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President Trump, like Bill Clinton, will be impeached by the House. But, as Michael Goodwin writes in today's New York Post, the Democratic Party's efforts to remove him from office are doomed to failure, with this whole thing very possibly biting them in the butt!
Impeachment trial is the ace up President Trump’s sleeve
Goodwin's slam-dunk choice for the 2019 Quote of the Year is: “I want a trial.”
The President of the United States said those words on Friday morning of this week, and assuming that Trump survives the Democratic Party's ongoing effort to remove him, he would become the first impeached president to face voters again. Andrew Johnson, impeached in 1868, was later denied his party’s nomination for a second term, while Bill Clinton had already won his second term before he was impeached.
While there’s some skepticism that Trump really wants to put everything on the line over allegations involving his dealings with Ukraine, Goodwin says he's convinced that the president is *serious, calling Trump "crazy like a fox.!" Given the flimsy allegations and the unfair, one-party nature of the House process, beating impeachment in the Senate is pretty much a sure thing. And such a victory would dramatically boost Trump’s chances of getting four more years.
Indeed, it’s highly probable that: as impeachment goes, so goes the election.
First, Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Adam Schiff need to muster 218 impeachment votes after five long days of public testimony and hyperbolic assertions that the president is an existential threat to the world. If that fails to happen then Trump will have been exonerated. And the Democrats certainly CAN'T allow THAT to happen! And so the House will vote to impeach in December, with a trial in the U.S. Senate getting underway in January!
Once it's in the Senate, the president will enjoy all of the the advantages that Schiff denied him in the House’s kangaroo court. Most importantly, Trump opens the senate trial with 53 GOP senators in the jury, with a super-majority of 67 votes required for conviction, Dems need to flip 20 Republicans, assuming they can hold all of the Democrats (which is by no means certain!)
In addition to Trump having home-field advantage, a Senate trial, presided over by Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts, would be expected to follow federal rules on evidence and procedures. Trump could 'compel' Adam Schiff to testify in the impeachment trial! NO hearsay testimony would be admissable. Thus, most of Schiff's case would not even be permitted in the *Senate.
Also, Trump’s lawyers would have wide latitude in a witness list and could very likely use it to turn the tables on Democrats and the Bidens. Trump likes nothing more than being on offense, and his aim would be to put his accusers on trial. Already the president has named three people he wants to grill, beginning with Hunter Biden and his lucrative gig on the board of Burisma, a corrupt Ukrainian energy company, while his father was vice president. Some sample questions Hunter Biden can expect to be asked:
Is it true you were discharged from the Navy for cocaine use months before being named to Burisma in 2014?
Do you even speak Ukrainian?
What do you know about energy exploration and markets?
How many board meetings did you attend?
Is it true you were paid more than $3 million over five years?
How much more?
Did you ever discuss the job with your father?
Did you ask your father to intercede in Ukrainian politics to help Burisma?
Moreover, there are legitimate questions about the 2016 anti-Trump campaign waged by Ukrainian officials and oligarchs, which included millions of dollars in contributions to the Clinton Foundation. Were the payments to Hunter Biden and the foundation aimed at buying Democrats’ silence over Ukrainian corruption? What does Joe Biden know about that effort?
Trump also wants to call Schiff, and GOP lawyers believe there is ample precedent. They note that Bill Clinton’s lawyers grilled independent prosecutor Ken Starr during Clinton’s Senate trial. Schiff acted as chief prosecutor against Trump and his dealings with the whistleblower would make him a key witness to the initial allegations.
Independants are who swing elections: 40% for impeachment; 47% against.
Opposition by independents to the House’s ongoing impeachment inquiry jumped 10 percentage points in the last week, according to a Politico–Morning Consult poll released Tuesday.
The poll showed 47 percent of independents opposed the inquiry, compared to 37 percent last week. Meanwhile support for the inquiry by independents fell 7 points to 40 percent....
J. Coleman, Poll: Opposition by independents to impeachment inquiry jumps 10 points, The Hill (Nov. 19, 2019).
DawnONight writes: "Only 34 Percent Of Independents Support Impeachment"
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi KNEW that this was going to happen, but Adam Schiff & "the Squad" were hell-bent on impeaching Trump and so Pelosi reluctantly allowed them to have their way!
Even Schiff understood that, without U.S. Senate support, there was NO WAY his party was ever going to remove President Trump from office. His HOPE was that, by impeaching Trump in the House, the notoriety would help whatever Democratic presidential candidate wins the 2020 nomination fight get elected next November. But they never counted on this whole Ukraine business dragging down Joe Biden instead!
And now they have no choice, as to back down at THIS point would make Adam Schiff look like a clueless pinhead (which he is) - and so they've got to carry it through to the bitter end, despite a growing uneasiness among moderate House Dems that they're surrendering their re-election hopes in the process! The American public does NOT like seeing its legislators wasting time & money on failed efforts to overturn an election!
Have you noticed how little activity there is on the impeachment threads here again? Most of what's left has been me posting stories about how badly it's going for the Democrats. Even the lefties here have come to realize it. Schiff could not have done more to reelect Trump if he had tried!
Earlier this month two major polls were released showing President Trump doing better with BLACK VOTERS than any Republican presidential candidate on the ballot since 1960! In one poll, he had eclipsed over 30% black support! !
Fuzzy1975 asks: "Links to or names of the polls?
Two polls, one by Emerson College and one from Rasmussen, puts black support for President Trump at or above 34 percent. Those soundings so alarmed Trump-critics that a horrified CNN host described both polls as “fake” - sarcastically suggesting that perhaps only Kanye West and other black Trump surrogates had been surveyed.
The Emerson poll showed 34.5 percent of black registered voters supported the president, up from 17.8 percent a month earlier. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 8.3 points. Rasmussen, meanwhile, showed the president with 34 percent approval from blacks.
According to the findings of another, brand new Hill-HarrisX poll, a shocking 32 percent of black male voters say they would prefer to vote for Donald Trump over a generic Democrat opponent in the 2020 presidential election.
Not only is this jump in support startling in and by itself, but with the constant drumbeat of Democrat black political leaders referring to the president as a “racist,” it's a slap in the face to the credibilty of those leaders, their media cheerleaders, and to the Democratic Party itself.
Fuzzy1975 writes: "While I am not debating the numbers. I can't find either the Emerson poll, nor the Rasmussen poll, nor can I find any poll but this one for Hill-HarrisX"
I can promise you, Fuzzy, that NONE of the major news media outlets are going to be publicizing any of these polls! CNN didn't even want to believe that the one they reported on was real!
If the Democratic Party doesn't continue winning close to 10% of the black vote every election, they'll cease to be a serious political organization here in the United States! When Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, her black support was noticeably SHALLOW, but Trump only managed to reel in only about 8% of the black vote. If he manages to double or triple that in 2020, the Dem candidate (whomever it may be) is going to be landslided.
Right now, candidates like Bernie Sanders, Liz Warren, & Pete Buttigieg have very little black support within that party. Joe Biden has more, but that's ONLY because he was Barack Obama's vice president! Biden's currently lead in the Democrat-polls appears increasingly shaky as his gaffes on the campaign trail increase! Today he called a retired farmer at an Iowa town hall event a "dirty liar," and even challenged the man to do push-ups against him!
...
Unemployment
Unemployment stands at a historic low – just 3.6%. To a degree not seen in previous strong economies, all boats are truly being lifted by the rising tide. Black and Hispanic unemployment are shattering records. You don’t have to listen to me or to President Trump. This is CNN:
The unemployment rate for black women fell to a record 4.4% from 5.2% in July. The unemployment rate for black men crept up to 5.9% from 5.8%. But the previous month's rate was a record, so the rate is still near its historic low.
Unemployment among workers who identify themselves as Hispanic or Latino also fell in August to 4.2%, which matched a record low set earlier this year.
Minority unemployment has been tracked by the Labor Department since the early 1970's. Both black and Hispanic or Latino unemployment numbers have traditionally been higher than white unemployment, and it remains so today. White unemployment was 3.4% in August, up from 3.3% previously. But this is the smallest gap on record between the respective unemployment rates for blacks and whites.
This "is the smallest gap on record...”
B. Preston, Here are Four Pieces of Great News for America and President Trump, PJM (Dec. 3, 2019).
The jobs market turned in a stellar performance in November, with nonfarm payrolls surging by 266,000 and the unemployment rate falling to 3.5%, according to Labor Department numbers released Friday....
Average hourly earnings rose by 3.1% from a year ago, while the average workweek held steady at 34.4 hours....
A separate gauge of unemployment that includes discouraged workers and the underemployed declined as well, falling to 6.9%, one-tenth of a percentage point below October.
In addition to the robust November gains, revisions brought up totals from the two previous months. September’s estimate went up 13,000 to 193,000 and the initial October count increased by 28,000 to 156,000....
The unemployment rate of 3.5%, down from 3.6% in October, is back to the 2019 low and matches the lowest jobless rate since 1969.
J. Cox, Jobs growth soars in November as payrolls surge by 266,000, CNBC (Dec. 6, 2019).