HisArpy
Loose canon extraordinair
- Joined
- Jul 30, 2016
- Posts
- 44,906
Some interesting subjects have been brought up lately, precisely that of 'land swaps.' Exactly how would that work and why would Russia be interested? Ukraine holds no land that was Russian. (Yes, there's that bulge up Kursk. More for show than any strategic value.)
So what gives with this 'land swap?' Reliable reports have stated that Russia has ordered all non-essential and military dependents out of the Crimea and have recommended that Russian citizens also evacuate. Is Russia considering offering up Crimea as a swap?
The more I think about it the more it makes sense. 200 years ago Crimea was an important strategic parcel of land, perhaps even a 100 years ago. Now it is a hard to defend albatross around the neck of whoever occupies it. In an era of precision long range weapons it's a logistic nightmare. The Ukrainians have rendered it almost useless as a maritime hub and are holding the airfields vulnerable. And it's sure as shit worthless as a base for an armored offense. I think it's entirely possible that Putin would offer to trade the Crimean Peninsula for the mineral rich region he already occupies.
Russia needs Crimea because of the military port there. Putin's not going to swap that for anything because it's why he invaded in the first place.
My concern with letting Russia have Crimea is that eventually someone will realize that it's locked by the Bosporus straight, which is controlled by Turkey. Once that happens, Turkey will be Russia's next target.








