For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

It took Ukraine only two nights of drone strikes to destroy 5% of Russia's total oil refining capacity.

Things are changing..

1738083552929.png
 
The U.S. has sent around 90 Patriot air defense missiles from storage in Israel to Poland for delivery to Ukraine, per Axios.

1738101904232.png
 

Russian Lukoil oil refinery struck by multiple Ukrainian drones​

A Lukoil oil refinery in the Russian oblast of Nizhny Novgorod was struck by multiple Ukrainian drones in the early hours of Jan. 29, a military intelligence (HUR) source told the Kyiv Independent. Drone strikes were reported by local officials across several Russian regions overnight, including the Nizhny Novgorod, Smolensk, Tver, and Bryansk oblasts, causing fires and prompting air defense responses. The Lukoil oil depot in the city of Kstovo was targeted by four drones, all of which struck their target and caused "significant damage."

Ukrainian intelligence services pointed out that the attack had caused significant damage to the oil depot, with all four UAVs launched on the Russian facility successfully reaching their targets. Local Russian social media users are posting videos of a large-scale fire at the oil depot. The oil refinery hit was capable of processing 15 to 17 million tonnes of oil a year, making it the fourth largest in Russia. It produces petrol, diesel, aviation gas and bitumen, making it a critical facility for the Russian military.

Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Governor Gleb Nikitin acknowledged the drone attack, though he claimed that drone wreckage had fallen on the territory of a facility in the Kstovo industrial zone.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/worl...S&cvid=af1087cbd6484ef2bcaa6b78e8759815&ei=17

1738150414431.png
 
It's time to let Europeans defend Europe and Ukraine. As a wise man said recently, "There are 540 million “rich” EU citizens. If they can’t contain 140 million impoverished Russians, then they don’t deserve “freedom”"
 

Right now NATO could not win a war with Russia​

Are the allied forces helping or hurting the prospects of a sustainable peace? This retired Royal Navy commodore has some thoughts.​


Steve Jermy
Jan 29, 2025


In 2024, reflecting a popular Western belief, former Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said: “NATO is the most powerful and successful alliance in history.” Yet just two years earlier in 2022, after a 15-year campaign, NATO was defeated by the Taliban, a rag-tag group of poorly armed insurgents.

How can NATO’s humiliating defeat and Austin’s view be reconciled?

Of course NATO was never the most powerful military alliance in history — that accolade surely goes to the World War II Allies: the U.S., Russia, Britain, and the Commonwealth nations. Nevertheless, after 1945, NATO did its job, did it well, and those of us who served in it were proud to do so.

Since the Berlin Wall’s fall, though, its record has become tarnished. Satisfactory in Kosovo. Humiliated in Afghanistan. Strategic failure looming in Ukraine. Are we really sure NATO is up to the job of defending democratic Europe from a supposedly expansionist Russia in the doomsday scenario of a conventional NATO-Russia war?

The doomsday NATO-Russia war scenario is the defining way to explore this question. “Amateurs talk tactics, professionals study logistics,” and our strategic analysis needs to start all the way back in NATO’s logistics rear areas, then work forward to a future line of battle on the continent of Europe.

Much more here: https://responsiblestatecraft.org/nato-war-with-russia/

Exactly what I've been trying to get across for months now.
 
It's time to let Europeans defend Europe and Ukraine. As a wise man said recently, "There are 540 million “rich” EU citizens. If they can’t contain 140 million impoverished Russians, then they don’t deserve “freedom”"

No wise man said that.
 


Steve Jermy
Jan 29, 2025


In 2024, reflecting a popular Western belief, former Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said: “NATO is the most powerful and successful alliance in history.” Yet just two years earlier in 2022, after a 15-year campaign, NATO was defeated by the Taliban, a rag-tag group of poorly armed insurgents.
No. The alliance did not lose. The United States surrendered to the Taliban. That surrender was made on terms dictated by Donald Trump with negligible consultation with Nato allies.

The shambles of the final exit was the responsibility of the Biden administration. The political leadership of both parties was shameful.

Lloyd Austin was (in my opinion) a first rate ass kisser, a second rate bureaucrat, and a fifth rate General
 

Ukraine is now on track to completely destroy russia’s oil industry​

In terms of Ukraine’s strikes on Russian territory, January 2025 was the month that the gloves finally came off. With Ukraine’s homegrown defense sector now rivaling any western nation and seemingly no US, German or French politician willing to risk uttering the long-standard and nonsensical call for “de-escalation”, Russia’s most important cash-generating assets are now vanishing at an almost daily rate.

A summary of Ukraine’s January strikes on Russian territory paint the picture of efforts primarily focused on Russia’s vast, nationwide petroleum industry, the very heart of the economy and it’s war machine.

▪️ On January 4, drones covered a distance of over 900 kilometers, successfully striking Russia’s largest seaport, Ust-Luga, in the Leningrad region.

▪️ On January 8, drones traveled approximately 1,000 kilometers to hit an oil depot in Engels, a key fuel supplier for a military airfield.

▪️ On January 10, several areas of Russia’s Rostov region fell victim to a combination of missiles and drones targeting a plant for the production of propellant for ballistic missiles as well as weapons warehouses and a military training base.

▪️ On January 11, multiple locations, including Russian-occupied Crimea and several Russian cities, came under attack. A fire erupted in the port area of Novorossiysk, located 500 kilometers from the border.

▪️ On January 14, drones struck an oil depot in Engels, the Orgsintez plant in Kazan, the Saratov Oil Refinery, and the Bryansk Chemical Plant.

▪️ On January 15, an oil depot in the Voronezh region, about 200 kilometers from the Ukrainian border, caught fire.

▪️ On January 16, drones traveled more than 400 kilometers to reach the Tambov Gunpowder Plant.

▪️ On January 17, another drone strike targeted the Engels oil depot, where Russian authorities had just extinguished a six-day fire. This marked the third attack in two weeks.

▪️ On January 18, drones hit oil depots in Russia’s Tula and Kaluga regions.

▪️ On January 20, drones targeted aircraft manufacturing facilities in Kazan, 1,000 kilometers from the border, while also revisiting a familiar oil depot in the Voronezh region.

▪️ On January 21, drone strikes reached military-industrial sites in Smolensk, located 300 kilometers from the border.

▪️ On January 24, drones conducted successful strikes in Ryazan and Bryansk—over 500 and 110 kilometers from the border, respectively. In Ryazan, an oil refinery was illuminated by explosions, while in Bryansk, the Kremniy El plant was also hit.

▪️ On January 26, UAVs once again struck the Ryazan Oil Refinery, more than 500 kilometers from the border.

▪️ On January 29, drones successfully hit one of Russia’s largest oil refineries, located in Kstovo in the Nizhny Novgorod region, approximately 800 kilometers from the Ukrainian border.

The Russian military blogosphere is now rife with panicked comments, citing the embarrassingly incompetent lack of air defenses, lamenting the almost nightly losses of key oil refineries, such as the Ryazan Refinery that was completely taken out of commission in only two nights of strikes earlier this week, the third largest refinery in the country.

Last night the fourth largest refinery, in Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod was also targeted. These two refineries alone represent over 11% of Russia’s total refining capacity, producing the diesel, jet fuel, gasoline and variety of petroleum derivatives that make an economy go.

In whats becoming an integral part of the morning coffee experience for millions of Ukrainians, the videos of exploding multi-million dollar Russian oil storage, transport and refinery capacity that fill the news feeds are giving hope, while the Ukrainian government assures that things are only getting started.

https://kyivinsider.com/ukraine-is-now-on-track-to-completely-destroy-russias-oil-industry/

1738323413060.png
 

Right now NATO could not win a war with Russia​

Are the allied forces helping or hurting the prospects of a sustainable peace? This retired Royal Navy commodore has some thoughts.​


Steve Jermy
Jan 29, 2025


In 2024, reflecting a popular Western belief, former Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said: “NATO is the most powerful and successful alliance in history.” Yet just two years earlier in 2022, after a 15-year campaign, NATO was defeated by the Taliban, a rag-tag group of poorly armed insurgents.

How can NATO’s humiliating defeat and Austin’s view be reconciled?

Of course NATO was never the most powerful military alliance in history — that accolade surely goes to the World War II Allies: the U.S., Russia, Britain, and the Commonwealth nations. Nevertheless, after 1945, NATO did its job, did it well, and those of us who served in it were proud to do so.

Since the Berlin Wall’s fall, though, its record has become tarnished. Satisfactory in Kosovo. Humiliated in Afghanistan. Strategic failure looming in Ukraine. Are we really sure NATO is up to the job of defending democratic Europe from a supposedly expansionist Russia in the doomsday scenario of a conventional NATO-Russia war?

The doomsday NATO-Russia war scenario is the defining way to explore this question. “Amateurs talk tactics, professionals study logistics,” and our strategic analysis needs to start all the way back in NATO’s logistics rear areas, then work forward to a future line of battle on the continent of Europe.

Much more here: https://responsiblestatecraft.org/nato-war-with-russia/

Exactly what I've been trying to get across for months now.
lol, how many times have you made this claim? NATO would roll over Russia in a second, but that would then mean Putin would try and use Nukes. Which is the only reason it hasn't happened.
 
Think about this one. Kim Jong Un, the very definition of an insane leader, experienced 2 months of Russian meat wave tactics and withdrew his troops because North Korean losses were too shocking. Kim Jong Un!

Russia is fucked.

1738458432897.png
 
Is that going to affect prices at the pump?

No, I don't think so. Trump is pushing for increased oil production to bring oil prices down. What it WILL do is reduce the foreign exchange Russian brings in, and put ,ore pressure on their economy. That, and it might impact internal fuel supplies as those refineries are taken down. They can take months, if not years to repair, and some of the critical components are imported, not made in Russia. Russian air defence seems to e collapsing, which means Ukraine can basically strike at will - and their drone production is just climbing and climbing. They are now on 100 drone attacks - which is something I said months ago would come, and they're doing it night after night.

The next step is not just raids, but total devastation of a facility, leaving nothing to be repaired. Give it another few months and we'll see that, and it won't just be oil refineries. It'll be factories and critical things like power generation and water treatment, and railway bridges and airports. They just hit Murmansk a few days ago - a lot of what's left of the Russian Navy is there. Big fat juicy targets. I don't expect the Kerch Bridge to go until the last minute tho. THAT will be a sign that the ZSU is heading for Crimea.
 

Sweden Hands Over 16 CB90 Boats to Ukraine in New Aid Package​

Sweden announced its intention to allocate the CB90 boats in the spring of 2024. The transfer of these boats and the start of crew training in Romania were announced in September last year, but so far, there has been no mention of this equipment or its use in the Ukrainian Navy in public sources. A video report by the Bryz TV studio of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine has now been released, marking the first mention of Swedish CB90 assault boats in service with the Ukrainian Navy. For instance, it is stated that the compact dimensions of the CB90 allow these boats to operate freely even on inland waterways and reach unequipped shorelines without damage. In addition, these boats are characterized by excellent handling and high maneuverability.

https://en.defence-ua.com/news/swed...oats_to_ukraine_in_new_aid_package-13399.html
1738500944942.png
 
Russian soldier who deserted gives a detailed account of their treatment.....horrid

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1886001244063334414.html

He is harshly critical of Russian commanders, who he says direct their troops as if they were playing a game of Command & Conquer: Red Alert. The Russians rely on crude 'meat assault' tactics, with the Ukrainians constantly preparing traps for them as they withdraw.
Original thread -
 

Zelenskyy: Ukraine received US$76 billion out of US$177 billion approved by America​

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has clarified that of the approximately US$177 billion in aid approved by the US for Ukraine, the country has received about US$76 billion.

So, when people talk about US$177 billion or even US$200 billion, we’ve never received that. We’re talking about tangible things because this aid didn’t come as cash but rather as weapons, which amounted to about US$70 billion. But when it’s said that Ukraine received US$200 billion to support the army during the war – that’s not true. I don’t know where all that money went. Perhaps it’s true on paper with hundreds of different programmes – I won’t argue, and we’re immensely grateful for everything. But in reality, we received about US$76 billion. It’s significant aid, but it’s not US$200 billion."
  • In November 2024, Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine has not received even half of the weapons officially allocated by the United States and that Europe has helped Ukraine just as much as the US.
  • On his first day as president, Donald Trump signed an executive order suspending all foreign aid programmes for 90 days to assess their alignment with his political goals. Zelenskyy stated that US military aid to Ukraine had not been halted.
  • US Secretary of State Marco Rubio ordered a suspension of all new foreign aid payments during this review. Officials and NGO representatives in Ukraine warned that without Rubio’s authorisation, essential programs, including support for schools, hospitals and efforts to develop economic and energy infrastructure, could face significant setbacks.
  • On 26 January, The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) in Ukraine was ordered to suspend all projects and expenditures following a directive from the US Department of State. The order suspends foreign aid programmes for 90 days to allow for an audit.
  • However, military aid to Ukraine is exempt from this freeze and continues to be delivered under the policies established by the previous administration of Joe Biden.
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/02/2/7496431/
 

Russian supply lines collapse near Kupiansk as Ukrainian drones annihilate convoys and armor​

Basically the Russian advance has overextended their logistical routes, exposing supply convoys and troops and armor moving up to the front to Ukrainian drone attacks. Ukrainian drone operators are swarming them, taking out the armor and IFV's, then chasing down and killing Russian infantry one by one.....

Overall, due to the poor logistics and lack of infrastructure in the southern flank of Kupiansk, the Russian forces were exposed to precision strikes by FPV kamikaze drones of the Ukrainian Achilles Battalion of the 92nd Infantry Brigade. The success of the Achilles Battalion in repulsing several Russian mechanized attacks on the southern flank of Kupiansk over the past months allowed them to expand from a battalion to a regiment, increasing the size of their unit by nearly four times. The huge influx of new Ukrainian drone operators will allow them to counter the Russian attacks to even greater effect, further deteriorating the Russian situation here and possibly even setting conditions for Ukrainians to retake the East Bank of the Oskil River.

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/02...krainian-drones-annihilate-convoys-and-armor/
 
Back
Top