Predictions for Nov 3, 2026

eric_erosfan

Rationalist
Joined
Feb 19, 2023
Posts
6,643
One week out. Make your predictions.

I say Trump blames his loss on fraud. Millions of illegals voting. Thousands of fraudulent mail-in ballots coming in at the last minute.

Pillow guy will suggest martial law and not seating any new Democrats in Congress.

Rightguide will start a new thread on what is wrong with women.

Wat will say he never supported Trump.

Rebel5soul will post dancing bananas in between shitting himself.

Ann will declare every new thread a circlejerk.

Skybubble will continue to claim he hates both sides while posting false data to own the libs.

HisArpy will continue his strange quietness ever since Russian bot centers were destroyed by Ukraine.

Icanhelp1 will mix up his alts and slither away from embarrassment.

Wallstreetguy will claim he is sexting liberal women nonstop because they all fantasize fucking dumb MAGA guys.

Glamorilla will call me a nigger.

Did I miss any?
 
One week out. Make your predictions.

I say Trump blames his loss on fraud. Millions of illegals voting. Thousands of fraudulent mail-in ballots coming in at the last minute.

Pillow guy will suggest martial law and not seating any new Democrats in Congress.

Rightguide will start a new thread on what is wrong with women.

Wat will say he never supported Trump.

Rebel5soul will post dancing bananas in between shitting himself.

Ann will declare every new thread a circlejerk.

Skybubble will continue to claim he hates both sides while posting false data to own the libs.

HisArpy will continue his strange quietness ever since Russian bot centers were destroyed by Ukraine.

Icanhelp1 will mix up his alts and slither away from embarrassment.

Wallstreetguy will claim he is sexting liberal women nonstop because they all fantasize fucking dumb MAGA guys.

Glamorilla will call me a nigger.

Did I miss any?
Lots of pointing and laughing.
 
Lots of rationalization from all sides.

Lots of disparaging of polling.

Lots of media blaming for outcomes.

The President calling everything fake and rigged. (Doesn't matter the outcome)

My gut is that the Senate stays red and House goes blue. Governors go more blue. But polling is looking like Senate might too ..I just can't see it happening.
 
Gut feeling predictions of the 2026 Midterm Elections for next Tuesday night: I see a repeat of 2018 all over again.

*Democrats flip back control of the US House of Representatives: how many seats they will flip? Uncertain.

*Republicans keep control of the United States Senate: they might flip Michigan (Open), Minnesota (Open) and maybe New Hampshire (Open); Democrats only pick-up North Carolina (Open).

*Governorships: Republicans flip Kansas (Open), Michigan (Open), Wisconsin (Open); Democrats only flip Nevada and maybe Georgia (Open). Everything else stays status quo.
 
My guess is Dems win the House and maybe the Senate too but everything is too close for me to predict anything. I’m very interested in the California ballot measures that deal with property taxes and the wealth tax.
 
More than 32,000,000 votes already made.

Okay here we go - Senate - 56 for the Democrats, 44 for the GOP

The House will go Democrat by a Landslide - 240 seats +/- 5

Senate Races: Demonrats
Oregon, Nebraska, Kansas. Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, Alaska, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Hersey, Delaware, West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, (21)
Senate Races: Republicons
Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, South Dakota, Oklahoma, Maine, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tenneessee, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida (14)
 
Gut feeling predictions of the 2026 Midterm Elections for next Tuesday night: I see a repeat of 2018 all over again.

*Democrats flip back control of the US House of Representatives: how many seats they will flip? Uncertain.

*Republicans keep control of the United States Senate: they might flip Michigan (Open), Minnesota (Open) and maybe New Hampshire (Open); Democrats only pick-up North Carolina (Open).

*Governorships: Republicans flip Kansas (Open), Michigan (Open), Wisconsin (Open); Democrats only flip Nevada and maybe Georgia (Open). Everything else stays status quo.
Hochul and Healey lose.
 
*Governorships: Republicans flip Kansas (Open), Michigan (Open), Wisconsin (Open); Democrats only flip Nevada and maybe Georgia (Open). Everything else stays status quo.
No prediction for Ohio governor race?
Vivek vs. Acton.
Three most recent polls all ended on the first day of Vivek's "Don't Believe Kids Who Say They Were Raped!" pivot.
  • Fox news had Acton +4 (sample size 2005)
  • Net Insights (the most accurate polling of Republicans nationwide, staffed by Republicans) has Vivek +2 (sample size 508)
  • Redbox Reseach (liberal superpac funding the largest poll samples by far) Acton +4 (sample size 2998)

I had initially thought public revulsion over Vivek's glee about raped kids would cause an enormous backlash at the polls, but having seen Rightguide and especially Rebel5Soul ecstatic enthusiasm over Acton's childhood trauma makes me think that this might cause the boost amongst extremists that Vivek has been praying to Khali over.

I'll predict Acton 51 - Vivek 49.
 
No prediction for Ohio governor race?
Vivek vs. Acton.
Three most recent polls all ended on the first day of Vivek's "Don't Believe Kids Who Say They Were Raped!" pivot.
  • Fox news had Acton +4 (sample size 2005)
  • Net Insights (the most accurate polling of Republicans nationwide, staffed by Republicans) has Vivek +2 (sample size 508)
  • Redbox Reseach (liberal superpac funding the largest poll samples by far) Acton +4 (sample size 2998)

I had initially thought public revulsion over Vivek's glee about raped kids would cause an enormous backlash at the polls, but having seen Rightguide and especially Rebel5Soul ecstatic enthusiasm over Acton's childhood trauma makes me think that this might cause the boost amongst extremists that Vivek has been praying to Khali over.

I'll predict Acton 51 - Vivek 49.

That ^ correct assessment about Vivek’s deplorable ad appealing to / motivating Deplorables, PLUS the movement against Islamofascism & poor DSA candidates (Graham Platner damaged Democrats nationwide, even though he was NOT an ACTUAL Democrat) are making this election closer than it has any right to be.

There SHOULD be a MEGA blue tsunami this election cycle, considering the current realities in America & the world.

But alas…

😑

I still hold out some hope of a MEGA blue tsunami materializing.

👍

🇺🇸

We. Shall see.

🤔

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
 
There's really no point in making predictions. If the Republicans don't win, they will say it's rigged, but if Democrats can find any way at all to shoot themselves in the foot, then they usually do so.
 
Hey, you folks elected a felonious self-confessed sexual assaulter with a disturbing fixation on male politicians' arses. Anything could happen!
 
There's really no point in making predictions. If the Republicans don't win, they will say it's rigged, but if Democrats can find any way at all to shoot themselves in the foot, then they usually do so.

It isn’t so much the Democrats shooting themselves in the foot as it is the farcically fickle American electorate regularly / religiously self-sabotaging and voting republican for… "reasons"…

😑

👎

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
 
One week out. Make your predictions.

I say Trump blames his loss on fraud. Millions of illegals voting. Thousands of fraudulent mail-in ballots coming in at the last minute.

Pillow guy will suggest martial law and not seating any new Democrats in Congress.

Rightguide will start a new thread on what is wrong with women.

Wat will say he never supported Trump.

Rebel5soul will post dancing bananas in between shitting himself.

Ann will declare every new thread a circlejerk.

Skybubble will continue to claim he hates both sides while posting false data to own the libs.

HisArpy will continue his strange quietness ever since Russian bot centers were destroyed by Ukraine.

Icanhelp1 will mix up his alts and slither away from embarrassment.

Wallstreetguy will claim he is sexting liberal women nonstop because they all fantasize fucking dumb MAGA guys.

Glamorilla will call me a nigger.

Did I miss any?
Wow. That's a scorching summation. Is that what this board is primarily like?
 
I predict a President will froth over fraud and stolen elections. Winning candidates will be relieved if they were incumbents and jubilant if they were newly elected.

Today, the President was asked if he would cooperate with Democrats if they take over. He said yes—if the elections were fair and not rigged. That is to say, when Hell freezes over, is my interpretation of that remark.
 
What I think will happen:
Senate: 51D-49R
House: 240D-195R
Governors: Dems gain 2

What I hope will happen:
Senate: 54D-45R-1I
House: 260D-175R
Governors: Dems gain 4

What I fear will happen:
Senate: 51R-49D
House: 225D-210R
Governors: Dems lose 1

Never, ever underestimate the Dems' ability to shoot themselves in the ass. But even in the worst case, I don't see them losing the House.
 
What I think will happen:
Senate: 51D-49R
House: 240D-195R
Governors: Dems gain 2

What I hope will happen:
Senate: 54D-45R-1I
House: 260D-175R
Governors: Dems gain 4

What I fear will happen:
Senate: 51R-49D
House: 225D-210R
Governors: Dems lose 1

Never, ever underestimate the Dems' ability to shoot themselves in the ass. But even in the worst case, I don't see them losing the House.

Be honest about why you fear your third option will materialize:

• Abdul El Sayed / the Muslim-fear-factor

• DSA candidates

😑

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
 
Be honest about why you fear your third option will materialize:

• Abdul El Sayed / the Muslim-fear-factor

• DSA candidates

😑

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
No, that's why YOU fear that.
My fear is that transphobia is still going to carry the day for the Republicans in some marginal states. Bigotry is a powerful drug. But I am confident El Sayed will win.

ETA: Why am I confident El Sayed will win? Because unlike most progressive Dems, he knows how to hit back. We really need more of that.
 
Last edited:
No, that's why YOU fear that.
My fear is that transphobia is still going to carry the day for the Republicans in some marginal states. Bigotry is a powerful drug. But I am confident El Sayed will win.

Whatever you need to tell yourself…

Meanwhile, DonOld & the MAGAt republicans are really leaning into Muslim-fear-fomentation / Socialist-fear-fomentation (and I can’t say El Sayed, Platner, etc haven’t given DonOld & the MAGAt republicans an opening…)

😑

ETA: Why am I confident El Sayed will win? Because unlike most progressive Dems, he knows how to hit back. We really need more of that.

You could be right…

🤔

I sure hope you’re right.

👍

🇺🇸

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
 
Whatever you need to tell yourself…
Who are you to tell anyone else what they think?
Meanwhile, DonOld & the MAGAt republicans are really leaning into Muslim-fear-fomentation / Socialist-fear-fomentation (and I can’t say El Sayed, Platner, etc haven’t given DonOld & the MAGAt republicans an opening…)
The Dems could run as me-too Republicans on every issue and they would still play that card. It's what they do. But it doesn't work when the Dems fight back effectively, as El Sayed has done. (And he has done NOTHING to warrant comparisons to Platner.) As for Platner, the reaction to him proved we have boundaries we won't cross while the other side doesn't. That is a good thing.
I sure hope you’re right.
I see no reason to think I'm not.
 
Who are you to tell anyone else what they think?

🙄

The Dems could run as me-too Republicans on every issue and they would still play that card. It's what they do. But it doesn't work when the Dems fight back effectively, as El Sayed has done. (And he has done NOTHING to warrant comparisons to Platner.) As for Platner, the reaction to him proved we have boundaries we won't cross while the other side doesn't. That is a good thing.

🙄

Sensitive much???

🤔

And you continue to go back to your tried & tired argument: “the republicans are going to to what they do anyway, so the words & actions / background of ANY Democratic Party candidate don’t matter”…

Please stop.

😑

I see no reason to think I'm not.

Yes you do.

See: Your own fear of your third election outcome option / possibility materializing.

😑

We. Told. Them. So.

🌷
 
Sensitive much???
I do tend to get that way when someone suggests I'm fooling myself, the way you did there.
And you continue to go back to your tried & tired argument: “the republicans are going to to what they do anyway, so the words & actions / background of ANY Democratic Party candidate don’t matter”…
Not what I said, not what I meant, and do not put words in my mouth. Especially don't put quotation marks around something I never said.

As for what I did say, it's true: no matter what the Dems do, the Republicans are always going to call us socialists and use their latest wedge-issues against us. It's a fool's errand to try to prevent that. What we can do is hit back. That's what El Sayed has been doing.
Please stop.
I'll be happy to, as soon as you do.
Yes you do.

See: Your own fear of your third election outcome option / possibility materializing.
As I said, I do not see El Sayed losing as a part of that. Talarico, maybe. Jackson perhaps, since his opponent has defied political gravity before. Peltola, since Alaska is still a red state no matter how personally popular she is. But we're not losing Michigan.

The rise of a distinctively American form of fascism happened solely because of Democratic Party refusal to proffer any effective opposition.
I agree completely.
 
Back
Top