Iran

Positioning numbers of B-2 bombers and an unusual number of tankers on Diego Garcia can only mean one thing. Look at the map. B-2s are strategic assets with a singular capability. They are the only platform capable of delivering the GBU-57A/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator undetected by Iranian air defense systems.

The Islamic Republic of Iran offers profound congratulations to its esteemed colleague Comrade Vettebigot for his bravery in reporting the location and proximity of the B-2 Bombers of the American devils. The mullahs will, of course, position their Stinger missiles (obtained with the assistance of LTC Oliver North back in the day) to blow the infidel American pilots out of the sky. Allah Akubar!
 
No, Rightguide... the Iranians already have nukes in their possession.....and have had them for 20 years  And have tested them in uunderground tests, just google seismic patterns.... nukes have a very different seismic signature than natural earthquakes as observed from North Korea utilizing underground testing......
They haven't had nuclear weapons for 20 years.

Here are the current assessments of the Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the U.S. Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI)


Current Assessments:


  • IAEA Findings: As of February 2025, the IAEA reported that Iran possesses sufficient 60% enriched uranium to potentially produce six nuclear weapons if further enriched. Experts note that advancing from 60% to weapons-grade enrichment can be achieved relatively quickly. ynetnews+1WSJ+1
  • ODNI Assessment: In March 2025, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard testified that, despite Iran's substantial enriched uranium stockpile, the U.S. intelligence community assesses that Iran is not currently building a nuclear weapon, as Supreme Leader Khamenei has not authorized such a program since its suspension in 2003. New York Post+1Jewish Insider+1

These evaluations indicate that while Iran has amassed significant quantities of enriched uranium, there is no conclusive evidence that it has resumed efforts to develop a deployable nuclear weapon.


https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?domain=https://jewishinsider.com&sz=32
https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?domain=https://www.ynetnews.com&sz=32
https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?domain=https://www.wsj.com&sz=32
Sources

These may be self-serving public assessments to deflect blame from the Biden administration's failure to deter Iran from advancing their nuclear technology over the last four years. Iran might have an assembled test article but no one believes they have miniaturized it to the point of an assembled warhead. It's obvious this administration believes they are close enough to warrant a preemptive strike hence this deployment to Diego Garcia.
 
There is a possibility that Trump is simply demonstrating a strategic capability to Iran in order to deter their support for the Houthies who are presently engaged with the US Navy in the Red Sea. Trump did make a statement holding Iran ultimately responsible for the Houthi attacks on the US Navy and commercial shipping lanes.
 
They haven't had nuclear weapons for 20 years.

Here are the current assessments of the Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the U.S. Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI)


Current Assessments:


  • IAEA Findings: As of February 2025, the IAEA reported that Iran possesses sufficient 60% enriched uranium to potentially produce six nuclear weapons if further enriched. Experts note that advancing from 60% to weapons-grade enrichment can be achieved relatively quickly. ynetnews+1WSJ+1
  • ODNI Assessment: In March 2025, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard testified that, despite Iran's substantial enriched uranium stockpile, the U.S. intelligence community assesses that Iran is not currently building a nuclear weapon, as Supreme Leader Khamenei has not authorized such a program since its suspension in 2003. New York Post+1Jewish Insider+1

These evaluations indicate that while Iran has amassed significant quantities of enriched uranium, there is no conclusive evidence that it has resumed efforts to develop a deployable nuclear weapon.


https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?domain=https://jewishinsider.com&sz=32
https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?domain=https://www.ynetnews.com&sz=32
https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?domain=https://www.wsj.com&sz=32
Sources

These may be self-serving public assessments to deflect blame from the Biden administration's failure to deter Iran from advancing their nuclear technology over the last four years. Iran might have an assembled test article but no one believes they have miniaturized it to the point of an assembled warhead. It's obvious this administration believes they are close enough to warrant a preemptive strike hence this deployment to Diego Garcia.
But i thought the IAEA didn't have any visibility into their nuclear program?
 
But i thought the IAEA didn't have any visibility into their nuclear program?
I posted the stated "current assessments" of the sources linked. It reminds me of the famous Rumsfeld quote about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq in February of 2002:

“Reports that say that something hasn’t happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns—the ones we don’t know we don’t know. And if one looks throughout the history of our country and other free countries, it is the latter category that tends to be the difficult ones.”

:D
 
I read all seven of Rightguide's source articles but cannot see that Iran has done anything or has displayed any capability of threatening the USA's fundamental interests. Pakistan already has nuclear weapons and is far more unstable than Iran. Iran does represent a threat to Israel but lacks the delivery systems to be effective and in any case Israel's and the USA's interests are not the same - unless Trump is taking orders from Netanyahu. If the USA attacks Iran they have the hardware to do enormous damage in the short term, however, the commitment required to achieve regime change in Tehran is just not there.

The Houthis have not attacked shipping since Trump came to power and in any case why is the USA intervening? The Saudis have the weapons and capacity to sort the Houthis out but always make the excuse that their own native Shia (who happen to be the majority population in their own oil producing regions) might get upset. Incidentally the biggest beneficiaries from an attack on Iran would be China because they are by far the greatest user of this route for their exports to Europe and Africa.

American Interests are not sufficiently impacted to justify an attack on Iran, Arab countries might roll over and sue for peace, but the Iranians will never surrender to the USA, because all they have to do is outlast them; The examples of American defeat in Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq come to mind. The US military can and will do its job, but the politicians back home will always find an excuse to cut and run.
 
I read all seven of Rightguide's source articles but cannot see that Iran has done anything or has displayed any capability of threatening the USA's fundamental interests. Pakistan already has nuclear weapons and is far more unstable than Iran. Iran does represent a threat to Israel but lacks the delivery systems to be effective and in any case Israel's and the USA's interests are not the same - unless Trump is taking orders from Netanyahu. If the USA attacks Iran they have the hardware to do enormous damage in the short term, however, the commitment required to achieve regime change in Tehran is just not there.

This is a lie. Iran is the world's leading State sponsor of terrorism. They will attack ANYONE as long as they can justify it as the Will of Allah. Pakistan, OTOH, has no such plans.

The Houthis have not attacked shipping since Trump came to power and in any case why is the USA intervening? The Saudis have the weapons and capacity to sort the Houthis out but always make the excuse that their own native Shia (who happen to be the majority population in their own oil producing regions) might get upset. Incidentally the biggest beneficiaries from an attack on Iran would be China because they are by far the greatest user of this route for their exports to Europe and Africa.

This is a lie by omission. Houthi attacks on CIVILIAN shipping were relentless prior to Trump's inauguration. They've dont this 136 times since 2023. Meanwhile, since Trump has been battering the Houthis, they haven't be able to attack CIVILIAN shipping.

It's also a lie by false statement. The Houthis have attacked US warships transiting the Red Sea.

Houthi's claim they're attacking US warships

And they've done it at least 3 times


American Interests are not sufficiently impacted to justify an attack on Iran, Arab countries might roll over and sue for peace, but the Iranians will never surrender to the USA, because all they have to do is outlast them; The examples of American defeat in Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq come to mind. The US military can and will do its job, but the politicians back home will always find an excuse to cut and run.

1. US interests in obtaining commercial goods and maintaining peace on the high seas is high.

2. There won't be anything left in Iran to outlast the US because Israel will join the fight and Iran has nothing capable of withstanding a US attack.

3. We learned from Afghanistan; there won't be a peaceful transition or caretaking mission which will allow for insurgents to secretly organize behind.
 
Has anybody noticed the build-up of B-2 Bombers On Diego Garcia Island?
Iran rejects Trump's request for direct nuclear negotiations, state media reports
Trump said Wednesday


LONDON -- Tehran has rejected direct negotiations with the United States in regarding its nuclear program, responding to a letter from President Donald Trump, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Sunday, according to the Islamic Republic News Agency.

However, he added, the path for indirect negotiations remains open, the state news agency reported.

"In this response, although direct negotiations between the two parties are rejected, it has been stated that the path for indirect negotiations is open," Pezeshkian said.

tHe @rT oF d@ D3@l
 

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Iranian Personnel Leave Yemen As U.S. Strikes Intensify​



By Janatan Sayeh

Iran has ordered its military personnel to leave Yemen amidst the ongoing US bombing campaign in the country, The Telegraph reported on April 3. The newspaper’s source added that regime officials’ concerns over the Trump administration have eclipsed discussions on Tehran’s regional proxies, dominating every meeting and sidelining previous strategic priorities.

The move is part of a broader pattern of the Islamic Republic recalibrating its regional strategy in response to the Trump administration’s efforts to curtail Tehran’s influence in the Middle East and threats to potentially strike Iran’s nuclear sites.

Iran had previously urged the Houthis to “cool tensions” in the Red Sea on March 18, with Iranian officials claiming the request was conveyed to the Houthi envoy in Tehran and that Iran asked Oman to communicate the same message.

The US has launched an extensive military campaign against the Tehran-backed Houthi terrorist group in Yemen, with daily attacks since March 15. US officials stated that the first wave, which targeted radars, air defenses, and missile and drone systems, was in response to the Iranian proxy’s attacks against commercial vessels and warships in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. The White House also claimed that the strikes eliminated a high-ranking missile expert, with National Security Advisor Mike Waltz stating that the first attack wave targeted “[the Houthis’] head missileer.”

https://www.realcleardefense.com/ar...ve_yemen_as_us_strikes_intensify_1101915.html
 
Time is running out for Iran.
They know it too. The Iranian people may stand on the threshold of revolution, as the political tide steadily turns against the ruling mullahs. A precisely executed strike on their nuclear facilities, targeting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, and the regime’s leadership, while preserving critical infrastructure to support the civilian population, might yield long-term strategic, humanitarian, and political benefits.
 
This is a lie. Iran is the world's leading State sponsor of terrorism. They will attack ANYONE as long as they can justify it as the Will of Allah. Pakistan, OTOH, has no such plans.



This is a lie by omission. Houthi attacks on CIVILIAN shipping were relentless prior to Trump's inauguration. They've dont this 136 times since 2023. Meanwhile, since Trump has been battering the Houthis, they haven't be able to attack CIVILIAN shipping.

It's also a lie by false statement. The Houthis have attacked US warships transiting the Red Sea.

Houthi's claim they're attacking US warships

And they've done it at least 3 times




1. US interests in obtaining commercial goods and maintaining peace on the high seas is high.

2. There won't be anything left in Iran to outlast the US because Israel will join the fight and Iran has nothing capable of withstanding a US attack.

3. We learned from Afghanistan; there won't be a peaceful transition or caretaking mission which will allow for insurgents to secretly organize behind.
Ishtat lies a lot.
 
There are 6 B2's pre-positioned at Diego Garcia and I would imagine that there are several GBU-57A/B's in the ordnance bunker ready to go.
 
April 5, 2025

US Moves Patriot Missile Batteries from South Korea to Middle East​

by i24 News and Algemeiner Staff



i24 NewsAmerican Patriot missile defense batteries will be moved from South Korea to the Middle East, according to reports in Asian media on Friday, amid speculation over a potential military action against Iran’s nuclear program and escalating bombardments of Iran-backed jihadists in Yemen.

US President Donald Trump threatened Iran on Sunday with bombing and secondary tariffs if Tehran did not come to an agreement with Washington over its nuclear program, and the United States has moved additional warplanes into the region.

Washington and Seoul have reportedly recently agreed on the “monthslong” partial deployment of the Patriot Advanced Capability-3, in what is understood to be the first known case involving the relocation of United States Forces Korea (USFK) assets to the Middle East.

https://www.algemeiner.com/2025/04/...le-batteries-from-south-korea-to-middle-east/
 
i24 NewsAmerican Patriot missile defense batteries will be moved from South Korea to the Middle East, according to reports in Asian media on Friday, amid speculation over a potential military action against Iran’s nuclear program and escalating bombardments of Iran-backed jihadists in Yemen.
Patriot missiles are no use for those purposes -- they're purely defensive, they intercept and destroy enemy missiles.
 
This is a lie. Iran is the world's leading State sponsor of terrorism. They will attack ANYONE as long as they can justify it as the Will of Allah. Pakistan, OTOH, has no such plans.
The risk in Pakistan's case is nuclear war with India, for nationalistic rather than religious purposes. No state or organization in the MENA has nuclear capability, except perhaps for Israel (they won't admit or deny it).
 
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