Atlantic Hurricanes

[trysail]

Matthew responsible for one death on St. Vincent due to a mudslide.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_001_0.GIF




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[trysail]

Scatter plot of possible tracks for Matthew (produced by Weather Bell).


http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/gefs_AL14_2016100100.png


(note the caveat and advice)

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[raindancer]

It's not looking good for the coastal plains of NC. The forecast is already calling for a washout, next weekend.

 

[trysail]

It's not looking good for the coastal plains of NC. The forecast is already calling for a washout, next weekend.

Current 5-Day projected track with cone of probability:


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_018_A.GIF


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[4est_4est_Gump]

DC

DC

Please let it be DC...






(It's a joke people, get a grip!)

 

[Saint Peter]

It's not looking good for the coastal plains of NC. The forecast is already calling for a washout, next weekend.

Would you like to borrow my galoshes?

 

[raindancer]

I will probably be swept away as I am supposed to be in SC for a wedding. I'm bringing my floaties.

 

[Mello_SixtyNine]

Where is that hurricane projected to be at on Friday? I've got a Friday flight to Naples, FL that I hope doesn't get cancelled.

 

[clistenovena]

Damn. Looks like there goes my next week's trip to see my bestie.

And...

Please miss the coast of Georgia. Please miss the coast of Georgia.

 

[ears1980]

Please miss as many people as possible...

 

[trysail]

Poor Haiti.

Then, there's GITMO.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_021_A.GIF


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[raindancer]

Ugh. Matthew is doing damage and headed our way.

 

[trysail]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_025_0.GIF


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[trysail]

A hurricane warning is in effect for the southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins, Crooked Island, Long Cay and Ragged Island; the Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay, San Salvador and Cat Island; and the northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island and New Providence.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_026_0.GIF



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[raindancer]

https://scontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/14520390_1128339207249877_4256179816933008511_n.jpg?oh=64e015803b6898fe844bcb136c6172ef&oe=58A7A7FD

 

[trysail]

The Carolinas just might catch a break if Matthew gets shoved offshore by a high pressure system.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_029_0.GIF

...When a hurricane is forecast to take a track roughly parallel
to a coastline, as Matthew is forecast to do from Florida through
South Carolina, it becomes very difficult to estimate impacts this
far in advance. For example, only a small deviation of the track to
the left of the NHC forecast could bring the core of a major
hurricane onshore, while a small deviation to the right could keep
all of the hurricane-force winds offshore. It will likely take
another day or so for the potential impacts of Matthew in the United
States to clarify...
​

Here's an interesting possibility (but not if you're a Floridian)— the damn thing does a back flip:

http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/Loopy-Matthew.jpg

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[raindancer]

http://www.wral.com/dramatic-forecast-track-change-pushes-matthew-farther-off-nc-coast/16084603/

 

[thør]

https://scontent.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/14572210_10211133576717575_8265546553781020998_n.jpg?oh=d6f6d44e2129f7ce208ab496e00a7481&oe=58670A59

 

[trysail]

It looks like the damn thing is going to do a back flip !



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_033_0.GIF


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[trysail]

1200 GMT (0800 EDT) projection


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_033_A.GIF



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[trysail]

2100 GMT (1700 EDT)

Look out Florida !!


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_035_0.GIF


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[trysail]

The Bahamas get nailed twice ??


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_037_0.GIF



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[trysail]

Did Matthew ever actually make a U.S. landfall?



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2016/graphics/al14/AL142016_5W_041_0.GIF




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[ears1980]

Perhaps at Cape Canaveral, but the core has remained just offshore for the most part. The latest discussion suggests the eyewall may move over Charleston later today.

 

[Christobal]

I live in the death zone. Lots of wind and a shitload of rain. I lost power for an hour and half That was all. Hurricanes finally give the weather person a moment in the spot light. You are all gonna die.

And they wonder why we don't why we don't heed their warnings. Do you think think I am making thing ups? Watch this. Everyone will die.

http://www.usmagazine.com/celebrity...arre-hurricane-matthew-outburst-watch-w443848