The Economy

Y

You will.find.out soon enough! That's a promise and the TRUTH obviously the majority of Americans as well! And then when it's proven 2020 was stolen as we're almost all of the dems wins, maybe you will.considwr leaving your party of communist perverts! And then the child sex trafficing which will be the final dagger that finishes them all off, maybe you just might consider it at that time. In other words, the party of communist pervs is all but finished! More TRUTH

In short, you believe that you will have power in a monarchy which you would not have in a communist dictatorship. Specifically the power to kill people like me.

Dude, are you in for a surprise.
 

March Deficit Unexpectedly Tumbles to 5 Year Low as DOGE Cracks Down on Democrat Money-Laundering Schemes​

by Tyler Durden, Zero Hedge

April 11, 2025

in Curated, News




(Zero Hedge)—One month ago, when looking at the latest US Treasury income and spending, or as it is better known, deficit, data we found something shocking: the last months of the Biden admin were marked by spending unlike anything ever seen before, in fact, spending in the first six months of fiscal 2025 surpassed even the crisis 2020 and 2021 when the US injected trillions into the economy.
https://assets.zerohedge.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/cumulative%20deficit%20march%202025_0.jpg?itok=WzY1CP22
Then Elon Musk’s DOGE came on the scene… and thing changed quickly.

https://discernreport.com/march-def...ks-down-on-democrat-money-laundering-schemes/
 
In short, you believe that you will have power in a monarchy which you would not have in a communist dictatorship. Specifically the power to kill people like me.

Dude, are you in for a surprise.
No , you are in for a surprise! Bigtime! Your party of communist perverts is DONE! Nothing more, nothing less! Your whole fucking party is going bye bye, that's a promise!Psst. They are gone already!! Your just too fucking stupid to know it!🙂
 
No , you are in for a surprise! Bigtime! Your party of communist perverts is DONE! Nothing more, nothing less! Your whole fucking party is going bye bye, that's a promise!Psst. They are gone already!! Your just too fucking stupid to know it!🙂

No Qanon lunacy in the economy thread.

Did you hear that the orangutan that replaced Trump beat the crap out of “Kash” Patel yesterday? It turns out the orangutan hates bug-eyed loons.
 
The intrigue in the Great Monday Bond Selloff is getting absolutely GOTHIC.

This past Monday, the US bond market had a meltdown, which usually results in the government raising bond yields and homeowner mortgage rates. This was highly unusual, bond rise when stock fall and vice versa. It's always been that way, except.....

This did not happen. Wall Street told Trump that Japan, China and South Korea were "dumping" US bonds and Trump panicked and reversed course.

Yesterday, folks were showing "proof" of Japanese and Chinese fuckery in the US bond markets. It looked convincing. I know I swallowed that line hook line and sinker.

UPON FURTHER REVIEW

Japan noted that for the past five years it has been slowly diversifying out of parking 100 percent of their liquid assets in US bonds at the glacial pace of.....get ready....one quarter of one percent per quarter. It's best practice not to "put all your eggs in one basket", so they're ever-so-slowly unwinding. They still have something like 96% of their liquidity in US bonds... THEY were not responsible for the US bond meltdown.

China decided once Trump was elected that it would be prudent to no longer invest in US bonds. China did NOT sell ANY US bonds, they hold mostly 30-year Treasury bonds, they were buying new ones every months for almost two decades, rolling over bonds that had matured. So China never actually SOLD any bonds on the US market, they just presented bonds that had reached maturity to the US Treasury for repayment of principle, just like Wall Street routinely does. China is not buying any new bonds, but it's not "market manipulation" to decline to buy what someone is selling.

Sooo....who sold all the bonds on Monday?

Wall Street brokers did.
They didn't want to face backlash because they recognized that they'd bear the blame for rising mortgage rates and thus incur the Wrath of Trump for their actions, so they cannily blamed "those sneaky Asians".
 
The intrigue in the Great Monday Bond Selloff is getting absolutely GOTHIC.

This past Monday, the US bond market had a meltdown, which usually results in the government raising bond yields and homeowner mortgage rates. This was highly unusual, bond rise when stock fall and vice versa. It's always been that way, except.....

This did not happen. Wall Street told Trump that Japan, China and South Korea were "dumping" US bonds and Trump panicked and reversed course.

Yesterday, folks were showing "proof" of Japanese and Chinese fuckery in the US bond markets. It looked convincing. I know I swallowed that line hook line and sinker.

UPON FURTHER REVIEW

Japan noted that for the past five years it has been slowly diversifying out of parking 100 percent of their liquid assets in US bonds at the glacial pace of.....get ready....one quarter of one percent per quarter. It's best practice not to "put all your eggs in one basket", so they're ever-so-slowly unwinding. They still have something like 96% of their liquidity in US bonds... THEY were not responsible for the US bond meltdown.

China decided once Trump was elected that it would be prudent to no longer invest in US bonds. China did NOT sell ANY US bonds, they hold mostly 30-year Treasury bonds, they were buying new ones every months for almost two decades, rolling over bonds that had matured. So China never actually SOLD any bonds on the US market, they just presented bonds that had reached maturity to the US Treasury for repayment of principle, just like Wall Street routinely does. China is not buying any new bonds, but it's not "market manipulation" to decline to buy what someone is selling.

Sooo....who sold all the bonds on Monday?

Wall Street brokers did.
They didn't want to face backlash because they recognized that they'd bear the blame for rising mortgage rates and thus incur the Wrath of Trump for their actions, so they cannily blamed "those sneaky Asians".
It's no time to soil yourself, Rob. Japan, U.S. institutions, pension funds, and even the Fed itself are still massive buyers of Treasuries. China’s share has been gradually shrinking for years. Even with all our dysfunction, the U.S. dollar and Treasuries are still the world’s most trusted “safe haven” during crises. China’s reduction has been strategic and gradual, not a market-crashing fire sale. If China dumps Treasuries, it hurts the dollar, but also hurts itself by tanking the value of its own holdings. It's a mutually assured disruption, not a one-sided weapon. The real and overwhelming power that China faces is not having access to the American market, which is one-third of all global consumer spending. They have no comparable cards in this game. They cannot survive without us. In the last few days millions of Chinese workers have been sent home because US importers have put a hold on their orders. It's only a matter of time before China bends the knee. This will be the greatest economic reset in history.
 
Major BLACKTHUG Dirtbag

has STILL not posted the numbers

Which numbers? The inflation numbers posted yesterday? Or the producer price index numbers you posted today?

Mentally disabled noitall is very agitated for some reason, so here’s a graph of the PPI. It’s not very exciting. 🙄

IMG_0732.jpeg
 
No , you are in for a surprise! Bigtime! Your party of communist perverts is DONE! Nothing more, nothing less! Your whole fucking party is going bye bye, that's a promise!Psst. They are gone already!! Your just too fucking stupid to know it!🙂

First. I'm not a Democrat. I'm Canadian so I can't be a Democrat.

Second. Your statement made it clear that you support a monarchy because in a monarchy you will be able to murder with impunity.

That's really sick.
 
Well, since DOGE shitcanned the inspector generals and any and all ethical controls, insider trading with family and friends is all good. Martha’s kinda pissed though.
 
CNN fake news....

Where's the concern for the four years of misinformation and outright lies generated by CNN, MSNBC, ABC, NBC, CBS, and big tech on Russian collusion?

It speaks to Carlson's integrity as a journalist to give fair treatment to those he hates and disagrees with. The glaring difference between him and the propagandists at CNN MSNBC and the rest of the legacy media.
I could quote more but why bother....you use CNN when it supports your view point, and call it fake news when it disagree's....
 
Another day, another decline in all major US exchanges.
Usually, when money exits the stock market, it enters the bond market. Bond market rates are actually rising though, which indicates investors are NOT investing in US bonds. So WHAR IS INVESTOR MONEY GOING?

Answer: Investors have Yellow Fever! Asian stock markets shooting up! So sorry not sorry!
Five days after my question on Tuesday, we have something of a definitive answer.

  • Simply put...cash inflow into the Euro stock exchange rose a record 2.5%...that is a fuck-ton of money added in one week.
  • Also, the Swiss monetary market (separate and independent from the Euro exchanges) rose by a near-record 3.5% in the past seven days.
  • Japan markets are getting quite swollen with cash right now, the Japanese economy was not built to handle sudden large inflow of foreign funds (it was designed to function as a 'safe haven' for traditional ultraconservative Japanese investors)
  • The US Bond market is deflating at an alarming rate. The USA could run huge deficits because of the premium that America could afford international investments as the world's safe haven.
  • Trump is actively destroying America's position as a currency safe haven, which will in turn raise interest rates to attract capital, which ultimately means the the "free ride" on deficit spending may finally lurch to a halt.
 
SOMEBODY purchased 509 SPY Zero-Day Call options one hour before Trump's announcement of complete capitulation.

A SPY Call is essentially a bet that the Standards and Poor 500 index (aka SPY) will rise significantly.
a "Zero Day" call is a very specific bet that that an option will do so before the end of the trading day.

Like I said, yesterday someone with a spare $100,000 in cash lying around bought 509 individual SPY call options that expired at the end of the day. Had Trump NOT made the announcement and the market did not rise, the entire $100,000 wager would have been lost.

One HOUR after Trump's announcement, he/she/they sold all of these options for a profit of $21,000,000 dollars.

21 million dollars for two hour's work (an hour to purchase, an hour to sell).

This is textbook insider trading.

Only in America!
SOMEBODY got "lucky" again! They purchased one of the riskiest bets on the market: a 50X "call option" on both BTC (Bitcoin) and ETH (Etherium). These are incredibly risky because if you purchase a 50X Call and the price goes UP in the next day or so, you're fabulously wealthy.....BUT conversely, if the price goes DOWN in the next day or so, you're fabulous broke (owing 50 times your initial investment).

So what happened yesterday? Nothing much, except Orange Julius Caesar announced specifics for his pie-in-the-sky American Cryptocoin Reserve.....it seems that this reserve will be held as follows: 50% in Bitcoin and 50% in Etherium.

Prices for both bitcoins immediately shot through the roof. Wow.

Someone is suddenly very very wealthy today.
 
Retail sales surge 1.4% in March, most since Jan. 2023, in latest sign of US economy's strength before tariffs

Retail sales rose more 1.4% in March, matching forecasts and serving as the best reading in over two years in the latest sign of the US economy's resilience before this month's sweeping reciprocal tariff announcements.

The control group in Thursday's release, which excludes several volatile categories and factors into the gross domestic product (GDP) reading for the quarter, rose 0.4%. Economists had expected a 0.6%. The metric's February rise was revised higher to 1.3% from a prior reading of 1%.
 
Back
Top