fifty5
Literotica Guru
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Especially so since your example is of siblings who (presumably) knew their mother and her mannerisms very well - and share many of their recollections.Pure said:Hi fifty; interesting comments. For now, I'll just look at a couple.
Pure's example statement 7. There are spirits of the dead actually in this world who occasionally have been seen or heard (simultaneously) by two or more of the living (through their usual 'five senses').
fifty Define 'dead'. Then remember that perception is 'merely' pattern recognition, which isn't always accurate. Finally add in statistics; and thus the recognition that unlikely events do happen. Unless some mechanical process also recorded the events perceived by people with senses, the evidence is not unquestionable.
Dead-- no brain waves. In the present case, likely buried in the ground or a bunch of ashes.
So, hypothethically, can John and Sally, at a given moment, see the spirit of their dead mother and both hear her saying the same thing, "don't you two get on that airplane, it's going to be hijacked and flown into the WTC." ("See" as in "I see a monitor" in front of me, not as in Macbeth "Is this a dagger I see before me.")
I don't find the 'unlikely events happen to be very much to the point. I do agree it's likely an almost unique event, so it's probability is hard to figure.
They may also, for instance, have watched the same TV program dealing with aeroplane hijacking.
And if they are then going to get on the same plane...
What I'm saying is that out of all the billions in the world, that there are going to be a few who share enough to make sufficiently similar 'daydreams' for them to decide, post hoc, that those dreams were identical, is not that unlikely.
That doesn't prove that such events are not supernatural, but does offer an alternative explanation that does not require anything supernatural.
From what I remember of things I read long ago, things like this were more commonly observed as the relationship between the individuals was closer (siblings, identical twins). As the relationship is closer, so tends to be the quantity of common experience - making a non-supernatural explanation of common perception more likely too.
It is interesting that you introduced the first person there: "I" (also "my"). That seems to reduce the population of 'those of interest' to 1.You apply the same statistical approach to two other cases.
fifty //Sometimes an unlikely outcome will happen.// applied to both 6. telekinesis(thoughts affecting a dice throw) and 8. prayer affecting a third party.
Focussing on 6. and 8. We are talking 'affect', i.e., cause and effect, or, more skeptically, a replicable pattern of conjunctions. I.e., NOT just that I thought of 'snake eyes' and then rolled it, but that my thought of (and will for) that, on more than one occasion, and over a period of say 1000 throws (apparently) affected the frequency of 'snake eyes' in the outcomes.
Note though, that the person who does win the National Lottery can do that - and be correct.
Statistics, though scientific, can have the appearance of magic to people who don't know the subject and its limitations well. It simply isn't valid to apply statistics (unthinkingly) to a Lottery winner after they have won - except to future Lotteries.
Most statistical analysis also only applies to 'independent' events (which is my get-out about the brother and sister cited in your reply: they aren't independent).
I think The Lottery is quite a good exemplar: the chances of any particular individual winning in any pre-chosen draw is so remote as to be negligible, but the chances of someone winning is very high - precisely because so many people take part.
That kind of statistical analysis has little or no survival value in evlotion: each individual is a sample of 1, so those mass statistics simply can't apply. The result of that is that the human brain hasn't evolved to appreciate this subject intuitively: probability theory can be learnt and understood - even become habitual in someone who studies the subject - but it is never inate (I exclude such exceptions as those who have Asperger's Syndrome <sp?> or similar who do not typify the species).
I did study Stats (until my mind went into a spin), precisely because Stats seem to me to make sense of a largely random world. I guess I'm unusual - though not as unusual as those whose minds don't go into a spin! I repeat what I said above: that because of that, the results have become habitual, but they'll never be inate.
My own seminal work was M J Moroney, Facts From Figures. 1951; 3ed Penguin 1956. If you can get hold of a copy, I think you'll find it interesting: especially the chapter on the occurence of rare events, entitled (IIRC) "Goals, Floods and Horse Kicks" (most moments of most football games, rivers and cavalry life do NOT include those events) - and the same goes for "John and Sally".
Eff
PS I was naughty asking you to "define dead." My own conclusion is that 'soul', just like 'mind', is a product of a functioning brain. Given that, then if their mother is dead, John and Sally's experience can only be a product of their brains - it cannot possibly be anything caused by their mother. That takes a conclusion as input to the next iteration, so isn't a valid argument unless you already share my opinion.
I still find it interesting that your definition, like mine, is in terms of biological/physical function. You could, hypothetically, have used terms that included 'life after death' - one of the iterms in the Christian creed.