possibility of transformative politics. If that is your intent, you align with bourgeois politics and are a class enemy of 312.5M working class US citizen-hostages.

And there is still—

• Our Debt
• Our Dollar
• Our Declining, global position.
• Our Domestic outrage

A temporary recalibration following the MN thing — none of the ruling class dynamics have changed. Nor will they until the working class changes it, or the ruling class torches the planet. Over to you.

And remember — you can ignore those 4 ‘Ds.’ And they WILL tear apart what is left of the regime.

 

[Wilson23]

If you’re going to preclude this on a presuppositional level, suggest a revolutionary efficacious alternative.

Or else, at least tell us your ideal scenario.

Based on past conversations, I’ve come away with the sense that you’re allergic to genuinely revolutionary action.

First thing you have to have a PLAN, for a viable revolutionary alternative to the status quo.

And nobody has come up with that yet. Stalinism is not a viable alternative. The old New Left never even seemed to have an alternative in mind. https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/New_Left

Social democracy IS a viable alternative, but nobody ever got THERE via revolution.

 

[Holy_Seduction]

have a PLAN

Concerning what? A preliminary committee to draft a constitutional document to be approved at a National Assembly — with General elections to be held within a maximum of one year after that date?

A Transitional Program with immediate demands set forth by the working class for the interim period?

Are you talking about the formation of worker committees on shop floors, places of business, factories, logistical hubs, communication centers, energy corporations, etc., hospitals, schools, neighborhoods, etc., etc.?

Are you speaking of an overarching organization that links workers not only across the country but around the globe?

Are you speaking of finding very qualified professionals in the arts, sciences, legal, economic, Poli. Sci. etc. fields in order to support the new, workers government in framing the services and fulfilling essential positions, etc.?

Are you speaking of the development of worker leadership to undertake these tasks?

Work in all these many more areas is ongoing. Of course thought has been given to these things. Production? Diplomacy? Pick a field. People will be found and are being found to do the work.

We know where the best schools are. We know where the leadership is, and where we don’t, it will be found quickly.

 

[Hel_Books]

Prediction is difficult.

Could you imagine if six months ago you had predicted the MAGAtards would have condemned a man for bringing a firearm to a protest and then blamed him for being shot dead AFTER he'd had the firearm taken away from him by half a dozen "officers" in "tactical" gear?

So any predictions for ten months from now would be risky, I suspect.

 

[BrightShinyGirl]

Concerning what? A preliminary committee to draft a constitutional document to be approved at a National Assembly — with General elections to be held within a maximum of one year after that date?

A Transitional Program with immediate demands set forth by the working class for the interim period?

Are you talking about the formation of worker committees on shop floors, places of business, factories, logistical hubs, communication centers, energy corporations, etc., hospitals, schools, neighborhoods, etc., etc.?

Are you speaking of an overarching organization that links workers not only across the country but around the globe?

Are you speaking of finding very qualified professionals in the arts, sciences, legal, economic, Poli. Sci. etc. fields in order to support the new, workers government in framing the services and fulfilling essential positions, etc.?

Are you speaking of the development of worker leadership to undertake these tasks?

Work in all these many more areas is ongoing. Of course thought has been given to these things. Production? Diplomacy? Pick a field. People will be found and are being found to do the work.

We know where the best schools are. We know where the leadership is, and where we don’t, it will be found quickly.

The accelerationist left stayed home during the ‘24 election because they thought a second Trump Presidency would create conditions ripe for a leftist revolution.

They misjudged the American people badly though. The normies don’t want another batch of wild-eyed revolutionaries in charge. Living through Trump and his gang is bad enough. They want safety and security.

Also the far left isn’t out in the streets protecting their black and brown neighbors They haven’t taken the fight to Trump and the Republicans. They’ve spent the last year bitching online about the Democrats.

 

[Wilson23]

The normies don’t want another batch of wild-eyed revolutionaries in charge.

Then why NOT vote for Harris?

 

[Wilson23]

Are you talking about the formation of worker committees on shop floors, places of business, factories, logistical hubs, communication centers, energy corporations, etc., hospitals, schools, neighborhoods, etc., etc.?

That's not going on anywhere in the world, is it?

 

[BrightShinyGirl]

Then why NOT vote for Harris?

A lot of normies did vote for Harris even though she was being torn down from both the left and the right. Plenty of white folks who should have known better convinced themselves that Trump wouldn’t be this bad.

 

[Holy_Seduction]

That's not going on anywhere in the world, is it?

It’s ongoing.

 

[Wilson23]

It’s ongoing.

Leftists organizing workers' committees? Not in the U.S., WE hardly even have labor unions any more. Where else?

 

[Holy_Seduction]

hardly even have labor unions

Those so-called ‘unions’ are not labor organizations.

It is therefore necessary to create new forms to conduct the strikes and struggles these pseudo-left ‘unions refuse to lead.

If you’re on in the labor force, why not find 2-3 likeminded workers, organize and join your voice to other Rank-and-File Committees forming across the country and around the globe?

 

[Wilson23]

Those so-called ‘unions’ are not labor organizations.

It is therefore necessary to create new forms to conduct the strikes and struggles these pseudo-left ‘unions refuse to lead.

If you’re on in the labor force, why not find 2-3 likeminded workers, organize and join your voice to other Rank-and-File Committees forming across the country and around the globe?

I'm a lawyer. A state bar association is a guild, not a union. A state bar NEVER goes on strike.

 

[Holy_Seduction]

I'm a lawyer. A state bar association is a guild, not a union.

Ahh! I rightly suspected there was a functioning mind behind the magic cursor that moves across your computer screen . . .

 

[ChloeTzang]

Another precursor

It IS in a dem area.. but this is a 13 point jump from just last year...

The 10 point anti trump bump is real... this is about the 16th election that holds this prediction. It's a bit questionable to extrapolate from special elections but overall it's looking more of a 14-18 point swing, honestly. Anything under 20 will be contested and up for grabs. Heck, if this keeps up Texas will go Democrat. I don't think the GOP can do anything at this point.

It's going to be a blue landslide. GOP Reps have shown zero backbone about keep Trump's craziness on a leash. Dems who have been silent on the issues and have been spineless will be voted out also. But GOP Reps are done...

 

[ChloeTzang]

Another question - will we need to invoke the 25th before the mid-terms?

This is a far worse situation than we were in with Biden. Biden may have been a zombie but at least his advisors were (relativey) sane, even if many of us disagreed with many of his policies.

Our current President is a deranged, demented, cognitively impaired lunatic who we can't afford to pander to anymore. Congress needs to step up here, because we know his toadies won't

 

[ChloeTzang]

Trump TANKS…IN IOWA!!​

Case in point. Democrat Mike Zimmer flipped an Iowa State Sentate seat that Trump won by 21 points......Trump is currently -8 in Iowa, and THAT is going to be reflected big time in the mid-terms

 

[LLCox]

I am not going to insult my intelligence anymore. I am not going to the voting booth again.

 

[BrightShinyGirl]

I am not going to insult my intelligence anymore. I am not going to the voting booth again.

Not voting for Democrats means capitulating to Donald Trump. We wouldn’t be here now, if people had done their patriotic duty in 2016 and 2024.

 

[LLCox]

Not voting for Democrats means capitulating to Donald Trump. We wouldn’t be here now, if people had done their patriotic duty in 2016 and 2024.

I'm not going to vote for another retard.