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Atlantic Hurricanes



National Hurricane Center headline:

..MARIA MAKES LANDFALL ON DOMINICA AS A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
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trysail said:


National Hurricane Center headline:

..MARIA MAKES LANDFALL ON DOMINICA AS A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
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Click to expand...

trysail....any chance this Maria could head into the gulf and hit Texas?

You're my go-to man on anything "weather" related. Thank you. :)
 


Dominica is very, very poor. Because it is a volcanic island, it lacks the white sand beaches that attract tourists to other Caribbean islands.

The island has world-class dive sites and is a fantastic place for whale watching (including sperm whales who use the area as a breeding ground).




from Wikipedia:​
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...Dominica is especially vulnerable to hurricanes as the island is located in what is referred to as the hurricane region. In 1979, Dominica was hit directly by category 5 Hurricane David, causing widespread and extreme damage. On 17 August 2007, Hurricane Dean, a category 1 at the time, hit the island. A mother and her seven-year-old son died when a landslide caused by the heavy rains crushed their house. In another incident two people were injured when a tree fell on their house. Prime Minister Roosevelt Skerrit estimated that 100 to 125 homes were damaged, and that the agricultural sector was extensively damaged, in particular the banana crop. In August 2015, Tropical Storm Erika caused extensive flooding and landslides across the island. Multiple communities were evacuated and upwards of 30 people were killed...​
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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/graphicast/at/201709192100_at_graphicast.png


...The storm knocked out communications for the entire island [Dominica], leaving anyone outside Dominica struggling to determine the extent of damage, though it was clearly widespread. “The situation is really grave,” Consul General Barbara Dailey said in a telephone interview from New York.

She said she lost contact with the island about 4 a.m. At that point, officials had learned that 70 percent of homes had lost their roofs, including her own.

Flooding was a big concern, given the island’s steep mountains, cut through with rivers that rage even after a heavy rain. Dominica was still recovering from Tropical Storm Erika, which killed 30 people and destroyed more than 370 homes in August 2015.

Forecasters said the storm surge from Maria could raise water levels by 6 to 9 feet (1.8 to 2.7 meters) near the storm’s center. The storm was predicted to bring 10 to 15 inches (25 to 38 centimeters) of rain across the islands, with more in isolated areas...​


http://www.weather.bm/maps/bwsWTNT25.jpg?2017920123417


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Trysail does not like to see images like this:

https://storage.googleapis.com/afs-prod/media/afs:Medium:1374320022/800.jpeg
A boat lays on its side off the shore of Sainte-Anne on the French Caribbean island of Guadeloupe, early Tuesday, Sept. 19, 2017, after the passing of Hurricane Maria. (AP Photo/Dominique Chomereau-Lamotte)


https://storage.googleapis.com/afs-prod/media/afs:Medium:1380200065/800.jpeg
Electricity poles and lines lay toppled on the road after Hurricane Maria hit the eastern region of the island, in Humacao, Puerto Rico, Wednesday, Sept. 20, 2017. The strongest hurricane to hit Puerto Rico in more than 80 years destroyed hundreds of homes, knocked out power across the entire island and turned some streets into raging rivers in an onslaught that could plunge the U.S. territory deeper into financial crisis. (AP Photo/Carlos Giusti)




...Maria has caused at least 10 deaths across the Caribbean, including seven in the hard-hit island of Dominica and two in the French Caribbean territory of Guadeloupe. Puerto Rico’s governor told CNN one man died after being hit by flying debris. No further details were available, and officials could not be immediately reached for comment.

Dominica Tourism Minister Robert Tonge described his badly damaged country three days after Hurricane Maria made landfall in the eastern Caribbean island. An update from him said the capital of Roseau still had severe flooding and there was heavy damage throughout the city. The hospital and a community center both lost roofs.

One of two airports serving the country was inoperable while the other was expected to be operational in the coming days. An estimated 95 percent of the roofs were blown off in some towns, including Mahaut and Portsmouth...
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trysail said:

Facts are amazing.

...The last Category 4 hurricane to make landfall in Puerto Rico was in 1932...

http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-...hurricane-maria-makes-landfall-in-puerto-rico

I wonder how many times the propagandists at NPR (or the BBC or CNN or NBC or the New York Times or the WaPo) will disseminate that fact.


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Click to expand...

It has been said on the BBC (and in an extended programme of the NBC broadcast in the UK) that the frequency and track of hurricanes and typhoons shows no correlation with global climate change. The causes of hurricanes; the conditions that make them stronger; and what influences their track are still being studied. Cooler air and warmer sea might generate more storms OR cooler air and warmer sea might generate fewer but fiercer storms OR we don't really know the causes - yet.

There has been significant study into ancient hurricanes (pre-historic) that have left traces on the sea bed or in cave structures. Accurate data of hurricanes and typhoons is only available for the last few decades, far too short a time to derive meaningful predictions for the future.

Short answer: We don't know whether hurricanes are changing - or not.
 


Dominica is a desperately poor island that was all but demolished by Maria. Because it is volcanic in origin, it lacks the white sand beaches that attract tourists. It has world class dive sites and whale watching as there are sperm whale breeding grounds in the adjacent offshore.


http://media.npr.org/assets/img/2017/09/21/gettyimages-850314658_wide-368dd7178ade457e086c4ed4e577a53326f6b472-s800-c85.jpg


In Devastated Dominica Ham Operators Become Vital Communications Link

When Hurricane Maria smashed into the tiny island of Dominica in the Eastern Caribbean earlier this week, phone service went down, virtually cutting off the island. But within hours, amateur radio operators got on the air and have been providing a vital link to the outside world.

Speaking to ABS Television/Radio in his first interview since Maria made landfall, Dominican Prime Minister Roosevelt Skerrit, on a visit Antigua, said at least 15 people were dead and at least 20 others missing amid "unprecedented" destruction.

An estimated 95 percent of roofs on homes in some towns were blown off in the 160 mph winds brought by the hurricane, which topped out at Category 5 when it hit the island. Debris-strewn roads are impassable, he said. "We have to access villages by sea and also by helicopter," said Skerrit, whose own home was among those severely damaged in the storm.

"Every village on Dominica, every street, every cranny, every person was impacted by the hurricane," he told ABS, saying that the main hospital in the capital Roseau is without power because authorities are afraid of starting back-up generators due to extensive flooding.

"It has been brutal. We have never seen such destruction. Unprecedented," he said...


more...
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-...ominica-hams-become-vital-communications-link


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Isn't that the worst thing about climate change and the inbuilt injustice in the world? The first victims of climate change are always communities whose contributions to the worldwide pollution levels are insignificant at best.

I hate that Dominica, Puerto Rico, and those little islands are suffering, and this joker in chief that we have wants to pull the US out of the Paris Accord--bringing out the most ignorant, science hating administration ever!
 
nowisthetime said:
Isn't that the worst thing about climate change and the inbuilt injustice in the world? The first victims of climate change are always communities whose contributions to the worldwide pollution levels are insignificant at best.

I hate that Dominica, Puerto Rico, and those little islands are suffering, and this joker in chief that we have wants to pull the US out of the Paris Accord--bringing out the most ignorant, science hating administration ever!
Click to expand...


Dominica, Puerto Rico and "those little islands" would still be in the Stone Age if it weren't for the benefits of fossil fuels.

Unfortunately, there are lots of credulous people who have been taken in by the propaganda and have failed to examine the flimsy-to-non-existent evidence of catastrophic anthropogenic global warming ("CAGW"). Others are unaware of the fundamental scientific unknowns (attribution and climate sensitivity being foremost) in the CAGW conjecture. There are others who, as a result of the CAGW propaganda have panicked and failed to perform a cost/benefit analysis.

Paris is a joke based entirely on superstition and pseudoscience.

P.S., computer models of the future of an immensely complex (possibly chaotic), non-linear climate system employing unknown coefficients are not evidence of CAGW.

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Tropical Storm Nate Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017
400 PM CDT Fri Oct 06 2017

...NATE STRENGTHENS AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE NORTHEASTERN TIP
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS..
 
Nate's really a Hurry Cane.

Hurricane Nate Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017
100 AM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017

...HURRRICANE NATE BOOKING TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 86.5W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
Hurricane Nate Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017
1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017

...NATE STRENGTHENING AND NOW EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE
AT LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...
...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...
 





2018 Atlantic tropical cyclone names:

1. Alberto ×
2. Beryl ×
3. Chris ×
4. Debby ×
5. Ernesto ×
6. Florence ×
7. Gordon ×
8. Helene ×
9. Isaac ×
10. Joyce ×
11. Kirk ×
12. Leslie ×
13. Michael ×
14. Nadine
15. Oscar
16. Patty
17. Rafael
18. Sara
19. Tony
20. Valerie
21. William





2017 Tropical Storm Tracks:


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tracks/tracks-at-2017_sm.png



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A GF from a very long time ago named Debby lives in FLA. Fitting.
 
 
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