Atlantic Hurricanes

[nowisthetime]

Oh dear God, looks like it is projected to hit southeastern NC, already hurt by Matthew. This area is the poorest part of NC and gets flooded very easily.

 

[Rightguide]

Oh dear God, looks like it is projected to hit southeastern NC, already hurt by Matthew. This area is the poorest part of NC and gets flooded very easily.

Maybe you could hop, skip, and jump, on down there and help fill sand bags and defeat that bigoted storm.

 

[trysail]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/090119_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png


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[Super-Surprise]

Beware of THE CONE!

 

[trysail]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/092646.png
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https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2018/09/11/florence-8am-092646_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind_wide-f7bf06dbd721a1d36746bd22cbaeb7c02f9c45ef-s800-c85.png


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[trysail]

Forecasters have adjusted Hurricane Florence's predicted path, saying that after it makes landfall,
it will likely take a more southerly route than had previously been expected. Rather than pushing up
toward western Virginia, the storm's center is now predicted to move across the middle of South Carolina.


https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2018/09/12/flo-satellite-color-d4cbee6857e08af3d356629d52c3751043102034-s800-c85.jpg


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[trysail]

https://c2.staticflickr.com/2/1869/43727342615_aaa2ea16ca_o.png

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[trysail]

https://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/intelligencer/2018/09/15/15-florence-noaa-5day-cone-forecast-sat-11am.nocrop.w710.h2147483647.png


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[trysail]

https://curryja.files.wordpress.com/2018/09/screen-shot-2018-09-18-at-1-46-04-pm.png



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[trysail]

Florence was an unusual hurricane in many respects— not least of which is that it was the first hurricane since 1851 to follow the track which it did.


https://curryja.files.wordpress.com/2018/09/screen-shot-2018-09-17-at-9-45-01-am.png



Much like Hurricane Isabel's effects on the western shore of Chesapeake Bay (in 2003), Florence's counter-clockwise winds funneled water into North Carolina's sounds and rivers.


https://curryja.files.wordpress.com/2018/09/screen-shot-2018-09-17-at-9-27-13-am.png





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[trysail]

Michael



https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2018/10/09/michael-8a093811_wide-5fa3e09a236f2197e64a7714392be17e043b5e4e-s800-c85.png





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[trysail]

https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2018/10/10/michael-map-693dd305733ed0b7aa11d6668fc0300324054eac-s1200.jpg


SUMMARY OF 900 AM CDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 86.1W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM WSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...931 MB...27.49 INCHES



Reminder: if you have your own generator, either keep it outside or be damn sure the thing is properly ventilated.

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[trysail]

Station SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/stations/sgof1.jpg

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_wind_pres.php?station=sgof1&uom=E&time_diff=-5&time_label=CDT


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[trysail]

Michael


https://storage.googleapis.com/afs-prod/media/media:71ecc14e7fba4c28b33bf7604fb2fb95/997.jpeg


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[trysail]

2019 Atlantic tropical cyclone names:

1. Andrea
2. Barry
3. Chantal
4. Dorian
5. Erin
6. Fernand
7. Gabrielle
8. Humberto
10. Imelda
11. Jerry
12. Karen
13. Lorenzo
14. Melissa
15. Nestor
16. Olga
17. Pablo
18. Rebekah
19. Sebastien
20. Tanya
21. Van
22. Wendy




2018 Tropical Storm Tracks:


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tracks/tracks-at-2018_sm.png



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[HisArpy]

2019 Atlantic tropical cyclone names:

1. Andrea
2. Barry
3. Chantal
4. Dorian
5. Erin
6. Fernand
7. Gabrielle
8. Humberto
10. Imelda
11. Jerry
12. Karen
13. Lorenzo
14. Melissa
15. Nestor
16. Olga
17. Pablo
18. Rebekah
19. Sebastien
20. Tanya
21. Van
22. Wendy

$2 on Van to place or show.

 

[trysail]

2019 Atlantic tropical cyclone names:

1. Andrea ×
2. Barry ×
3. Chantal ×
4. Dorian ×
5. Erin ×
6. Fernand ×
7. Gabrielle ×
8. Humberto ×
10. Imelda ×
11. Jerry ×
12. Karen ×
13. Lorenzo
14. Melissa
15. Nestor
16. Olga
17. Pablo
18. Rebekah
19. Sebastien
20. Tanya
21. Van
22. Wendy




NOAA Increases Chances For Above Normal Hurricane Season

The end of El Nino could boost Atlantic hurricane activity

"...August 8, 2019 NOAA forecasters monitoring oceanic and atmospheric patterns say conditions are now more favorable for above-normal hurricane activity since El Nino has now ended. Two named storms have formed so far this year and the peak months of the hurricane season, August through October, are now underway..."​

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[jaF0]

Two named storms have formed so far this year and the peak months of the hurricane season, August through October, are now underway..."

"Atlantic - Caribbean Sea - Gulf of Mexico
Tropical Weather Outlook (en Español*)
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion
701 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019
There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time."

"000
ABNT20 KNHC 161109
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Avila"



https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/


There aren't even any Invests or other areas of interest generating NHC messages.

 

[trysail]

Remembering Hurricane Camille In Nelson County, Virginia

"1969 was a remarkable year. Remembered as the year when man first stepped on the moon, and the year of the first Woodstock Festival, it was also the year when a major hurricane -- Hurricane Camille -- struck the United States.

Hurricane Camille wreaked havoc along the coastline of the Gulf states from New Orleans to Florida; and as far inland as the mid-Atlantic, including several parts of Virginia. With widespread flooding, extreme storm surges, record rainfall, and widespread destruction, several hundreds of lives were lost, and billions of dollars in damage occurred, making it one of the most devastating hurricanes to hit the United States...

...After Hurricane Camille, the landscape had changed so much that topographical maps were obsolete. To this day, hillsides still remain bare with exposed rock where mudslides once ravaged and stripped the lush green forest away. Damage totalled between 113-140 million dollars as the entire expanse of central Virginia was declared a disaster area. The flooding from the rain swept away miles of road, over 200 bridges, and over 900 buildings. A total of 123 people lost their lives and 37 people were never found; most of these deaths occurred due to mud. The rainfall tripled the state's record, and has not been broken since.

Nelson County, Virginia will forever bear the topographic scars from the unprecedented rain and it will always remember those who were fatally lost to Camille... "


https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapJournal/index.html?appid=33861c5d64d04dcd8a1529430a37c363


​

This retrospective was generated by NWS Student Volunteer [name redacted] to revisit the unusually catastrophic storm that is Hurricane Camille. In tribute to all lives affected and lost in the destruction of August 1969.


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[trysail]

https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2019/08/26/hurricane-dorian-20192381350_goes16_wide-562b2fb75070626e5d4c7757937f7912614fa1f0-s800-c85.jpg


BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
800 PM AST Sun Aug 25 2019

...DORIAN HEADED FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.6N 54.8W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM ESE OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Barbados
* St. Lucia
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Martinique
* Grenada and its dependencies



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[trysail]

TS Dorian

https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2019/08/26/hurricane-dorian-forecast-map_wide-fc161e304dad50c43be8d03f365c5d7a497fde67-s800-c85.jpg


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[trysail]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Dorian
https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2019/08/27/dorian-5day_cone_no_line_and_wind_wide-b036ce7a70b9f87acf17c109857f902dfd1a1015-s800-c85.png


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[trysail]

TS (yes, it's still a tropical storm) Dorian:

https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2019/08/28/dorian_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind_wide-089fe88f77284924c0a412bc1bb79600137af79e-s800-c85.png

8:00 AM AST Wed Aug 28
Location: 17.1°N 64.1°W
Moving: NW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 1003 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph


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[trysail]

Hurricane Dorian

https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2019/08/29/dorian_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind_wide-2a969dcefc5f1753778f3ebae074f866d761799e-s800-c85.png


11:00 AM AST Thu Aug 29
Location: 21.4°N 67.2°W
Moving: NW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 986 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph​

 

[Kantarii]

Hurricane Dorian

https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2019/08/29/dorian_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind_wide-2a969dcefc5f1753778f3ebae074f866d761799e-s800-c85.png


11:00 AM AST Thu Aug 29
Location: 21.4°N 67.2°W
Moving: NW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 986 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph​

Too bad the South Atlantic rarely gets hurricanes. I’m sure the Amazon Rainforest could use the rain to put out those fires.