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[ABSTRUSE]

TROPICAL STORM IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 58...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

CORRECTED TO REMOVE STATEMENT ABOUT INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORIES

...IVAN WEAKENING OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA...
...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF IVAN
THROUGH NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TONIGHT AND INTO NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA
OR SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
IVAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY

DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.

MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN EASTERN ALABAMA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...33.1 N... 87.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN/STEWART

 

[rgraham666]

Keeping my fingers crossed for you cloudy.

 

[cloudy]

Still here, and amazingly enough, still have power. Just heard that if we can hold out another hour and a half or so, the worst should be past us, and the chance of tornados spinning off of it will start to go down.

Whew.

Thanks, y'all.

 

[ABSTRUSE]

Still here, and amazingly enough, still have power. Just heard that if we can hold out another hour and a half or so, the worst should be past us, and the chance of tornados spinning off of it will start to go down.

Whew.

Thanks, y'all.

Does this mean I can leave now?

 

[Guest]

Still here, and amazingly enough, still have power. Just heard that if we can hold out another hour and a half or so, the worst should be past us, and the chance of tornados spinning off of it will start to go down.

Whew.

Thanks, y'all.

Yay!

Will save on my phone bill...





I said that name!

http://img.villagephotos.com/p/2003-8/363868/X3banana2.gif

 

[Guest]

Cloudy?

I'm off to bed now, but I'm thinking of you, sweetie.

I hope the time goes by quickly and the storm passes soon.

Lou

 

[cantdog]

Mousie--

Check one of Weird Harold's links. It passed by Mobile last evening. Mobile lay to the west of the storm, which drives the winds counterclockwise. Mobile's winds thus blew off the land into the Gulf, where the people on the eastern side of it had winds blowing onshore.

A storm like this changes the shape of the ocean surface, too. It pushes water up ahead of it; that's the "storm surge." Places like Destin and Pensacola in north Florida received the crashing storm-driven waves ADDED to the surge, and got 35 and 40 foot waves.

Some of the barrier islands never stand more than 20 feet above sea level, and parts of them were erased.

(A meter is a bit over three feet.)

The problem inland is the rain. There will likely be lots of flooding to go with the tree damage and power outages.

 

[doormouse]

Mousie--

Check one of Weird Harold's links. It passed by Mobile last evening. Mobile lay to the west of the storm, which drives the winds counterclockwise. Mobile's winds thus blew off the land into the Gulf, where the people on the eastern side of it had winds blowing onshore.

The problem inland is the rain. There will likely be lots of flooding to go with the tree damage and power outages.

Thanks hon.

I haven't heard from LDW, so I'm hoping it's just power outages stopping him from calling/messaging me

It sounds horrible. Thoughts are with you guys.

 

[cloudy]

Looks like the worst is over. Wind is still blowing pretty good, and raining a little, but nowhere near like it was a while ago. Forecasters are saying that by noon tomorrow we should have clear skies again.

There's been some people trapped by flash floods, and a mudslide in Birmingham - they had to evacuate an apartment complex that's on top of the hill the mud came from, they were afraid it was going to go too (with close to 5,000 people living there).....BUT - the good news is, not a single fatality in Alabama at all.

Thanks, y'all, for sharing this bumpy ride with me.

Reporter on the scene out.

 

[My Erotic Tail]

Ivan~

The Himacane's blow job sucked...
still lots without power,
and haven't heard from some
freinds in alabama yet.
But restoration is in full force.

Hey ya'll~
group hug~
(~_*) Art

 

[SeaCat]

Having just come through Frnces, I don't wish this on anyone. All of you stay safe. (If you need a plce to stay come on down I have a little room althoughnwe are still in the bullseye here.

Cat

Cloudy,
Although it may be tempting, please stay inside and don't do anything stupid like I usualy do. You don't need the scars I have to mar your beautiful body.

Cat

 

[BlackSnake]

Has it passed over Mobile, Alabama yet?

I was reading a blog on Ivan last night, but couldn't tell if it was recent or not.

My mother would not let me go and get her from down there. She's in Mobile. Her and my crazy sister road it out.

Luckily, my sister only lost one tree in her front yard and it fell onto her neighbors driveway. They have not lights, but the phones work. They are out near the airport. They are cooking up all the food, because the lights will be out for days, maybe weeks.

It passing over here now, Atlanta. The wind is kicking up, but not much rain.

 

[minsue]

Re: Ivan~

The Himacane's blow job sucked...
still lots without power,
and haven't heard from some
freinds in alabama yet.
But restoration is in full force.

Hey ya'll~
group hug~
(~_*) Art

Good to see you, MET.

 

[doormouse]

My mother would not let me go and get her from down there. She's in Mobile. Her and my crazy sister road it out.

Luckily, my sister only lost one tree in her front yard and it fell onto her neighbors driveway. They have not lights, but the phones work. They are out near the airport. They are cooking up all the food, because the lights will be out for days, maybe weeks.

It passing over here now, Atlanta. The wind is kicking up, but not much rain.

Thanks hon. She must be right near LDW. He's right near the airport too.

Without power for weeks????

 

[BlackSnake]

Thanks hon. She must be right near LDW. He's right near the airport too.

Without power for weeks????

Yep, nothing happens quickly there. Never has. I was there during Fredrick, and it tore the place up. That's why I wanted them to leave. I talked to my mother Tuesday morning and I was ready to go down and get her and my sister. I've made it down there in just under five hours from here many times.

I don't think anything is worth riding out a hurricane for, besides there is not a damn thing you're going to do anyways.

 

[cloudy]

Thanks hon. She must be right near LDW. He's right near the airport too.

Without power for weeks????

Yep. They're estimating it will take around 2 weeks to get everyone's power restored. People that live in populous areas won't have to wait nearly that long, though. Almost a quarter of the homes in Alabama lost power today, and most are still without it.

 

[doormouse]

Yep. They're estimating it will take around 2 weeks to get everyone's power restored. People that live in populous areas won't have to wait nearly that long, though. Almost a quarter of the homes in Alabama lost power today, and most are still without it.

Expect a shit load of depressing poems from me then LOL

When I get depressed, I write. We've never been apart this long in two years *sigh*

I'm glad you're safe cloudy. From what I've read, we're so lucky here to never face natural disasters of that magnitude.

 

[ABSTRUSE]

UPdate

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 59
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

...IVAN WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING STILL A MAJOR CONCERN...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GADSDEN ALABAMA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF
IVAN ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TONIGHT AND INTO NORTHWESTERN
GEORGIA OR SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
AS IVAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN EASTERN GEORGIA...
SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...34.3 N... 86.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON IVAN. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT34 KWNH...
BEGINNING AT 4 AM CDT...FRIDAY MORNING.

 

[Weird Harold]

Wow. That major.

Is this usual? That storms this bigcreep so far inland, I mean? I watched some weather maps today, and it looked there as if the thing is just going to push on up until it tickle's the tailfeathers of New Jersey or something. What happens to a hurricane when inland? Doesn't it lose some momentum, at least?

#L

As a storm moves over land, it gradually loses energy and is downgraded from Hurricane to Tropical Storm to Tropical Depression, to un-named low pressure system.

The first graphic on Linuxgeek's named storm threads is always a graphic that shows where the storm is going and is marked with predictions of it's strength at 12 hour intervls alongthepredicted path -- H for Hurricane, S for Tropical storm and D for tropical depression -- as of 10 PM CDT, Ivanis a tropical depression in the northwest corner of Alabama and is forcast to make a loop throughwestern tennesse, North Carolina, South Carolina and be inth northwest corner of Georgia by 7 PM CDT Sunday stilled classed as a Tropical Depression.

In short, the remains of Ivan seem determined to single handedly end the drought in the Southwest over the next three days.

Linuxgeeks threads also include links to some very good FAQ pages that explain Tropical storms and what to expect from them.

 

[minsue]

In short, the remains of Ivan seem determined to single handedly end the drought in the Southwest over the next three days.

I thought it was Javier that was expected to do that.

 

[Weird Harold]

I thought it was Javier that was expected to do that.

Stupid fingers again -- Ivan is, of course on the mouse and modem side of the country and not on the bookcase and lazyboy side.

Ivan is busy curing the SouthEAST's drought and Jean appears to be getting ready to help out.

At least Karl is expected to cure the mid-atlantic's drought and not bother any land-dwellers.

 

[minsue]

Ivan is, of course on the mouse and modem side of the country and not on the bookcase and lazyboy side.

I cannot even begin to explain how much I love this sentence.



While you're here, WH, do you have any idea how we ended up with 2 'J' named storms?

 

[Weird Harold]

While you're here, WH, do you have any idea how we ended up with 2 'J' named storms?

Yep, there are three (or maybe four) lists of storm names. Javier is from the Pacific Hurricane list and Jeane is from the Atlantic Hurricane list. There is also a list for the Indian Ocean and I think one for the South Pacific as well.

 

[minsue]

Yep, there are three (or maybe four) lists of storm names. Javier is from the Pacific Hurricane list and Jeane is from the Atlantic Hurricane list. There is also a list for the Indian Ocean and I think one for the South Pacific as well.

I knew I could count on you for the answers.

 

[mismused]

J named storms

I cannot even begin to explain how much I love this sentence.



While you're here, WH, do you have any idea how we ended up with 2 'J' named storms?

=======================

Javier is a Pacific storm, and they run through their own set of names. Jeanne is like Ivan and Frances, Atlantic named storms.

mismused