Just the Polls

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From the Newsweek article. πŸ˜€

The William Hill odds of a Trump victory in November lengthened from 2/5 (71.4 percent) on Thursday before his convention address to 8/15 (65.2 percent) on Friday.

Over the same period, Biden's odds of securing reelection later this year deteriorated substantially to just 12/1 (7.7 percent) as the president faces pressure from within his own party to withdraw from the race.

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-tru...ntial-election-slump-after-rnc-speech-1927609
 

Donald Trump Losing to Kamala Harris in Three National Polls​


The most recent national poll putting Harris in front was conducted by Marist for NPR and PBS News between July 9 and July 10 and surveyed 1,309 adults. Harris garnered 50 percent support compared to Trump's 49 percent, with just 1 percent of respondents remaining undecided. This poll had a margin of error of +/- 3.3.

The second most recent national poll with Harris leading was conducted by Ipsos for ABC News between July 5 and July 9. It presented a similar picture, with Harris leading Trump by 2 percentage points, receiving 42 percent of the vote to Trump's 40 percent. The poll, which surveyed 2,431 adults, also revealed that 4 percent of respondents would vote for someone else, and 14 percent would not vote at all. The margin of error for this poll was +/- 2.1 percentage points.

The third poll, conducted by Bendixen and Amandi International for ABC News from July 2 to July 6, also showed Harris with a slight advantage over Trump. In this survey of 1,000 likely voters, Harris received 42 percent support, while Trump has 41 percent. The poll indicated that 5 percent of respondents would vote for someone else, and 12 percent were undecided. The margin of error was +/- 3.1 percentage points.




https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-leads-trump-three-national-polls-1928451
 

Donald Trump Losing to Kamala Harris in Three National Polls​











https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-leads-trump-three-national-polls-1928451
This is why polls don't mean diddly .....


Donald Trump Breaks Record, Poll Shows

The ex-president's favorability rating is the highest since his first presidential race, per Quinnipiac polling, but more voters still find him unfavorable.


Kamala Harris Stung in First Two Polls After Joe Biden Stepped Down

The polls show surveyed voters prefer former President Donald Trump over Harris should the election be held today.
 
This thread was getting boring until yesterday. It’s about to get interesting again. We should start seeing new polls toward the end of this week that will give us a snapshot that reflects the effect of the new Democratic candidate on the race. I doubt there will be a meaningful challenge on the Democratic side but we shall see. Things will get more interesting a relevant after the Democratic convention next month.

Friendly reminder of the rules of this thread: β€œJust the polls.” The idea the OP had for this is to confine the content to quantitative data. We can post our opinions, memes, videos in other threads.
 
  • An Atlanta-Journal Constitution poll has Trump winning Georgia by 4.6% over Harris, compared to 3.5% over Biden.
  • In a result that shows Democrats clearly on the defensive on the 2024 chessboard, a New Hampshire Journal poll has Trump up 0.9% in Granite State -- where the GOP hasn't won in 24 years.
  • In a glimmer of hope for Democrats, Harris is doing better than Biden in Pennsylvania, but still trails Trump in the pivotal state by 2%.
  • Conversely, Harris is polling worse than Biden in Nevada, losing to Trump by 10%.
 
This thread was getting boring until yesterday. It’s about to get interesting again. We should start seeing new polls toward the end of this week that will give us a snapshot that reflects the effect of the new Democratic candidate on the race. I doubt there will be a meaningful challenge on the Democratic side but we shall see. Things will get more interesting a relevant after the Democratic convention next month.

Friendly reminder of the rules of this thread: β€œJust the polls.” The idea the OP had for this is to confine the content to quantitative data. We can post our opinions, memes, videos in other threads.

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πŸ‘‰ BabyBoobs 🀣

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