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The Economy

RobDownSouth said:
Another day, another decline in all major US exchanges.
Usually, when money exits the stock market, it enters the bond market. Bond market rates are actually rising though, which indicates investors are NOT investing in US bonds. So WHAR IS INVESTOR MONEY GOING?

Answer: Investors have Yellow Fever! Asian stock markets shooting up! So sorry not sorry!
https://i.imgur.com/MZGG6Un.jpeg
Click to expand...

Um, if THAT ^ becomes a long term trend…

😳

😑

🤬

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
 
Fuzzy1975 said:
That's not what you claimed all of last month...now you're moving the goal posts till December...moron.
Click to expand...
Show me where I said nettinand the best part,/&g about March besides it's the month of EXPOSURE! Better.! moron than a communist perverted twit! Who the hell wants this to end in March! Fuck I don't want it to ever end! I love watching you commies suffer and not be able to do a thing about it! Its1000003862.jpg Fantastic! And the best part, they all know their FUCKED! Happy tines are here again!!
 
KingDJT said:
Show me where I said nettinand the best part,/&g about March besides it's the month of EXPOSURE! Better.! moron than a communist perverted twit! Who the hell wants this to end in March! Fuck I don't want it to ever end! I love watching you commies suffer and not be able to do a thing about it! ItsView attachment 2524664 Fantastic! And the best part, they all know their FUCKED! Happy tines are here again!!
Click to expand...
lol, learn to spell you fucking moron.
 
Another problem …

Treasuries ‘Fire Sale’ Sends Long-Term Yields Soaring Worldwide

The exodus from longer-dated US Treasuries accelerated, fueling the biggest selloff since 2020 in what are supposed to be the world’s safest assets.

The yield on 30-year Treasuries briefly soared above 5% with investors increasingly worried President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which kicked into effect today, will send the economy into recession and limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to respond by also igniting inflation.
Click to expand...

The surge in Treasury yields, which affect everything from mortgage costs to loan rates, draws into question Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s goal of bringing down borrowing costs to help consumers and companies.
Click to expand...

Given the intensity of the selloff, some pointed to the potential of foreign selling of US debt and investors ditching whatever they can to quickly raise cash.
Click to expand...

Trump fucked around and is finding out that the stock market isn’t the only way he’s damaging the economy.
 
Texans must be cussin’ up a storm. The oil price is at $57, which is too low for them.

Energy analysts see the $60 per barrel price as a key threshold when oil producers scale back activity and, eventually, cut back on production. Prices started April above $70.

“At $60, the U.S. is going to slow down. There’s no question,” said Marshall Adkins, head of energy for Raymond James. “Production is going to go down. It just won’t happen overnight.
Click to expand...

Just another unintended consequence of fucking around with the economy.
 
KingDJT said:
Show me where I said nettinand the best part,/&g about March besides it's the month of EXPOSURE! Better.! moron than a communist perverted twit! Who the hell wants this to end in March! Fuck I don't want it to ever end! I love watching you commies suffer and not be able to do a thing about it! ItsView attachment 2524664 Fantastic! And the best part, they all know their FUCKED! Happy tines are here again!!
Click to expand...

You are a fine example of the fact that some bots are biological.
 
MajorRewrite said:
Texans must be cussin’ up a storm. The oil price is at $57, which is too low for them.



Just another unintended consequence of fucking around with the economy.
Click to expand...
Yup. For all the jingoism of "Drill Baby Drill", 64% of oil production in Murica today is shale based, and shale-based oil, and shale producers are profitable at two levels:
  • The Yuge Texas oil producers make money at a $58 per barrel price point
  • The Small Patater Texas oil producers make money at a $67 per barrel price point
When the Trump regime ascended to the throne in January, oil was right around $70 per barrel.
For reference, Texas oilmen get

  • "concerned" at the psychological $60 price point,
  • "shitting their britches" at $55 per barrel
  • "damn near suicidal" at $50 per barrel.

Today the price of Murican oil is at $57 and trending downward.
The last time it was that low was at the end of the pandemic, people were working from home and nobody was driving anywhere.

New production is not gonna help. Trump can open up drilling on every gummint-owned piece of land in Murica and it won't improve the bottom line one bit. Demand is weak, and Trump's self-inflicted wound (mindless trade wars) are likely to increase the pain.

The Saudis can't help Trump either. Their wretched excess in spending (such as sponsoring last weekend's LIV golf tournament) forces a $96 dollar per barrel profitability point (which is staggering considering the cost of actually producing a barrel of crude on Saudi soil is only $10 per barrel). Saudi revenue declined 12% last year, which really put a financial hurt on them...but they've committed to cutting back oil production in the face of weak demand.

In summary, anyone who owns any fossil-fuel stock is absolutely fucked for 2025.
 
RobDownSouth said:
Yup. For all the jingoism of "Drill Baby Drill", 64% of oil production in Murica today is shale based, and shale-based oil, and shale producers are profitable at two levels:
  • The Yuge Texas oil producers make money at a $58 per barrel price point
  • The Small Patater Texas oil producers make money at a $67 per barrel price point
When the Trump regime ascended to the throne in January, oil was right around $70 per barrel.
For reference, Texas oilmen get

  • "concerned" at the psychological $60 price point,
  • "shitting their britches" at $55 per barrel
  • "damn near suicidal" at $50 per barrel.

Today the price of Murican oil is at $57 and trending downward.
The last time it was that low was at the end of the pandemic, people were working from home and nobody was driving anywhere.

New production is not gonna help. Trump can open up drilling on every gummint-owned piece of land in Murica and it won't improve the bottom line one bit. Demand is weak, and Trump's self-inflicted wound (mindless trade wars) are likely to increase the pain.

The Saudis can't help Trump either. Their wretched excess in spending (such as sponsoring last weekend's LIV golf tournament) forces a $96 dollar per barrel profitability point (which is staggering considering the cost of actually producing a barrel of crude on Saudi soil is only $10 per barrel). Saudi revenue declined 12% last year, which really put a financial hurt on them...but they've committed to cutting back oil production in the face of weak demand.

In summary, anyone who owns any fossil-fuel stock is absolutely fucked for 2025.
Click to expand...
BS.
 

Media Staging Coup To Crash Stock Market to Undermine Trump​

Posted Apr 9, 2025 by Martin Armstrong​


COMMENT: The media including the financial media really going crazy with this Trump Tariff thing – as if the market wasn’t due for a pull back.

REPLY: We had forecast that we would see a correction by April last year. I answered plenty of questions on various podcasts about whether this would be a big crash and the end of the bull market. I consistently warned that such a scenario was absurd, for that implied the classic flight to quality being government debt. Facing a global sovereign debt crisis, I warned that it was just not realistic. The press has latched onto this normal correction and is deliberately trying to crash the market with constant claims that tariffs will destroy the world economy.

This is the very same political scheme they used in 1932 to blame tariffs on Hoover and the Republicans to win the 1932 election. It was a total lie and a fabrication of history. We are witnessing the attempted coup of Trump by deliberately trying to force the stock market down in a desperate attempt to turn the Republicans against Trump and stop his entire agenda of ending the Democrats’ feeding trough for corruption. I was stunned by the conversation I had yesterday and a deliberate media attempted coup.

Tariffs do not cause a DEPRESSION, no matter how much the media is selling that story now, just as the Democrats did in 1932 to get FDR elected. They also failed to protect any country from the effects of the worldwide depression at the time.

Between 1925 and 1929, there were 33 general revisions or substantial tariff changes, nearly all of which raised tariffs. These included 26 European nations and 17 republics of Latin America. In 1927 and 1928, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand increased and expanded the scope of their tariffs. In Asia, China, Persia, and Siam also raised tariffs during the period.
This was all before the 1929 Crash, which the history books omitted along with the 1931 Sovereign Defaults.

More here: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/...oup-to-crash-stock-market-to-undermine-trump/
 
Rightguide said:

Media Staging Coup To Crash Stock Market to Undermine Trump​

Posted Apr 9, 2025 by Martin Armstrong​


COMMENT: The media including the financial media really going crazy with this Trump Tariff thing – as if the market wasn’t due for a pull back.

REPLY: We had forecast that we would see a correction by April last year. I answered plenty of questions on various podcasts about whether this would be a big crash and the end of the bull market. I consistently warned that such a scenario was absurd, for that implied the classic flight to quality being government debt. Facing a global sovereign debt crisis, I warned that it was just not realistic. The press has latched onto this normal correction and is deliberately trying to crash the market with constant claims that tariffs will destroy the world economy.

This is the very same political scheme they used in 1932 to blame tariffs on Hoover and the Republicans to win the 1932 election. It was a total lie and a fabrication of history. We are witnessing the attempted coup of Trump by deliberately trying to force the stock market down in a desperate attempt to turn the Republicans against Trump and stop his entire agenda of ending the Democrats’ feeding trough for corruption. I was stunned by the conversation I had yesterday and a deliberate media attempted coup.

Tariffs do not cause a DEPRESSION, no matter how much the media is selling that story now, just as the Democrats did in 1932 to get FDR elected. They also failed to protect any country from the effects of the worldwide depression at the time.

Between 1925 and 1929, there were 33 general revisions or substantial tariff changes, nearly all of which raised tariffs. These included 26 European nations and 17 republics of Latin America. In 1927 and 1928, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand increased and expanded the scope of their tariffs. In Asia, China, Persia, and Siam also raised tariffs during the period.
This was all before the 1929 Crash, which the history books omitted along with the 1931 Sovereign Defaults.

More here: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/...oup-to-crash-stock-market-to-undermine-trump/
Click to expand...
1743866031454.jpg
 
Well, he told you to buy in the mornand I did I shorted vxx And went long several other stocks next time listen
 
Rightguide said:

Media Staging Coup To Crash Stock Market to Undermine Trump​

Posted Apr 9, 2025 by Martin Armstrong​


COMMENT: The media including the financial media really going crazy with this Trump Tariff thing – as if the market wasn’t due for a pull back.

REPLY: We had forecast that we would see a correction by April last year. I answered plenty of questions on various podcasts about whether this would be a big crash and the end of the bull market. I consistently warned that such a scenario was absurd, for that implied the classic flight to quality being government debt. Facing a global sovereign debt crisis, I warned that it was just not realistic. The press has latched onto this normal correction and is deliberately trying to crash the market with constant claims that tariffs will destroy the world economy.

This is the very same political scheme they used in 1932 to blame tariffs on Hoover and the Republicans to win the 1932 election. It was a total lie and a fabrication of history. We are witnessing the attempted coup of Trump by deliberately trying to force the stock market down in a desperate attempt to turn the Republicans against Trump and stop his entire agenda of ending the Democrats’ feeding trough for corruption. I was stunned by the conversation I had yesterday and a deliberate media attempted coup.

Tariffs do not cause a DEPRESSION, no matter how much the media is selling that story now, just as the Democrats did in 1932 to get FDR elected. They also failed to protect any country from the effects of the worldwide depression at the time.

Between 1925 and 1929, there were 33 general revisions or substantial tariff changes, nearly all of which raised tariffs. These included 26 European nations and 17 republics of Latin America. In 1927 and 1928, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand increased and expanded the scope of their tariffs. In Asia, China, Persia, and Siam also raised tariffs during the period.
This was all before the 1929 Crash, which the history books omitted along with the 1931 Sovereign Defaults.

More here: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/...oup-to-crash-stock-market-to-undermine-trump/
Click to expand...
The media didn't cause the stock market drop, you fucking idiot.

The stock market expected a rational tariffs policy and Trump didn't provide it.
 
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